Edgardo Henriquez
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
+0.3
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.4 · 2027
ERA3.44
FIP4.15
xFIP3.75
SIERA3.24
K%24.8%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%14.8%
IP36
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
K†6060
FB Velo
p90100.9
Whiff%
p7429.0%
K%
p5523.1%
xwOBA vs
p770.286
CT+1.0 (10%)
SI (27%)
FB (64%)
SL-1.1 (26%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 18 | 3 | 30 | 143 | 30 | 28 | 0 | 14.3% | 24.5% | 0.0% | 4.80 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 13 | 9 | 35 | 151 | 50 | 24 | 3 | 22.8% | 19.6% | 2.7% | 4.93 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 14 | 13 | 36 | 163 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 20.0% | 13.0% | 1.3% | 4.54 | 3.75 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 46 | 5 | 56 | 240 | 93 | 31 | 2 | 29.6% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 2.72 | 2.99 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 44 | 2 | 43 | 195 | 54 | 19 | 5 | 25.5% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.85 | 3.69 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 24.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 3.44 | 4.15 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 36 | 154 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 3.71 | 3.58 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 38 | 15 | 4 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 3.85 | 4.09 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 38 | 15 | 4 | 24.6% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 4.00 | 4.09 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 38 | 15 | 4 | 24.6% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 4.07 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 37 | 15 | 4 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.14 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 36 | 15 | 4 | 24.0% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.17 | 4.21 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 21.6% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 29 | — | 29 | 121 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 20.9% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 140 | 32 | 204 | 914 | 212 | 141 | 14 | 23.2% | 15.5% | 1.6% | 4.23 | 3.96 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 31 | 200 | 895 | 208 | 138 | 14 | 23.2% | 15.5% | 1.6% | 4.23 | 3.96 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edgardo Henriquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.15 | 24.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | — | 4.10 | 24.5% | 14.9% | 110 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Mason Miller R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.05 | 27.3% | 11.5% | 1.5% | .265 | 1.83 | 43.1% | 34.0% | 127 | -1.22 | 1.79 | 160 | 88 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.79 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .336 | 3.35 | 26.7% | 14.0% | 140 | -0.44 | 3.30 | 184 | 75 |
| Nick Mears R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.57 | 23.8% | 11.3% | 3.7% | .301 | 3.48 | 27.7% | 14.2% | 125 | -1.09 | 3.06 | 254 | 75 |
| Jaden Hill R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.02 | 26.7% | 7.1% | 2.3% | .360 | 2.56 | 28.4% | 20.7% | 47 | -0.46 | 2.56 | 129 | 74 |
| Enrique Burgos R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 29.8% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .383 | 4.02 | 22.5% | 8.7% | 104 | +0.33 | 1.61 | 162 | 73 |
| Chase Burns R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 25.0% | 10.2% | 3.4% | .222 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.40 | 108 | 72 |
| Daysbel Hernández R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 27.6% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .286 | 2.72 | 28.5% | 15.6% | 74 | -1.55 | 1.89 | 234 | 72 |
| Jordan Leasure R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.45 | 31.8% | 12.1% | 4.6% | .295 | 4.80 | 26.2% | 14.8% | 96 | +0.35 | 4.45 | 193 | 72 |
| Shohei Ohtani R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.46 | 29.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.11 | 29.3% | 21.4% | 130 | -0.35 | 1.69 | 545 | 72 |
| Kade Strowd R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 26.5% | 11.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 10.7% | 157 | -0.35 | 3.23 | 210 | 71 |
| Nick Robertson R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.38 | 23.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.19 | 23.2% | 12.6% | 167 | -0.19 | 3.43 | 281 | 70 |
| Seranthony Domínguez R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .318 | 3.12 | 28.1% | 17.4% | 63 | -0.41 | 2.37 | 428 | 70 |
| Camilo Doval R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.83 | 29.9% | 12.7% | 3.0% | .299 | 2.71 | 29.3% | 19.2% | 194 | -1.12 | 1.96 | 481 | 70 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.64 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.22 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.42 | 1.21 | 538 | 70 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.72 | 28.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .270 | 4.50 | 21.7% | 5.4% | 130 | +0.78 | 3.72 | 164 | 69 |
| Hansel Robles R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.76 | 28.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% | .221 | 4.21 | 24.0% | 13.5% | 214 | +0.45 | 2.71 | 469 | 69 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .260 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.30 | 4.01 | 283 | 69 |
| Sean Reynolds R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 23.3% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .266 | 4.45 | 20.7% | 4.6% | 174 | +0.22 | 3.76 | 258 | 69 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.45 | 21.0% | 12.4% | 2.8% | .325 | 4.47 | 27.5% | 13.5% | 163 | +0.02 | 3.16 | 279 | 69 |
| Eli Villalobos R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.75 | 28.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | .337 | 4.99 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 153 | +1.24 | 3.75 | 198 | 68 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 0.953 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2031
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.4M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.8M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $6M | $9M | +$2M | ||