Wade Meckler
CF Los Angeles Angels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AA/A+/A/ROKSF | 383 | .280/.366/.423 | 9 | 9 | 86 | — | .258/.320/.374 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAASF | 401 | .287/.393/.370 | 1 | 11 | 98 | — | .272/.348/.348 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/AALAA | 138 | .315/.445/.477 | 4 | 6 | 113 | — | .270/.365/.393 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBLAA | 337 | .300/.373/.387 | 3 | 8 | 120 | 1.9 | |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBLAA | 272 | .260/.339/.366 | 4 | 13 | 103 | 0.9 | |
| 2028PROJ92% MLB | 28 | MLBLAA | 263 | .259/.337/.361 | 4 | 11 | 101 | 0.7 | |
| 2029PROJ92% MLB | 29 | MLBLAA | 261 | .255/.333/.353 | 4 | 9 | 98 | 0.5 |
Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 60 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 50 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 439 | 540 | 683 | 1.223 | 244 | 531 | 16 | 18 | 528 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | — | 50 | 38 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 289 | 460 | 395 | 855 | 105 | 367 | 16 | 22 | 398 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 64 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 328 | 250 | 578 | 18 | 419 | 39 | 9 | 278 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 102 | 82 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 354 | 470 | 500 | 970 | 146 | 443 | 20 | 18 | 425 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 174 | 149 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 336 | 431 | 450 | 881 | 114 | 407 | 17 | 14 | 397 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 87 | 79 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 456 | 500 | 633 | 1.133 | 177 | 493 | 10 | 7 | 492 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 196 | 177 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 288 | 357 | 508 | 866 | 220 | 299 | 13 | 10 | 379 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 42 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 324 | 405 | 378 | 783 | 54 | 444 | 24 | 12 | 360 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 19 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 429 | 556 | 500 | 1.056 | 71 | 500 | 16 | 21 | 453 | 162 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 59 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 339 | 314 | 653 | 78 | 275 | 17 | 14 | 305 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | ACL Giants | — | 67 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 228 | 343 | 263 | 606 | 35 | 295 | 19 | 13 | 292 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 401 | 338 | 97 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 72 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 287 | 393 | 370 | 763 | 83 | 358 | 18 | 14 | 348 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 337 | 300 | 90 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 63 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 300 | 373 | 387 | 760 | 87 | 372 | 19 | 9 | 344 | 120 | +8 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +7 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 412 | 412 | 18 | 41 | 287 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 121 | 101 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 347 | 450 | 525 | 975 | 178 | 403 | 17 | 16 | 429 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 401 | 356 | 103 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 88 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 289 | 366 | 365 | 731 | 76 | 377 | 22 | 9 | 333 | 112 | +6 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +9 | 1.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 50 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 364 | 440 | 568 | 1.008 | 205 | 478 | 24 | 12 | 423 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 50 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 262 | 582 | 71 | 274 | 24 | 14 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 64 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 328 | 250 | 578 | 18 | 419 | 39 | 9 | 281 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 102 | 87 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 333 | 420 | 437 | 857 | 103 | 429 | 22 | 13 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 174 | 156 | 51 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 327 | 397 | 429 | 826 | 103 | 417 | 20 | 10 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 87 | 81 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 383 | 419 | 543 | 962 | 160 | 411 | 14 | 5 | 397 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 196 | 183 | 50 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 273 | 321 | 448 | 770 | 175 | 293 | 14 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 42 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 368 | 749 | 53 | 422 | 29 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 19 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 400 | 500 | 467 | 967 | 67 | 444 | 21 | 16 | 408 | 162 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 59 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 288 | 283 | 571 | 75 | 253 | 24 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants | — | 67 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 180 | 254 | 213 | 467 | 33 | 240 | 28 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 401 | 356 | 97 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 85 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 272 | 348 | 348 | 696 | 76 | 349 | 21 | 10 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 337 | 300 | 91 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 63 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 303 | 376 | 393 | 769 | 90 | 372 | 19 | 9 | 346 | 120 | +8 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +7 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 17 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 24 | 24 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 121 | 107 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 308 | 383 | 449 | 832 | 140 | 367 | 20 | 11 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 100 | 86 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 291 | 390 | 430 | 820 | 140 | 387 | 23 | 13 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 100 | 79 | 29 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 367 | 500 | 544 | 1.044 | 177 | 452 | 16 | 20 | 463 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 427 | 379 | 124 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 94 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 327 | 399 | 430 | 829 | 103 | 422 | 22 | 10 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 427 | 366 | 128 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 55 | 83 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 350 | 439 | 470 | 909 | 120 | 437 | 19 | 13 | 405 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 5 teams | — | 383 | 351 | 88 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 77 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 251 | 312 | 365 | 676 | 114 | 302 | 20 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 5 teams | — | 383 | 336 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 280 | 366 | 423 | 789 | 143 | 318 | 16 | 12 | 354 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 401 | 356 | 97 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 85 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 272 | 348 | 348 | 696 | 76 | 352 | 21 | 10 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 401 | 338 | 97 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 72 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 287 | 393 | 370 | 763 | 83 | 358 | 18 | 14 | 348 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 475 | 420 | 123 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 91 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 293 | 371 | 390 | 761 | 98 | 362 | 19 | 10 | 343 | 118 | +10 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 475 | 411 | 125 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 58 | 86 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 304 | 394 | 411 | 805 | 107 | 371 | 18 | 12 | 363 | 118 | +10 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 100 | 86 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 291 | 390 | 430 | 820 | 140 | 376 | 23 | 13 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 427 | 379 | 124 