Dustin Harris

LF El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 28 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs AAA HR +5% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAA40-MANArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	25	AAATEX	564	.272/.362/.391	10	35	83	—	.246/.310/.343
2025	26	MLBTEX	43	.200/.256/.350	1	1	69	-0.6
2026	27	MLBSD	152	.293/.361/.383	0	10	110	0.2
2027PROJ45% MLB	28	MLBSD	112	.255/.321/.418	4	7	109	0.4
2028PROJ56% MLB	29	MLBSD	214	.252/.318/.410	7	11	106	0.5
2029PROJ63% MLB	30	MLBSD	238	.248/.314/.402	7	11	103	0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$1M2028Arb-2$3M2029Arb-3$4M2030Arb-4$4M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed90

xwOBA30

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Form.269/.324/.408 · rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .258/.321/.421

CompsJake McCarthy (age 27) · Cedric Mullins (age 28) · Jonathan Villar (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†109

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .321 / .418

PA112

HR4

SB7

K%20

BB%7

BABIP289

ISO168

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

903.0%

xAVG

470.249

POWER50

Barrel%

102.1

Avg EV

1082.6

Bat Spd

1067.0

EYE50

Chase%

909.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.0

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%15%▲▲11% over 70 PA (45d) · proj 19%

BB%6%▼5% over 95 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.139▼.094 over 85 AB (60d) · proj .163

