Drew McDaniel

P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	ACWS	20	17	78	4.60	3.59	19.0%	7.7%	—	K 14.1% · BB 9.1% · FIP 4.71
2024	23	MIX2 levels	12	12	61	4.13	2.92	25.9%	7.2%	—	K 19.4% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.24
2026	25	A+CWS	25	23	91	4.57	4.47	23.8%	9.7%	—	K 18.3% · BB 11.1% · FIP 5.65
2027PROJ	26	MLBCWS	10	10	60	5.12	5.12	19.1%	10.7%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBCWS	5	5	29	5.05	5.07	19.4%	10.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBCWS	8	8	46	4.89	4.82	21.5%	9.6%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsAlejandro Martinez (age 26) · Jake Walters (age 26) · Ricky Castro (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%19.1%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	5	30	7	4	0	0%	1.1	23.3%	13.3%	10.0%	0.0%	8.44	2.82	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	5	30	7	4	0	0%	1.1	23.3%	13.3%	10.0%	0.0%	8.44	2.73	—
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	20	17	78	352	67	27	7	85%	3.9	14.1%	9.1%	5.0%	3.0%	4.60	4.71	—
2023	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	20	17	78	352	67	27	7	85%	3.9	19.0%	7.7%	11.4%	2.0%	4.60	3.59	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	61	251	65	18	5	100%	5.1	19.4%	8.4%	11.0%	3.1%	4.13	4.24	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	61	251	65	18	5	100%	5.1	19.4%	8.4%	11.0%	3.1%	4.13	4.24	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	12	61	251	65	18	5	100%	5.1	25.9%	7.2%	18.7%	2.0%	4.13	2.92	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	25	23	91	383	91	37	15	92%	3.6	18.3%	11.1%	7.2%	4.9%	4.57	5.65	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	25	23	91	383	91	37	15	92%	3.6	18.3%	11.1%	7.2%	4.9%	4.57	5.65	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	25	23	91	383	91	37	15	92%	3.6	23.8%	9.7%	14.1%	3.9%	4.57	4.47	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CWS	10	10	60	253	48	27	9	100%	6.0	19.1%	10.7%	8.5%	3.5%	5.12	5.12	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	80	339	66	36	12	100%	6.2	19.4%	10.5%	8.9%	3.5%	5.05	5.07	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	78	329	71	32	12	100%	6.0	21.5%	9.6%	11.9%	3.5%	4.89	4.82	+0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	74	315	67	31	11	100%	6.2	21.3%	9.8%	11.5%	3.7%	4.90	4.93	-0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	70	296	62	30	11	100%	5.8	21.0%	10.1%	11.0%	3.8%	5.00	5.09	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	5	5	29	122	24	13	4	100%	5.8	19.4%	10.5%	8.9%	3.5%	5.05	5.07	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	8	8	46	194	42	19	7	100%	5.8	21.5%	9.6%	11.9%	3.5%	4.89	4.82	+0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	52	220	47	22	8	100%	5.8	21.3%	9.8%	11.5%	3.7%	4.90	4.93	-0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	55	232	49	23	9	100%	6.1	21.0%	10.1%	11.0%	3.8%	5.00	5.09	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	183	771	162	77	28	100%	6.1	21.0%	9.9%	11.0%	3.6%	4.95	4.59	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	178	84	31	100%	6.0	21.0%	9.9%	11.0%	3.6%	4.95	4.59	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		62	52	235	1016	175	99	37	84%	3.8	17.2%	9.8%	7.5%	3.7%	4.55	4.89	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	44	200	863	149	85	32	84%	3.8	17.2%	9.8%	7.5%	3.7%	4.55	4.89	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew McDaniel (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	19.1%	10.7%	3.5%	—	4.94	20.7%	10.8%	233	-0.18	—	—	—
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	81
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.85	15.2%	1.3%	72	+1.82	3.51	261	81
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	80
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	79
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	78
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	78
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	78
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	78
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	78
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	77
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	77
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	77
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	76
Hayden Minton R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	23	SP	4.04	19.7%	12.3%	1.9%	.357	4.53	19.4%	10.3%	187	+0.49	4.04	280	76
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.83	14.2%	5.0%	81	+1.12	4.43	239	76
Chance Kirby R 2021 · 5.83 FIP	26	SP-	5.83	15.1%	10.0%	5.0%	.242	4.59	18.5%	11.2%	138	-1.24	4.14	325	75
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.90	12.7%	5.3%	173	-0.43	4.40	412	75
Cole Percival R 2024 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	17.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.296	3.58	20.5%	9.5%	36	-1.02	3.58	327	75
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	75
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	73	20.5%	10.1%	1.39	4.99
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Phil Hennigan ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.4	70	20.9%*	10.4%*	1.50*	4.95*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Wes Stock ('59-'67, 2 WAR*)	2.6	74	22.3%*	9.6%*	1.29*	4.22*