Christian Ruebeck

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	34	0	41	6.31	4.55	27.2%	19.5%	—	K 20.6% · BB 24.4% · FIP 6.03
2025	24	A+LAD	36	0	36	6.81	3.69	30.9%	17.1%	—	K 23.8% · BB 19.7% · FIP 4.78
2026	25	AALAD	28	1	34	4.72	3.77	23.8%	17.9%	—	K 19.3% · BB 19.6% · FIP 4.35
2027PROJ	26	MLBLAD	20	0	21	5.47	5.47	21.0%	18.6%	-0.2
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBLAD	11	0	12	5.38	5.39	21.2%	17.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsZane Russell (age 24) · Haden Erbe (age 25) · Cody Scroggins (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.47

FIP5.47

K%21.0%

BB%18.6%

K-BB%2.4%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	10	0	9	45	15	10	0	0%	0.9	33.3%	22.2%	11.1%	0.0%	5.19	3.10	—
2023	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	10	0	9	45	15	10	0	0%	0.9	33.3%	22.2%	11.1%	0.0%	5.19	3.10	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	195	53	38	4	0%	1.2	20.6%	24.4%	-3.9%	2.9%	6.31	6.03	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	195	53	38	4	0%	1.2	20.6%	24.4%	-3.9%	2.9%	6.31	6.03	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	41	195	53	38	4	0%	1.2	27.2%	19.5%	7.7%	2.1%	6.31	4.55	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	36	0	36	175	54	30	3	0%	1.0	23.8%	19.7%	4.0%	2.2%	6.81	4.78	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	36	0	36	175	54	30	3	0%	1.0	23.8%	19.7%	4.0%	2.2%	6.81	4.78	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	36	0	36	175	54	30	3	0%	1.0	30.9%	17.1%	13.7%	1.7%	6.81	3.69	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	28	1	34	168	40	30	1	4%	1.2	19.3%	19.6%	-0.4%	0.7%	4.72	4.35	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	28	1	34	168	40	30	1	4%	1.2	19.3%	19.6%	-0.4%	0.7%	4.72	4.35	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	28	1	34	168	40	30	1	4%	1.2	23.8%	17.9%	6.0%	0.6%	4.72	3.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	LAD	20	0	21	89	19	16	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	18.6%	2.4%	2.6%	5.47	5.47	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAD	30	0	32	133	28	24	4	0%	1.1	21.2%	17.7%	3.5%	2.7%	5.38	5.39	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAD	11	0	12	51	11	9	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	17.7%	3.5%	2.7%	5.38	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	11	9	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	17.7%	3.5%	2.7%	5.38	5.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	152	17	0%	1.1	21.2%	17.7%	3.5%	2.7%	5.38	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		108	1	120	583	129	125	11	1%	1.1	22.1%	21.5%	0.7%	1.8%	5.92	4.94	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		180	2	200	972	215	209	18	1%	1.1	22.1%	21.5%	0.7%	1.8%	5.92	4.94	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Christian Ruebeck (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.47	21.0%	18.6%	2.6%	—	5.39	21.2%	3.5%	32	-0.08	—	—	—
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	88
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	85
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	84
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	83
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	82
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	82
Manuel Alvarez R 2022 · 5.02 FIP	26	SU	5.02	20.3%	17.1%	2.7%	.330	6.63	11.8%	-14.8%	12	+1.61	4.58	154	81
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	81
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	81
Andrew Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	26	SU	4.87	18.9%	18.1%	1.9%	.311	3.86	23.3%	7.7%	84	-1.01	3.56	176	81
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	80
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	80
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	80
Holt Jones R 2024 · 4.36 FIP	25	SU	4.36	19.0%	15.0%	1.8%	.326	4.32	22.4%	8.3%	123	-0.04	4.21	254	80
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	155	79
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	79
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	79
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	79
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	78
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	21.1%	18.1%	1.02	5.42
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*