HR/BB2.6%▼0.0% over 75 BBE (60d) · proj 4.4%

BABIP.301▲.373 over 75 BIP (60d) · proj .294

SLASH.269/.324/.408·proj .258/.321/.421

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2025

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.4M
2028	Arb-2	$3M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-4	$4M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$1M		$6M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	20	ROK	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	125	41	10	1	1	14	20	1	9	4	328	400	448	848	120	385	14	10	381	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	160	145	54	10	0	10	13	25	1	5	1	372	428	648	1.076	276	396	16	8	464	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	306	259	78	11	3	10	34	48	7	20	1	301	397	483	879	181	329	16	11	384	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	331	85	16	2	17	42	74	5	19	5	257	349	471	821	215	279	19	11	360	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	288	242	66	11	3	9	40	63	4	17	3	273	385	455	839	182	331	22	14	373	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	278	229	56	14	4	5	44	65	4	24	2	245	375	406	782	162	319	23	16	354	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	564	486	132	22	3	10	61	123	8	35	10	272	362	391	753	119	339	22	11	337	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	200	256	350	606	150	269	30	7	271	69	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	425	372	106	19	2	11	44	74	6	33	4	285	370	435	805	151	330	17	10	359	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	152	133	39	4	4	0	11	20	3	10	1	293	361	383	744	90	336	13	7	326	110	+2	+2	+1	-5	+3	0.2
2026	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	318	277	91	14	5	12	33	47	5	19	5	329	410	545	955	217	359	15	10	415	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	195	173	47	7	4	1	14	33	3	11	2	272	337	376	713	104	324	17	7	314	98	-0	+1	+1	-10	+4	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	131	32	7	1	1	8	29	1	9	4	244	293	336	629	92	303	21	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	160	148	47	8	0	9	10	34	1	5	1	318	365	554	919	236	351	21	6	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	306	271	68	9	3	8	22	64	7	20	1	251	323	395	718	144	279	21	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	343	75	13	2	15	30	89	5	19	5	219	291	399	690	181	242	23	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	288	253	58	9	3	6	29	78	4	17	3	229	318	360	678	130	299	27	10	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	278	243	49	13	3	4	30	79	4	24	2	202	300	329	629	128	277	28	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	564	508	125	19	3	8	39	138	8	35	10	246	310	343	652	96	310	24	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	200	256	350	606	150	269	30	7	270	69	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	425	385	95	18	2	9	31	82	6	33	4	247	313	374	687	127	287	19	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	152	133	39	4	4	0	11	20	3	10	1	293	361	383	744	90	336	13	7	331	110	+2	+2	+1	-5	+3	0.2
2026	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	318	287	80	11	5	9	23	56	5	19	5	279	343	446	789	167	313	18	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	131	32	7	1	1	8	29	1	9	4	244	293	336	629	92	307	21	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	125	41	10	1	1	14	20	1	9	4	328	400	448	848	120	385	14	10	381	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	420	114	16	3	17	31	98	8	25	2	271	333	445	779	174	311	21	7	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	466	404	132	21	3	20	47	73	8	25	2	327	407	542	949	215	352	16	10	411	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	343	75	13	2	15	30	89	5	19	5	219	291	399	690	181	247	23	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	331	85	16	2	17	42	74	5	19	5	257	349	471	821	215	279	19	11	360	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	496	109	22	7	11	59	157	8	41	5	220	313	359	671	139	296	28	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	566	471	122	25	7	14	84	128	8	41	5	259	380	431	811	172	325	23	15	364	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	564	508	125	19	3	8	39	138	8	35	10	246	310	343	652	96	317	24	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	564	486	132	22	3	10	61	123	8	35	10	272	362	391	753	119	339	22	11	337	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	468	425	103	21	2	10	34	95	6	34	5	242	308	372	679	129	290	20	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	468	412	114	22	2	12	47	87	6	34	5	277	359	427	786	150	325	19	10	351	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	420	120	16	9	9	34	76	8	29	6	286	351	431	782	145	326	16	7	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	470	410	130	18	9	12	44	67	8	29	6	317	394	493	887	176	351	14	9	386	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	130	32	7	1	1	8	29	1	9	4	246	293	338	631	92	303	21	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	424	114	16	3	17	31	98	8	25	2	269	333	441	774	172	304	21	7	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	344	75	13	2	15	30	89	5	19	5	218	291	398	689	180	242	23	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	494	109	22	7	11	59	157	8	41	5	221	313	360	673	140	288	28	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	564	512	125	19	3	8	39	138	8	35	10	244	310	340	650	96	310	24	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	468	425	103	21	2	10	34	95	6	34	5	242	308	372	679	129	285	20	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	425	120	16	9	9	34	76	8	29	6	282	351	426	777	144	321	16	7	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	564	512	125	19	3	8	39	138	8	35	10	244	310	340	650	96	310	24	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	468	425	103	21	2	10	34	95	6	34	5	242	308	372	679	129	285	20	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	425	120	16	9	9	34	76	8	29	6	282	351	426	777	144	321	16	7	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	45%	380	343	89	13	4	12	28	74	6	23	4	258	323	421	745	163	294	19	7	329	109	+4	+3	+1	-4	+8	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	45%	112	101	26	3	1	4	8	22	2	7	1	255	321	418	739	163	289	20	7	327	109	+1	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	56%	380	344	88	12	4	12	28	76	5	20	4	255	320	414	734	159	292	20	7	325	106	+3	+2	-0	-4	+8	0.9
