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Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Athletics Green | 10 | 9 | 22 | 109 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 90% | 2.2 | 8.7% | 16.1% | -7.3% | 3.9% | 10.38 | 6.51 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Athletics Green | 10 | 9 | 22 | 109 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 90% | 2.2 | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 2.8% | 10.38 | 5.55 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Stockton Ports | 6 | 5 | 15 | 74 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 83% | 2.4 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 11.05 | 5.67 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Stockton Ports | 6 | 5 | 15 | 74 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 83% | 2.4 | 31.1% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 5.4% | 11.05 | 5.15 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 9 | 51 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 80% | 1.9 | 19.6% | 23.5% | -3.9% | 0.0% | 9.64 | 4.42 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 9 | 51 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 80% | 1.9 | 19.6% | 23.5% | -3.9% | 0.0% | 9.64 | 4.81 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 89 | 383 | 88 | 57 | 6 | 86% | 4.0 | 17.3% | 17.2% | 0.1% | 1.8% | 3.84 | 4.83 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 89 | 383 | 88 | 57 | 6 | 86% | 4.0 | 23.0% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 3.84 | 3.92 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 16 | 90 | 412 | 100 | 51 | 9 | 62% | 3.5 | 18.1% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.18 | 4.88 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 16 | 90 | 412 | 100 | 51 | 9 | 62% | 3.5 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 2.2% | 5.18 | 3.87 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Stockton Ports | 25 | 13 | 91 | 410 | 95 | 39 | 11 | 52% | 3.6 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.63 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Stockton Ports | 25 | 13 | 91 | 410 | 95 | 39 | 11 | 52% | 3.6 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.86 | 3.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 22 | 0 | 29 | 130 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.4% | 13.3% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 3.99 | 6.12 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 49 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.6% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.45 | 5.45 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 99 | 426 | 75 | 56 | 14 | — | — | 17.6% | 13.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 5.65 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.6% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.45 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 52 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.32 | 5.30 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 53 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.26 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 51 | 37 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.27 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 49 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.35 | 5.41 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.32 | 5.30 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.26 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.27 | 5.30 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.35 | 5.41 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 168 | 0 | 176 | 744 | 134 | 98 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.30 | 4.95 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 152 | 111 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.30 | 4.95 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 116 | 66 | 345 | 1569 | 268 | 228 | 44 | 57% | 3.0 | 17.1% | 14.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.35 | 5.04 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 38 | 200 | 910 | 155 | 132 | 26 | 57% | 3.0 | 17.1% | 14.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.35 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Dicochea (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.45 | 16.6% | 13.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.29 | 17.9% | 4.7% | 206 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 85 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 84 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 83 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 82 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 82 |
| Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.74 | 17.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .251 | 4.30 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 98 | -0.44 | 3.06 | 322 | 82 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 81 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 81 |
| Carlos Tavera R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.27 | 18.5% | 14.8% | 3.4% | .299 | 5.57 | 22.2% | 8.0% | 29 | +0.30 | 4.12 | 263 | 80 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 80 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 79 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 18.5% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .308 | 4.47 | 22.9% | 7.2% | 102 | -0.15 | 3.72 | 283 | 78 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2024 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 78 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 78 |
| Erich Uelmen R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.19 | 17.9% | 11.0% | 4.0% | .267 | 3.90 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 112 | -1.29 | 3.53 | 383 | 78 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 78 |
| Ryan Watson R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.12 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .321 | 3.83 | 21.8% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.29 | 3.07 | 393 | 77 |
| Braxton Hyde R 2025 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.67 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 4.0% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 198 | 76 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 76 |
| Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 68 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 1.18 | 5.33 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |