Sergio Sanchez — OGILVIE

Sergio Sanchez P Spokane Indians

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.31

FIP5.31

K%21.7%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	9	38	200	24	19	6	69%	2.9	8.2%	11.9%	-3.7%	4.2%	7.75	6.22	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	9	38	200	24	19	6	69%	2.9	12.0%	9.5%	2.5%	3.0%	7.75	5.37	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	20	0	23	103	33	11	1	0%	1.1	21.8%	13.3%	8.4%	1.3%	5.09	3.64	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	20	0	23	103	33	11	1	0%	1.1	32.0%	10.7%	21.4%	1.0%	5.09	2.23	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	46	0	71	324	77	47	3	0%	1.6	17.6%	17.1%	0.5%	1.3%	4.42	4.48	—
2022	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	46	0	71	324	77	47	3	0%	1.6	23.8%	14.5%	9.3%	0.9%	4.42	3.46	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	37	1	62	258	73	33	3	3%	1.7	20.9%	15.1%	5.8%	1.3%	3.50	3.94	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	37	1	62	258	73	33	3	3%	1.7	20.9%	15.1%	5.8%	1.3%	3.50	3.94	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	37	1	62	258	73	33	3	3%	1.7	28.3%	12.8%	15.5%	1.2%	3.50	2.97	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	28	0	39	189	50	31	8	0%	1.4	20.4%	18.9%	1.5%	4.9%	6.41	6.44	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	28	0	39	189	50	31	8	0%	1.4	20.4%	18.9%	1.5%	4.9%	6.41	6.44	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	28	0	39	189	50	31	8	0%	1.4	26.5%	16.4%	10.1%	4.2%	6.41	5.57	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	COL	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.7%	15.5%	6.2%	3.1%	5.31	5.31	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	34	0	35	149	33	22	5	0%	1.0	22.0%	14.8%	7.2%	3.1%	5.20	5.19	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	14	0	15	63	14	9	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.8%	7.2%	3.1%	5.20	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	64	14	10	2	0%	1.0	22.0%	14.8%	7.2%	3.1%	5.20	4.81	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	131	26	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.8%	7.2%	3.1%	5.20	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		144	10	234	1074	188	168	26	7%	1.6	17.5%	15.6%	1.9%	2.4%	5.12	4.94	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	9	200	919	161	143	23	7%	1.6	17.5%	15.6%	1.9%	2.4%	5.12	4.94	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sergio Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.31	21.7%	15.5%	3.1%	—	5.19	22.0%	7.2%	35	-0.12	—	—	—
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	87
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	85
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	84
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	84
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	84
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	84
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	83
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	83
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	83
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	83
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	83
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	83
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	82
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	21.9%	15.1%	1.20	5.25
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84