Edgardo Henriquez

Edgardo Henriquez P Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs MLB Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 0.7 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8476vR 68

ERA3.40

FIP3.39

K%28.5%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%18.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF6060

CTRL3540

CMD3540

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p90100.7

Whiff%

p8330.5%

p9029.7%

xwOBA vs

p900.242

CT+1.0 (14%)

SI (25%)

CU (4%)

FB (59%)

SL-1.1 (22%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.953 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.6M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$16M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	18	3	30	143	30	28	0	17%	1.7	14.3%	24.5%	-10.2%	0.0%	4.80	5.00	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	18	3	30	143	30	28	0	17%	1.7	21.0%	19.6%	1.4%	0.0%	4.80	3.90	—
2021	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	35	151	50	24	3	69%	2.7	22.8%	19.6%	3.2%	2.8%	4.93	5.20	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	35	151	50	24	3	69%	2.7	33.1%	15.9%	17.2%	2.0%	4.93	3.42	—
2022	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	14	13	36	163	44	18	2	93%	2.5	20.0%	13.0%	6.9%	1.3%	4.54	3.77	—
2022	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	14	13	36	163	44	18	2	93%	2.5	27.0%	11.0%	16.0%	1.2%	4.54	2.88	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	5 levels	46	5	56	240	93	31	2	11%	1.2	29.1%	12.8%	16.3%	1.2%	2.72	2.93	+1.1
2024	22	MIX MLE	5 levels	46	5	56	240	93	31	2	11%	1.2	29.1%	12.8%	16.3%	1.2%	2.72	2.93	+1.1
2024	22	MIX RAW	5 levels	46	5	56	240	93	31	2	11%	1.2	38.8%	12.9%	25.8%	0.8%	2.72	1.91	+1.8
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	2	43	195	54	19	5	5%	1.0	24.6%	9.0%	15.5%	2.8%	4.85	3.68	+0.4
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	2	43	195	54	19	5	5%	1.0	24.6%	9.0%	15.5%	2.8%	4.85	3.68	+0.4
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	2	43	195	54	19	5	5%	1.0	27.7%	9.7%	17.9%	2.6%	4.85	3.43	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			85	1	82	328	93	31	3	1%	1.0	28.4%	9.5%	18.9%	0.9%	2.53	2.44	+2.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	60	1	59	236	70	24	1	2%	1.0	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	0.4%	2.58	2.11	+1.7
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	60	1	59	236	70	24	1	2%	1.0	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	0.4%	2.58	2.11	+1.7
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	MLB RAW	LAD	60	1	59	236	70	24	1	2%	1.0	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	0.4%	2.58	2.12	+1.7
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	LAD	60	1	59	236	70	24	1	2%	1.0	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	0.4%	2.58	2.12	+1.7
ROS	24	MLB MLE	LAD	6	0	6	27	8	3	1	0%	1.1	28.5%	10.5%	18.0%	2.5%	3.40	3.39	+0.1
ROS	24	MLB CTX	LAD	6	0	6	25	7	3	1	0%	1.0	28.5%	10.5%	18.0%	2.6%	3.46	3.45	+0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	66	263	78	27	2	—	—	29.5%	10.2%	19.3%	0.6%	2.66	2.23	+2.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	LAD	—	—	66	277	78	27	2	—	—	28.0%	9.7%	18.3%	0.6%	2.66	2.30	+2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	87	0	91	385	108	39	8	0%	1.0	28.0%	10.1%	18.0%	2.1%	3.57	3.54	+1.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	87	0	91	385	107	38	8	0%	1.0	27.8%	9.8%	17.9%	2.2%	3.59	3.57	+1.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	85	0	90	379	104	37	9	0%	1.1	27.5%	9.8%	17.7%	2.3%	3.63	3.64	+1.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	83	0	87	367	100	36	9	0%	1.0	27.2%	9.9%	17.3%	2.4%	3.70	3.74	+0.9
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	79	0	83	351	93	36	9	0%	1.1	26.6%	10.1%	16.5%	2.5%	3.82	3.90	+0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAD	74	0	78	330	92	32	9	0%	1.1	27.9%	9.6%	18.3%	2.7%	3.83	3.84	+0.7
2033	31	MLB MLE	LAD	69	0	73	307	84	31	9	0%	1.1	27.2%	10.0%	17.2%	2.9%	3.97	4.07	+0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	83	0	87	367	103	37	8	0%	1.0	28.0%	10.1%	18.0%	2.2%	3.62	3.59	+1.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	83	0	87	367	102	36	8	0%	1.0	27.8%	9.8%	17.9%	2.3%	3.64	3.62	+1.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	81	0	85	359	99	35	8	0%	1.0	27.5%	9.8%	17.7%	2.3%	3.68	3.69	+0.9
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	79	0	83	350	95	35	9	0%	1.1	27.2%	9.9%	17.3%	2.5%	3.76	3.80	+0.8
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	75	0	79	334	89	34	9	0%	1.1	26.6%	10.1%	16.5%	2.6%	3.88	3.96	+0.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAD	70	0	74	312	87	30	9	0%	1.1	27.9%	9.6%	18.3%	2.8%	3.89	3.90	+0.6
2033	31	MLB CTX	LAD	66	0	69	291	79	29	9	0%	1.0	27.2%	10.0%	17.2%	3.1%	4.04	4.14	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		627	1	651	2733	754	269	64	0%	1.0	27.6%	9.9%	17.7%	2.3%	3.62	3.30	+9.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		193	0	200	839	232	83	20	0%	1.0	27.6%	9.9%	17.7%	2.3%	3.62	3.30	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		195	33	259	1128	275	158	16	17%	1.3	24.4%	14.0%	10.4%	1.4%	3.83	3.58	+7.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	26	200	872	213	122	12	17%	1.3	24.4%	14.0%	10.4%	1.4%	3.83	3.58	+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgardo Henriquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.06	27.1%	10.7%	2.8%	—	3.58	27.8%	17.8%	272	-0.48	—	—	—
Franco Aleman R 2023 · 2.92 FIP	23	SU	2.92	28.4%	8.8%	2.0%	.315	2.96	29.2%	19.7%	114	+0.04	2.38	225	71
Enrique Burgos R 2015 · 3.64 FIP	24	SU	3.64	29.8%	12.8%	2.6%	.383	4.07	22.5%	8.7%	104	+0.43	1.61	162	71
Bruce Rondón R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	24	SU	3.77	23.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.336	3.39	26.7%	14.0%	140	-0.38	3.31	184	71
Alex Hoppe R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	23.7%	9.2%	3.5%	.371	3.94	20.7%	8.7%	184	-0.27	3.13	233	71
Hansel Robles R 2015 · 3.75 FIP	24	SU	3.75	28.1%	7.8%	3.7%	.221	4.18	24.0%	13.5%	214	+0.43	2.67	469	70
Camilo Doval R 2021 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	29.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.299	2.74	29.3%	19.2%	194	-1.10	2.02	536	70
Daysbel Hernández R 2021 · 4.12 FIP	24	SU	4.12	27.6%	13.0%	3.1%	.286	2.64	27.6%	15.9%	74	-1.48	1.89	255	69
Jordan Leasure R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	24	SU	4.45	31.3%	11.5%	4.6%	.295	4.98	25.7%	14.7%	114	+0.53	4.33	212	69
Matt Brash R 2022 · 3.54 FIP	24	SU	3.54	29.8%	14.2%	2.1%	.335	2.26	32.5%	23.6%	118	-1.28	1.91	309	69
Joey Krehbiel R 2017 · 3.34 FIP	24	SU	3.34	25.5%	12.2%	1.6%	.318	5.34	22.2%	9.7%	122	+2.00	3.34	556	69
Nick Robertson R 2022 · 4.39 FIP	24	SU	4.39	23.4%	11.0%	3.4%	.310	4.09	22.2%	12.9%	167	-0.30	3.11	337	68
Nick Mears R 2021 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	23.8%	11.3%	3.9%	.301	3.49	27.3%	14.4%	125	-1.19	3.19	273	68
Zac Leigh R 2022 · 3.70 FIP	24	SU	3.70	28.5%	12.3%	2.6%	.270	4.45	21.6%	5.7%	130	+0.75	3.70	201	68
Seranthony Domínguez R 2019 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	26.4%	10.9%	2.5%	.318	3.09	28.1%	17.4%	63	-0.56	2.38	484	68
Dan Altavilla R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	27.6%	10.8%	3.4%	.289	3.58	29.5%	14.9%	86	-0.43	2.88	501	68
Eli Villalobos R 2021 · 3.75 FIP	24	SU	3.75	28.1%	9.6%	3.3%	.337	4.88	22.7%	9.7%	153	+1.13	3.75	214	67
Neil Ramírez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	26	SU	3.21	25.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.289	4.75	28.3%	17.6%	151	+1.54	3.21	220	67
Zack Weiss R 2015 · 3.27 FIP	23	SU	3.27	27.1%	7.0%	2.9%	.299	4.43	22.5%	8.0%	39	+1.16	3.05	368	67
Victor Vodnik R 2023 · 3.26 FIP	23	SU	3.26	27.0%	14.1%	1.2%	.272	3.80	19.9%	8.4%	175	+0.54	3.14	351	67
Kelvin Herrera R 2015 · 3.35 FIP	25	SU	3.35	22.4%	8.7%	1.9%	.245	3.35	25.0%	19.6%	176	-0.00	2.33	297	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	85	27.4%	10.0%	0.95	3.77
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Brad Peacock ('19)	1.6	80	28.7%	9.2%	1.18	3.48
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Dinelson Lamet ('23)	1.8	61	30.0%	10.7%	1.29	4.66
Carlos Martinez ('21)	4.2	121	22.7%	9.1%	0.81	3.67
Adam Ottavino ('24)	2.3	59	29.3%	11.4%	0.86	3.18