Reidis Sena

P Portland Sea Dogs

Age 26 RHP 5'10" / 160 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	35	0	59	4.40	3.86	32.3%	12.3%	—	K 25.1% · BB 14.0% · FIP 5.02
2025	24	AABOS	25	2	42	3.46	3.15	27.4%	16.2%	—	K 22.2% · BB 17.8% · FIP 3.81
2026	25	MIX2 levels	33	2	52	5.54	5.02	27.9%	19.8%	—	K 22.9% · BB 20.5% · FIP 5.59
2027PROJ	26	MLBBOS	67	0	70	5.71	5.71	22.7%	20.0%	-0.9
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBBOS	25	0	26	5.60	5.61	22.7%	19.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBBOS	38	0	40	5.56	5.60	22.7%	18.4%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control25Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsFernando Baez (age 25) · Nick Ernst (age 25) · Haden Erbe (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 125

ERA5.71

FIP5.71

K%22.7%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.7%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2525

CMD4040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	10	10	40	164	32	13	2	100%	4.0	13.3%	9.9%	3.4%	1.7%	4.05	4.17	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox 2	10	10	40	164	32	13	2	100%	4.0	19.5%	7.9%	11.6%	1.2%	4.05	3.12	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	9	3	22	96	31	13	1	33%	2.5	22.0%	16.9%	5.0%	1.5%	3.22	4.23	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	9	3	22	96	31	13	1	33%	2.5	32.3%	13.5%	18.8%	1.0%	3.22	2.65	—
2022	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	11	10	21	102	21	12	3	91%	1.9	15.2%	13.9%	1.4%	4.4%	5.91	5.97	—
2022	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	11	10	21	102	21	12	3	91%	1.9	20.6%	11.8%	8.8%	2.9%	5.91	4.65	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	30	127	35	15	0	0%	1.4	20.8%	13.8%	7.0%	0.0%	3.64	3.09	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	30	127	35	15	0	0%	1.4	27.6%	11.8%	15.7%	0.0%	3.64	2.26	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	59	260	84	32	9	0%	1.7	25.1%	14.0%	11.1%	4.1%	4.40	5.02	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	59	260	84	32	9	0%	1.7	25.1%	14.0%	11.1%	4.1%	4.40	5.02	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	59	260	84	32	9	0%	1.7	32.3%	12.3%	20.0%	3.5%	4.40	3.86	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	25	2	42	179	49	29	1	8%	1.7	22.2%	17.8%	4.4%	0.6%	3.46	3.81	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	25	2	42	179	49	29	1	8%	1.7	22.2%	17.8%	4.4%	0.6%	3.46	3.81	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	25	2	42	179	49	29	1	8%	1.7	27.4%	16.2%	11.2%	0.6%	3.46	3.15	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	2	52	247	69	49	7	6%	1.6	22.9%	20.5%	2.3%	3.3%	5.54	5.59	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	2	52	247	69	49	7	6%	1.6	22.9%	20.5%	2.3%	3.3%	5.54	5.59	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	2	52	247	69	49	7	6%	1.6	27.9%	19.8%	8.1%	2.8%	5.54	5.02	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	BOS	67	0	70	296	67	59	9	0%	1.0	22.7%	20.0%	2.7%	2.9%	5.71	5.71	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BOS	66	0	69	291	66	55	9	0%	1.0	22.7%	19.0%	3.7%	3.0%	5.60	5.61	-0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	BOS	64	0	67	282	64	52	9	0%	1.0	22.7%	18.4%	4.2%	3.1%	5.56	5.60	-0.8
2030	29	MLB MLE	BOS	61	0	64	270	61	49	9	0%	1.0	22.5%	18.2%	4.3%	3.2%	5.60	5.67	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	BOS	25	0	26	110	25	21	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	19.0%	3.7%	3.0%	5.60	5.61	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	BOS	38	0	40	169	38	31	5	0%	1.1	22.7%	18.4%	4.2%	3.1%	5.56	5.60	-0.5
2030	29	MLB CTX	BOS	43	0	45	190	43	35	6	0%	1.0	22.5%	18.2%	4.3%	3.2%	5.60	5.67	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	468	106	86	15	0%	1.0	22.6%	18.5%	4.1%	3.1%	5.59	5.25	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	155	27	0%	1.1	22.6%	18.5%	4.1%	3.1%	5.59	5.25	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		144	27	266	1175	246	183	29	19%	1.8	21.0%	15.6%	5.4%	2.4%	4.36	4.65	-2.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	20	200	882	185	138	22	19%	1.8	21.0%	15.6%	5.4%	2.4%	4.36	4.65	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reidis Sena (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.71	22.7%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.63	22.6%	4.1%	200	-0.08	—	—	—
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	83
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	79
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	79
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	78
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	78
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	77
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	77
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	77
Eric Cerantola R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	24	SW	4.65	25.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.245	3.74	26.2%	15.9%	100	-0.91	3.37	270	77
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	77
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	76
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	76
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	76
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	76
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	76
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	75
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	75
Hobie Harris R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	26	SU	4.99	21.6%	15.9%	3.1%	.256	4.65	24.1%	11.1%	97	-0.34	3.31	476	75
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	24	SU	4.59	24.1%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	75
Antonio Knowles R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	20.9%	15.1%	2.4%	.250	3.28	20.9%	11.7%	66	-1.30	3.24	223	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	22.6%	18.9%	1.19	5.62
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*