2029	30	MLB MLE	SD	63%	380	344	85	12	3	11	28	77	5	17	3	251	316	405	722	154	290	20	7	320	103	+1	+2	-1	-4	+8	0.7
2030	31	MLB MLE	SD	67%	365	330	81	12	3	10	27	76	5	12	3	246	311	395	706	148	287	21	7	314	99	-1	+1	-2	-4	+8	0.3
2031	32	MLB MLE	SD	69%	346	314	76	11	3	9	25	74	4	8	2	240	305	381	686	141	283	21	7	306	93	-3	+1	-2	-4	+7	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	56%	214	193	49	7	2	7	16	43	3	11	2	252	318	410	728	159	288	20	7	323	106	+2	+1	-0	-2	+5	0.5
2029	30	MLB CTX	SD	63%	238	216	53	7	2	7	17	48	3	11	2	248	314	402	715	154	285	20	7	318	103	+1	+1	-1	-3	+5	0.4
2030	31	MLB CTX	SD	67%	243	220	53	7	2	7	18	51	3	8	2	243	309	391	700	148	282	21	7	311	99	-0	+1	-1	-3	+5	0.2
2031	32	MLB CTX	SD	69%	238	216	52	7	2	7	17	51	3	5	1	237	302	377	680	140	278	21	7	303	93	-2	+1	-2	-3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1128	1018	254	35	12	29	82	226	15	46	9	250	315	393	708	143	292	20	7	314	96	-0	+6	-3	-20	+24	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	147	20	7	17	47	130	9	27	5	250	316	395	711	145	293	20	7	314	96	-0	+3	-2	-12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4777	4301	1067	169	43	121	361	1034	67	264	52	248	316	392	708	144	297	22	8	311	96	+3	+10	-4	-28	+42	2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	145	23	6	16	49	141	9	36	7	248	316	390	705	142	298	22	8	311	96	+1	+3	-1	-10	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Chris Denorfialast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,339 PA	3.5	2,339	40	55	272	330	392	-20	+2	6.0	6.4
/162	664	11	16	-5.5	+0.5	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Lou Johnson'60-'69 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,251 PA	3.4	2,251	48	50	260*	318*	425*	-22	+2	6.1	6.1
/162	664	14	15	-6.5	+0.7	1.8	pk7: 6
#5Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.8	1,197	30	52	255	316	399	-13	+2	2.7	2.7
/162	664	17	29	-7.1	+1.2	1.5	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dustin Harris (OGILVIE)	28	60	50	60	50	256/321/418	162	294	8	15	19%	7%	109	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake McCarthy 2024 · MLB	27	54→60	46→50	64→60	47	264/326/401	137	319	13	36	21%	7%	106	+1.8	260/318/385	125	303	11	28	17%	6%	99	+1.3	258/314/387	129	298	10	28	16%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Cedric Mullins 2023 · MLB	28	52→55	51→55	56→60	49	263/324/430	167	299	18	27	19%	7%	112	+2.2	235/304/402	167	272	19	27	21%	8%	99	+1.2	222/297/392	170	255	20	30	22%	9%	95	+0.8
✕Jonathan Villar 2020 · MLB	29	53→60	49→50	58→65	47	262/325/412	150	334	17	32	26%	8%	108	+1.9	249/312/391	142	320	16	26	26%	8%	99	+1.2	237/298/368	131	306	15	25	26%	8%	88	+0.3
●Scott Podsednik 2004 · MLB	28	61→64	44→45	61→65	54	293/357/423	130	334	10	34	15%	9%	122	+2.9	266/330/370	104	307	7	48	15%	8%	100	+1.3	289/340/382	93	329	6	34	13%	7%	107	+1.5
●TJ Friedl 2024 · MLB	28	50→54	49→50	58→55	51	251/322/411	160	283	16	22	18%	8%	107	+1.9	238/325/373	135	271	15	15	18%	9%	100	+1.3	223/319/337	114	258	13	12	18%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Roger Bernadina 2013 · MLB	29	51→61	46→45	56→60	48	253/316/381	128	304	14	28	21%	8%	98	+1.2	214/289/332	118	290	11	18	28%	8%	77	-0.3	219/285/332	113	308	11	20	31%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Corey Patterson 2008 · MLB	28	51→54	47→55	61→60	43	254/289/390	136	285	14	39	17%	4%	90	+0.6	233/269/362	129	274	13	28	20%	4%	76	-0.4	234/269/352	118	293	11	28	23%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Desmond Jennings 2014 · MLB	27	50→60	49→50	58→60	53	247/323/405	158	291	15	24	20%	9%	106	+1.8	236/310/376	140	283	13	16	20%	9%	95	+0.9	226/301/356	130	272	13	15	21%	9%	87	+0.2
●Eduardo Núñez 2017 · MLB	30	55→65	49→50	58→60	45	277/315/425	148	304	16	32	15%	5%	107	+1.9	272/303/406	134	296	14	22	13%	4%	99	+1.2	266/293/388	122	289	13	18	13%	3%	91	+0.4
●Jarren Duran 2024 · MLB	27	50→56	48→60	62→55	44	243/301/403	160	316	14	28	27%	7%	97	+1.1	253/315/436	183	316	16	24	24%	7%	110	+2.1	243/308/424	181	301	17	23	24%	7%	106	+2.0
✕Josh Lowe 2024 · MLB	26	54→57	53→55	60	43	263/316/444	181	352	19	30	30%	7%	113	+2.3	236/292/396	160	315	18	27	30%	7%	93	+0.8	218/279/368	151	289	18	26	30%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	49→43	48→50	62→65	45	241/307/390	148	306	14	32	25%	7%	97	+1.1	251/323/380	129	314	11	35	22%	8%	100	+1.3	242/316/354	112	309	7	38	22%	9%	90	+0.3
●Nate McLouth 2008 · MLB	26	50→57	50→60	60	50	253/323/415	162	291	16	27	19%	8%	109	+2.0	251/331/437	186	274	20	20	16%	9%	117	+2.6	242/327/421	180	260	20	19	16%	10%	112	+2.1
●Will Venable 2012 · MLB	29	47→55	50→55	63→60	45	238/298/398	160	299	17	28	26%	7%	95	+1.0	253/309/420	167	309	16	26	23%	7%	104	+1.6	253/308/416	163	306	16	24	22%	7%	104	+1.3
✕Eric Patterson 2010 · MLB	27	51→55	45→50	62→60	47	250/306/382	131	307	11	32	22%	7%	94	+0.9	221/280/351	130	283	11	27	24%	7%	78	-0.3	198/263/317	119	258	9	26	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Tommy Edman 2024 · MLB	29	51→58	47→50	59→55	49	255/310/398	144	284	14	27	16%	7%	99	+1.3	240/301/387	147	272	17	16	18%	7%	95	+0.9	234/300/373	140	269	17	11	20%	7%	92	+0.4
✕Chris Dickerson 2009 · MLB	27	52→56	49→50	60	45	246/318/407	161	351	15	26	32%	9%	104	+1.6	251/325/375	124	350	10	26	28%	10%	100	+1.3	237/311/378	141	327	13	22	29%	9%	95	+0.5
●Jason Kipnis 2014 · MLB	27	54→62	48→55	57→55	54	264/340/417	153	312	15	24	20%	10%	115	+2.4	267/336/409	142	319	12	18	19%	9%	112	+2.2	266/333/438	171	314	15	11	19%	8%	118	+2.5
✕Josh Rojas 2021 · MLB	27	47→53	47→50	54→55	51	233/304/372	139	279	13	24	21%	9%	91	+0.7	248/321/373	125	312	12	17	23%	10%	98	+1.2	249/322/365	117	312	11	18	22%	10%	97	+0.9
✕Cade Marlowe 2024 · MLB	27	46→55	50→55	61→60	43	229/296/388	159	321	17	29	32%	8%	93	+0.8	225/292/351	126	328	11	35	32%	8%	82	+0.0	229/295/350	122	329	10	40	31%	8%	82	-0.0

Dustin Harris

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps