Joel Ibarra
P Tulsa Drillers
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 176 lbs
AA
Overview
AAPROSPECT
ETA2028MLB%2%
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX2 levels | 12 | 0 | 9 | 17.65 | 10.14 | 24.1% | 29.6% | — | K 24.1% · BB 29.6% · FIP 7.87 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+LAD | 28 | 0 | 25 | 5.47 | 3.99 | 23.0% | 21.3% | — | K 17.7% · BB 24.5% · FIP 4.71 |
| 2026 | 24 | MIX2 levels | 18 | 0 | 16 | 9.56 | 7.29 | 16.1% | 30.1% | — | K 16.5% · BB 42.9% · FIP 8.26 |
| 2027PROJ | 25 | MLBLAD | 9 | 0 | 9 | 5.92 | 5.92 | 19.3% | 20.0% | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBLAD | 10 | 0 | 10 | 5.81 | 5.79 | 20.1% | 18.9% | -0.1 |
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsHaden Erbe (age 25) · Yordy Cabrera (age 25) · Ray Gaither (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 129
ERA5.92
FIP5.92
K%19.3%
BB%20.0%
K-BB%-0.7%
Proj IP9
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 18 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 31 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 16.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 5.16 | 4.13 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 18 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 31 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.0% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 1.0% | 5.16 | 2.66 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 19 | 4 | 37 | 165 | 50 | 19 | 3 | 21% | 1.9 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 4.17 | 4.08 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 19 | 4 | 37 | 165 | 50 | 19 | 3 | 21% | 1.9 | 30.3% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 1.8% | 4.17 | 2.99 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 38 | 2 | 61 | 259 | 71 | 49 | 2 | 5% | 1.6 | 20.3% | 22.3% | -2.0% | 1.0% | 2.64 | 4.75 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 38 | 2 | 61 | 259 | 71 | 49 | 2 | 5% | 1.6 | 27.4% | 18.9% | 8.5% | 0.8% | 2.64 | 3.61 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 9 | 54 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 0.7 | 24.1% | 29.6% | -5.6% | 5.6% | 17.65 | 7.87 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 9 | 54 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 0.7 | 24.1% | 29.6% | -5.6% | 5.6% | 17.65 | 7.87 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 9 | 54 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 0.7 | 24.1% | 29.6% | -5.6% | 5.6% | 17.65 | 10.14 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | 28 | 0 | 25 | 122 | 28 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.7% | 24.5% | -6.8% | 0.0% | 5.47 | 4.71 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | 28 | 0 | 25 | 122 | 28 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.7% | 24.5% | -6.8% | 0.0% | 5.47 | 4.71 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | 28 | 0 | 25 | 122 | 28 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.0% | 21.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 5.47 | 3.99 | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 16 | 93 | 15 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.5% | 42.9% | -26.4% | 2.0% | 9.56 | 8.26 | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 16 | 93 | 15 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.5% | 42.9% | -26.4% | 2.0% | 9.56 | 8.26 | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 16 | 93 | 15 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.1% | 30.1% | -14.0% | 1.1% | 9.56 | 7.29 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 20.0% | -0.7% | 2.8% | 5.92 | 5.92 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 19 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 18.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.74 | 5.72 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 18.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 9 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 18.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.40 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 164 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 18.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 5.40 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 133 | 6 | 170 | 793 | 159 | 183 | 12 | 5% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 23.0% | -3.0% | 1.5% | 5.14 | 5.15 | -0.3 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 156 | 7 | 200 | 933 | 187 | 215 | 14 | 5% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 23.0% | -3.0% | 1.5% | 5.14 | 5.15 | -2.7 | |