Jose Hernandez — OGILVIE

Jose HernandezC St. Lucie Mets

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.159 / .238 / .256

PA84

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mets 2	—	171	149	28	3	0	1	17	63	5	9	3	188	292	228	521	40	318	37	10	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mets 2	—	171	138	39	4	0	1	28	44	5	9	3	283	421	333	754	51	409	26	16	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Mets	—	45	39	1	0	0	0	3	28	3	1	0	26	156	26	181		91	62	7	111	-57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Mets	—	45	37	3	1	0	0	5	18	3	1	0	81	244	108	353	27	158	40	11	195	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	157	130	13	2	0	2	20	81	6	3	0	100	250	162	412	62	229	52	13	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	157	125	25	3	1	6	25	51	6	3	0	200	359	384	743	184	275	32	16	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	171	150	13	3	0	1	16	97	5	7	4	87	199	127	325	40	231	57	9	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	171	143	19	4	1	1	23	68	5	7	4	133	275	196	471	63	243	40	13	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	NYM	—	84	76	11	2	0	1	7	27	1	2	0	145	226	211	437	66	223	32	8	230	34	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYM	30%	133	119	21	4	1	3	11	41	2	2	1	176	258	303	560	126	231	31	8	243	44	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	NYM	30%	40	36	6	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	167	250	278	528	111	231	30	8	232	36	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	40	36	6	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	167	250	278	528	111	217	30	8	232	36	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	97	16	0	16	49	195	16	16	0	166	249	275	524	109	217	30	8	232	36	-47	+3	+0	+12	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	761	663	87	14	1	8	74	337	22	24	8	131	241	192	433	60	247	44	10	209	19	-70	+2	+0	+14	+22	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	75	12	1	7	63	288	19	20	7	133	242	194	437	62	249	44	10	209	19	-60	+1	+0	+12	+18	-2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mets 2	—	171	138	39	4	0	1	28	44	5	9	3	283	421	333	754	51	409	26	16	358	132	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	20	ROK	FCL Mets	—	45	37	3	1	0	0	5	18	3	1	0	81	244	108	353	27	158	40	11	195	8	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	157	125	25	3	1	6	25	51	6	3	0	200	359	384	743	184	275	32	16	340	118	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	52	48	5	2	0	0	4	26	0	2	0	104	173	146	319	42	227	50	8	155	-23	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	119	95	14	2	1	1	19	42	5	5	4	147	319	221	540	74	250	35	16	271	66	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Hernandez (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	159/238/256	97	223	1	2	32%	8%	34	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	41→45	48→40	36	174/228/264	89	257	9	5	35%	6%	30	-3.1	192/248/306	114	290	13	4	36%	6%	50	-1.7	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→45	51→50	41	200/254/308	108	269	9	14	28%	6%	53	-1.5	194/258/312	118	268	11	14	30%	7%	56	-1.3	176/245/296	120	243	12	15	31%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	38→39	41→45	48→50	39	188/245/290	102	278	8	15	34%	6%	44	-2.1	192/247/294	102	293	9	12	36%	6%	46	-2.0	188/243/286	98	278	10	9	34%	6%	40	-1.8
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Jalen Washington 2019 · A	24	40	40→45	47→45	45	195/267/287	92	272	8	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	202/269/311	109	272	10	9	28%	7%	60	-1.0	178/248/292	114	229	11	8	26%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→31	43→50	46→50	34	189/235/299	110	285	10	11	36%	5%	42	-2.3	188/238/321	133	290	15	12	39%	5%	50	-1.8	159/216/313	154	231	21	14	41%	7%	37	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	36	43→45	42→30	41	186/243/296	110	256	11	4	31%	7%	45	-2.1	217/257/323	106	294	10	3	28%	5%	57	-1.2	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A	24	30→31	40	51→50	36	158/209/247	88	227	7	14	33%	5%	18	-3.9	165/218/263	98	256	10	15	38%	5%	26	-3.4	147/202/242	95	231	12	16	41%	6%	12	-2.9
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Dennis Ortega 2021 · A	24	40	39→45	46→45	41	195/242/275	80	253	7	6	25%	5%	38	-2.6	200/251/280	80	312	6	7	36%	6%	43	-2.2	185/236/252	67	297	6	5	38%	6%	26	-1.0
✕Tate Blackman 2019 · A	24	37→34	44→45	43→40	40	187/260/298	112	287	13	5	37%	8%	54	-1.4	177/248/262	85	324	8	5	44%	7%	40	-2.4	124/203/169	45	259	4	1	50%	8%	-4	-3.0