Brady Lindsly — OGILVIE

Brady LindslyC Rochester Red Wings

Age 28 L/R 6'1" / 220 lbs AAA HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .261 / .301

PA170

HR3

K%33

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25→25

PWR

35→35

SPD

43→43

EYE

44→44

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-5M		$-9M	-$4M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	150	135	27	3	1	2	14	52	0	1	0	.200	.275	.281	.557	.081	.305	35	9	.249	49	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2022	24	AA	2 teams	271	251	37	5	1	5	14	115	3	1	0	.147	.201	.235	.437	.088	.239	42	5	.195	7	-28	+0	+0	+5	+8	-1.6
2023	25	AA	2 teams	239	210	42	5	0	5	21	88	1	4	0	.200	.276	.295	.571	.095	.306	37	9	.249	48	-14	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	243	218	43	10	0	3	14	82	1	1	0	.197	.249	.284	.533	.087	.296	34	6	.227	32	-19	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.7
2025	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	69	61	8	1	0	1	6	26	1	0	0	.131	.221	.197	.417	.066	.206	38	9	.184	-1	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	WSH	170	154	30	6	0	3	13	57	1	2	0	.195	.262	.292	.554	.097	.283	34	8	.257	55	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	WSH	243	221	44	8	1	5	18	79	2	3	1	.199	.266	.312	.578	.113	.284	33	7	.262	58	-11	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
2028	30	MLB 33%	WSH	290	264	53	10	1	6	22	93	2	3	0	.201	.267	.314	.582	.114	.283	32	8	.263	60	-13	+1	-2	+5	+8	-0.1
2029	31	MLB 43%	WSH	278	253	51	10	1	5	21	89	2	2	0	.202	.268	.308	.576	.107	.282	32	8	.262	59	-13	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.2
2030	32	MLB 52%	WSH	258	234	47	9	1	5	20	84	2	2	0	.201	.270	.312	.581	.111	.281	33	8	.259	57	-13	+0	-4	+5	+7	-0.4
2031	33	MLB 64%	WSH	228	207	41	8	1	4	17	75	2	2	0	.198	.265	.304	.570	.106	.279	33	7	.254	53	-12	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.6
2032	34	MLB 73%	WSH	186	169	31	6	0	3	14	63	1	1	0	.183	.250	.272	.522	.089	.277	34	8	.248	48	-11	+0	-5	+3	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2625	2377	454	81	7	47	194	903	18	22	1	.191	.257	.290	.548	.099	.282	34	7	.246	46	-159	+4	-19	+47	+74	-5.4
/ 162G	—			650	589	113	20	2	12	48	224	4	5	0	.192	.257	.294	.551	.102	.283	34	7	.246	46	-39	+1	-5	+12	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	69	62	16	2	0	0	7	15	0	0	.258	.333	.290	.624	.032	.340	22	10	.292	81	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	81	67	14	2	1	2	13	23	0	1	.209	.338	.358	.696	.149	.279	28	16	.316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	242	221	42	6	1	6	17	80	3	0	.190	.257	.308	.565	.118	.265	33	7	.257	55	-12	+0	—	—	+7	-0.6
2022	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	29	22	4	0	0	0	5	8	0	1	.182	.333	.182	.515	.000	.250	28	17	.245	46	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	82	70	17	1	0	4	7	28	1	1	.243	.321	.429	.749	.186	.317	34	9	.318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	157	131	30	5	0	2	23	42	0	3	.229	.344	.313	.657	.084	.318	27	15	.302	89	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	243	212	49	12	0	3	19	65	1	1	.231	.296	.330	.626	.099	.315	27	8	.273	67	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.2
2025	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	69	58	8	1	0	1	9	22	1	0	.138	.265	.207	.472	.069	.200	32	13	.229	34	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Lindsly (OGILVIE)	28	25	35	43	44	.195/.261/.301	.106	.283	3	2	33%	7%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	43→45	48→30	43	.183/.252/.292	.109	.264	10	5	33%	8%	48	-1.9	.194/.265/.297	.103	.312	9	6	37%	9%	55	-1.4	.125/.205/.184	.059	.260	4	0	49%	9%	0	-1.2