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 94 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 327 | 399 | 430 | 829 | 103 | 419 | 22 | 10 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 5 teams | — | 383 | 349 | 88 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 77 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 252 | 312 | 367 | 678 | 115 | 299 | 20 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 401 | 357 | 97 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 85 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 272 | 348 | 347 | 695 | 76 | 349 | 21 | 10 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 475 | 420 | 123 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 91 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 293 | 371 | 390 | 761 | 98 | 357 | 19 | 10 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 5 teams | — | 383 | 349 | 88 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 77 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 252 | 312 | 367 | 678 | 115 | 299 | 20 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 401 | 357 | 97 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 85 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 272 | 348 | 347 | 695 | 76 | 349 | 21 | 10 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 475 | 420 | 123 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 91 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 293 | 371 | 390 | 761 | 98 | 357 | 19 | 10 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 100% | 380 | 337 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 76 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 262 | 340 | 368 | 709 | 106 | 319 | 20 | 10 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 100% | 272 | 241 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 54 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 260 | 339 | 366 | 705 | 106 | 317 | 20 | 10 | 319 | 103 | +1 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.9 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 92% | 286 | 254 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 58 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 260 | 338 | 364 | 702 | 104 | 318 | 20 | 10 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 92% | 284 | 252 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 58 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 256 | 334 | 355 | 690 | 99 | 315 | 20 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 92% | 281 | 250 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 58 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 253 | 331 | 347 | 678 | 94 | 313 | 21 | 10 | 308 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAA | 92% | 263 | 234 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 56 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 249 | 326 | 337 | 663 | 88 | 311 | 21 | 10 | 302 | 90 | -3 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 92% | 263 | 233 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 53 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 259 | 337 | 361 | 698 | 103 | 316 | 20 | 10 | 316 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 92% | 261 | 232 | 59 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 255 | 333 | 353 | 686 | 98 | 313 | 20 | 10 | 311 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 92% | 259 | 230 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 54 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 252 | 330 | 345 | 675 | 93 | 311 | 21 | 10 | 306 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAA | 92% | 242 | 216 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 247 | 325 | 335 | 660 | 88 | 308 | 21 | 10 | 300 | 90 | -3 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1426 | 1267 | 333 | 52 | 5 | 17 | 137 | 299 | 12 | 41 | 7 | 263 | 340 | 352 | 692 | 89 | 331 | 21 | 10 | 316 | 105 | +1 | +5 | -10 | +7 | +31 | 3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 152 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 62 | 136 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 263 | 340 | 353 | 692 | 90 | 330 | 21 | 10 | 316 | 105 | +0 | +2 | -4 | +3 | +14 | 1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3172 | 2823 | 771 | 129 | 16 | 39 | 308 | 654 | 20 | 97 | 17 | 273 | 349 | 372 | 720 | 98 | 342 | 21 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +1 | +8 | -11 | +8 | +39 | 4.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 157 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 63 | 134 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 272 | 347 | 369 | 715 | 97 | 340 | 21 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +0 | +3 | -4 | +3 | +14 | 1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 121 PAwOBA .418 → .358 (−59)K% 16.5% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 10.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 29.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .418 → .358; ISO .178 → .153; BABIP .403 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 17 PAwOBA .259 → .182 (−77)K% 17.6% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 35.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 24.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .259 → .182; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASacramento River Cats · 401 PAwOBA .342 → .313 (−29)K% 18.0% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.96% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.97% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.44% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 26.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.938 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.29% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .342 → .313; ISO .083 → .081; BABIP .358 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASacramento River Cats · 196 PAwOBA .369 → .329 (−40)K% 12.8% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.76% | ÷1.081 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.69% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 21.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷1.052 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 5.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.091 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 118, K 116, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .369 → .329; ISO .220 → .178; BABIP .299 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Giants · 67 PAwOBA .285 → .201 (−84)K% 19.4% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.40% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.43% | ÷1.062 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 7.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.955 | 20.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.927 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.955 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.178 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 101, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .285 → .201; ISO .035 → .026; BABIP .295 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASan Jose Giants · 59 PAwOBA .298 → .242 (−56)K% 16.9% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.95% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.56% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 9.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 22.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 1.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 1.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .298 → .242; ISO .078 → .061; BABIP .275 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 42 PAwOBA .351 → .307 (−44)K% 23.8% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.04% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 36.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.110 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .351 → .307; ISO .054 → .042; BABIP .444 → .422. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 19 PAwOBA .467 → .408 (−59)K% 15.8% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.968 | ×1.350 | — | — | 22.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 14.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 45.45% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 40.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 7.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .467 → .408; ISO .071 → .068; BABIP .500 → .444. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).