Michael Dominguez

P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 26 RHP 5'10" / 175 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	MIX2 levels	23	23	102	3.87	5.03	28.0%	16.8%	—	K 21.9% · BB 19.0% · FIP 6.11
2024	23	AATOR	22	22	97	4.56	5.41	20.1%	13.6%	—	K 16.3% · BB 14.9% · FIP 5.98
2025	24	AATOR	23	6	50	5.22	4.74	26.6%	12.7%	—	K 21.6% · BB 13.9% · FIP 5.97
2027PROJ	26	MLBTOR	20	20	122	5.49	5.49	20.1%	14.6%	-0.8
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBTOR	8	8	45	5.38	5.40	20.2%	14.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBTOR	12	12	70	5.36	5.40	20.2%	13.7%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control35Command45

CompsNick Pasquale (age 26) · Luis Santos (age 26) · Derek True (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%20.1%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%5.5%

Proj IP122

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 122 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	9	3	24	95	29	10	1	33%	2.7	20.8%	13.2%	7.6%	1.5%	1.12	3.82	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	9	3	24	95	29	10	1	33%	2.7	30.5%	10.5%	20.0%	1.1%	1.12	2.48	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	9	39	169	44	14	4	82%	3.5	17.9%	11.1%	6.9%	2.0%	3.72	4.09	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	9	39	169	44	14	4	82%	3.5	26.0%	8.3%	17.8%	2.4%	3.72	3.26	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	81	350	104	31	11	90%	4.0	22.3%	10.3%	12.0%	4.3%	5.02	4.91	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	18	81	350	104	31	11	90%	4.0	29.7%	8.9%	20.9%	3.1%	5.02	3.45	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	102	429	120	72	17	100%	4.4	21.9%	19.0%	2.9%	4.5%	3.87	6.11	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	102	429	120	72	17	100%	4.4	28.0%	16.8%	11.2%	4.0%	3.87	5.03	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	22	22	97	413	83	56	17	100%	4.4	16.3%	14.9%	1.4%	4.3%	4.56	5.98	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	22	22	97	413	83	56	17	100%	4.4	16.3%	14.9%	1.4%	4.3%	4.56	5.98	—
2024	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	22	22	97	413	83	56	17	100%	4.4	20.1%	13.6%	6.5%	4.1%	4.56	5.41	—
2025	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	23	6	50	229	61	29	9	26%	2.2	21.6%	13.9%	7.6%	5.3%	5.22	5.97	—
2025	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	23	6	50	229	61	29	9	26%	2.2	21.6%	13.9%	7.6%	5.3%	5.22	5.97	—
2025	24	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	23	6	50	229	61	29	9	26%	2.2	26.6%	12.7%	14.0%	3.9%	5.22	4.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TOR	20	20	122	515	103	75	17	100%	6.1	20.1%	14.6%	5.5%	3.4%	5.49	5.49	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TOR	20	20	120	509	103	71	17	100%	6.0	20.2%	14.0%	6.2%	3.4%	5.38	5.40	-0.7
2029	28	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	117	494	100	67	17	100%	6.2	20.2%	13.7%	6.6%	3.5%	5.36	5.40	-0.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	112	471	95	64	17	100%	5.9	20.1%	13.6%	6.5%	3.6%	5.40	5.47	-0.7
2031	30	MLB MLE	TOR	17	17	105	443	88	61	17	100%	6.2	19.8%	13.8%	6.0%	3.8%	5.52	5.62	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	TOR	8	8	45	190	38	27	6	100%	5.6	20.2%	14.0%	6.2%	3.4%	5.38	5.40	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	TOR	12	12	70	296	60	40	10	100%	5.8	20.2%	13.7%	6.6%	3.5%	5.36	5.40	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	TOR	13	13	79	334	67	45	12	100%	6.1	20.1%	13.6%	6.5%	3.6%	5.40	5.47	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	TOR	14	14	82	346	69	48	13	100%	5.9	19.8%	13.8%	6.0%	3.8%	5.52	5.62	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		46	46	276	1165	234	160	42	100%	6.0	20.1%	13.7%	6.3%	3.6%	5.42	5.10	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	170	116	30	100%	6.0	20.1%	13.7%	6.3%	3.6%	5.42	5.10	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		108	81	392	1685	339	243	69	75%	3.6	20.1%	14.4%	5.7%	4.1%	4.27	5.48	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	41	200	859	173	124	35	75%	3.6	20.1%	14.4%	5.7%	4.1%	4.27	5.48	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Dominguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	20.1%	14.6%	3.4%	—	5.42	20.2%	6.4%	349	-0.07	—	—	—
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	84
Luis Santos R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	19.7%	9.7%	3.8%	.262	3.93	22.1%	13.0%	127	-0.83	3.53	472	77
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	77
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	77
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	76
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	75
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	75
Osvaldo Bido R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SP-	5.11	21.2%	13.3%	3.9%	.281	4.28	21.2%	12.1%	322	-0.83	3.67	732	74
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	74
Elijah Dale R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP	4.55	16.7%	13.6%	2.1%	.239	6.48	18.4%	-1.6%	31	+1.93	4.55	140	74
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	74
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	74
Forrest Snow R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	16.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.263	4.14	21.8%	14.2%	256	-0.89	3.02	406	74
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.83	14.2%	5.0%	81	+1.12	4.43	239	74
Justin Armbruester R 2024 · 5.73 FIP	25	SP	5.73	20.2%	11.1%	5.3%	.289	1.49	27.5%	21.9%	15	-4.24	1.49	373	73
Bubba Derby R 2019 · 5.42 FIP	25	SP-	5.42	18.0%	10.1%	4.7%	.287	5.14	19.4%	11.0%	71	-0.28	3.68	550	72
M.D. Johnson R 2023 · 5.64 FIP	26	SP	5.64	16.4%	12.7%	4.2%	.254	3.52	14.6%	4.7%	67	-2.12	3.52	395	72
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.90	12.7%	5.3%	173	-0.43	4.40	412	72
D.J. Houlton R 2005 · 4.85 FIP	25	SP-	4.85	15.6%	8.5%	3.6%	.297	4.74	18.6%	12.4%	28	-0.11	4.74	157	72
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	115	20.1%	13.9%	1.36	5.43
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*
Gene Dale ('11-'16, -1 WAR*)	2.2	148	17.7%*	12.6%*	1.45*	5.30*
Jason Bere ('03)	5.6	123	18.4%	12.6%	1.17	5.14
Mysterious Walker ('10-'15, -1 WAR*)	1.5	99	20.6%*	11.4%*	1.25*	5.38*
Emmett O'Neill ('43-'46, -2 WAR*)	1.8	119	19.1%*	15.5%*	0.99*	5.94*
Tyler Green ('98)	1.9	128	15.4%	11.8%	1.10	5.16