✕Steven Lerud 2013 · AAA	28	40→42	41→45	42→40	37	.192/.259/.287	.095	.303	9	4	37%	6%	50	-1.7	.211/.289/.302	.091	.303	8	5	30%	8%	66	-0.6	.213/.299/.279	.066	.305	5	1	29%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	43	.197/.260/.308	.111	.260	13	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.211/.260/.328	.117	.271	13	5	26%	6%	60	-1.0	.210/.254/.324	.114	.266	12	1	25%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Dom Nuñez 2023 · MLB	28	36→43	45→50	46→45	49	.185/.271/.311	.126	.259	12	4	32%	10%	62	-0.9	.176/.265/.289	.113	.261	11	6	34%	10%	54	-1.4	.147/.248/.254	.107	.221	11	4	36%	11%	36	-1.2
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA	28	44→38	39→40	42→40	49	.207/.294/.283	.077	.298	7	6	31%	10%	64	-0.8	.199/.270/.265	.066	.276	6	5	28%	8%	49	-1.8	.181/.264/.241	.061	.241	5	0	25%	10%	38	-0.8
✕Logan Moore 2018 · AAA	27	41	43→40	43→30	39	.204/.251/.308	.104	.284	11	3	32%	6%	51	-1.7	.194/.256/.289	.095	.274	10	5	31%	7%	49	-1.8	.155/.232/.214	.059	.216	6	0	29%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	46→45	43	.181/.257/.295	.114	.275	12	9	37%	9%	52	-1.6	.181/.267/.319	.138	.277	18	6	38%	10%	63	-0.9	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Anthony Bemboom 2018 · AAA	28	43	40→45	45	45	.209/.265/.299	.091	.269	8	7	25%	7%	54	-1.4	.201/.265/.305	.104	.264	10	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	.199/.271/.309	.111	.257	12	2	26%	8%	58	-0.4
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	39	39→30	47→45	44	.188/.264/.271	.083	.282	6	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	.210/.266/.313	.103	.290	8	8	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.195/.246/.310	.115	.264	10	0	29%	6%	50	-0.3
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	38→35	42→45	43→30	40	.191/.259/.288	.097	.275	10	2	33%	7%	50	-1.7	.184/.241/.291	.107	.277	11	4	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.158/.206/.269	.111	.240	13	1	39%	5%	20	-2.8
✕Nick Ciuffo 2022 · AAA	27	41→42	45→40	49→40	37	.204/.253/.325	.121	.304	12	9	36%	6%	56	-1.3	.219/.263/.331	.112	.338	13	8	37%	5%	63	-0.9	.214/.251/.290	.075	.339	11	0	38%	4%	42	-0.6
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	.202/.249/.290	.088	.280	7	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	.221/.277/.307	.086	.290	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	.215/.272/.281	.066	.278	3	2	22%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→36	41→40	42→50	41	.197/.255/.287	.090	.280	10	9	32%	7%	47	-1.9	.187/.250/.285	.098	.263	11	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	.153/.225/.238	.085	.211	12	11	32%	7%	22	-1.3
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	38	44→45	47→40	40	.194/.247/.308	.114	.270	12	4	32%	6%	50	-1.7	.198/.255/.324	.126	.283	16	5	34%	7%	57	-1.2	.183/.287/.336	.152	.261	22	8	36%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Jordan Procyshen 2021 · AA	28	39	47→40	45→40	42	.202/.251/.335	.133	.249	15	6	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.201/.276/.329	.128	.277	15	7	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.167/.257/.287	.120	.229	16	6	33%	8%	48	-0.4
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→42	41→45	47→50	43	.193/.254/.284	.092	.249	10	12	26%	6%	46	-2.0	.221/.284/.356	.135	.267	16	14	23%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.293/.382	.154	.263	20	15	22%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	39	41→40	50→55	43	.192/.252/.291	.099	.264	9	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.193/.261/.280	.087	.291	8	11	34%	7%	49	-1.8	.161/.236/.224	.063	.253	6	8	36%	7%	21	-1.1
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA	28	41	45	45→40	39	.209/.261/.332	.122	.276	14	5	29%	5%	62	-0.9	.215/.263/.342	.127	.288	15	7	30%	5%	66	-0.6	.180/.219/.291	.112	.242	14	3	32%	3%	31	-1.0
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	47→50	50	44	.181/.258/.318	.137	.259	15	13	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.189/.267/.321	.132	.273	16	12	35%	9%	63	-0.9	.160/.249/.296	.136	.218	19	12	36%	9%	46	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)