Camilo Doval — OGILVIE

Camilo Doval P Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10092vR 84

ERA3.71

FIP3.66

K%25.8%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%13.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL2525

CMD5050

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.3

Whiff%

p6327.3%

p5523.1%

xwOBA vs

p650.297

FB (68%)

SI (40%)

CH (2%)

SL-2.3 (30%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants	12	0	22	87	24	10	0	0%	1.8	18.8%	14.4%	4.4%	0.0%	1.66	3.34	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants	12	0	22	87	24	10	0	0%	1.8	27.6%	11.5%	16.1%	0.0%	1.66	2.27	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	17	0	32	133	51	13	0	0%	1.9	26.1%	12.2%	13.9%	0.0%	3.90	2.45	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	17	0	32	133	51	13	0	0%	1.9	38.3%	9.8%	28.6%	0.0%	3.90	1.15	—
2018	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	44	0	53	228	78	27	2	0%	1.2	25.3%	14.0%	11.3%	1.1%	3.06	3.32	—
2018	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	44	0	53	228	78	27	2	0%	1.2	34.2%	11.8%	22.4%	0.9%	3.06	2.18	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	45	0	56	244	80	34	2	0%	1.3	25.2%	16.0%	9.2%	1.1%	3.83	3.59	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	45	0	56	244	80	34	2	0%	1.3	32.8%	13.9%	18.9%	0.8%	3.83	2.53	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	58	253	81	31	7	0%	1.0	29.9%	12.7%	17.2%	3.0%	4.06	3.84	+0.5
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	58	253	81	31	7	0%	1.0	32.0%	12.3%	19.8%	2.8%	4.06	3.48	+0.7
2022	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	68	0	68	286	80	28	4	0%	1.0	28.0%	9.8%	18.2%	1.5%	2.53	2.81	+1.4
2022	25	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	68	0	68	286	80	28	4	0%	1.0	28.0%	9.8%	18.2%	1.4%	2.53	2.75	+1.5
2023	26	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	69	0	68	281	87	20	3	0%	1.0	31.0%	7.1%	23.8%	1.2%	2.93	2.02	+2.1
2023	26	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	69	0	68	281	87	20	3	0%	1.0	31.0%	7.1%	23.8%	1.2%	2.93	2.02	+2.1
2023	26	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	69	0	68	281	87	20	3	0%	1.0	31.0%	7.1%	23.8%	1.1%	2.93	1.99	+2.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	67	0	65	291	85	38	5	0%	1.0	28.8%	13.7%	15.1%	2.0%	4.73	3.49	+0.8
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	67	0	65	291	85	38	5	0%	1.0	28.8%	13.7%	15.1%	2.0%	4.73	3.49	+0.8
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	67	0	65	291	85	38	5	0%	1.0	29.2%	13.1%	16.2%	1.7%	4.73	3.24	+1.0
2025	28	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	69	0	65	278	72	34	4	0%	0.9	25.9%	12.2%	13.7%	1.3%	3.58	3.20	+1.0
2025	28	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	69	0	65	278	72	34	4	0%	0.9	25.9%	12.2%	13.7%	1.3%	3.58	3.20	+1.0
2025	28	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	69	0	65	278	72	34	4	0%	0.9	25.9%	12.2%	13.7%	1.4%	3.58	3.25	+1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			358	0	342	1476	412	156	27	0%	1.0	27.9%	10.6%	17.3%	1.8%	3.52	3.09	+6.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	61	0	56	251	58	30	7	0%	0.9	23.1%	12.0%	11.2%	3.0%	4.20	4.32	+0.2
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	61	0	56	251	58	30	7	0%	0.9	23.1%	12.0%	11.2%	3.0%	4.20	4.32	+0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	MLB RAW	PIT	61	0	56	251	58	30	7	0%	0.9	23.1%	12.0%	11.2%	2.8%	4.20	4.19	+0.2
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	PIT	61	0	56	251	58	30	7	0%	0.9	23.1%	12.0%	11.2%	2.8%	4.20	4.19	+0.2
ROS	29	MLB MLE	PIT	5	0	5	22	6	3	0	0%	1.1	25.8%	12.1%	13.8%	2.2%	3.71	3.66	+0.1
ROS	29	MLB CTX	PIT	5	0	5	21	5	3	0	0%	1.0	25.8%	12.1%	13.8%	2.2%	3.71	3.66	+0.1
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	61	273	64	33	7	—	—	23.3%	12.0%	11.4%	2.7%	4.16	4.26	+0.2
FULL	29	MLB A+C	PIT	—	—	61	257	64	33	7	—	—	24.8%	12.7%	12.1%	2.9%	4.16	4.22	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PIT	56	0	59	248	63	31	6	0%	1.0	25.6%	12.4%	13.3%	2.5%	4.21	4.27	+0.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52	0	55	231	57	29	6	0%	1.1	24.9%	12.7%	12.2%	2.8%	4.39	4.51	+0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53	0	56	236	61	29	6	0%	1.1	25.6%	12.4%	13.3%	2.5%	4.21	4.27	+0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	PIT	50	0	52	220	55	28	6	0%	1.0	24.9%	12.7%	12.2%	2.8%	4.39	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		466	0	455	1953	533	216	40	0%	1.0	27.3%	11.0%	16.2%	2.0%	3.71	3.31	+6.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		205	0	200	858	234	95	18	0%	1.0	27.3%	11.0%	16.2%	2.0%	3.71	3.31	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		509	0	542	2332	627	284	37	0%	1.1	26.9%	12.2%	14.7%	1.6%	3.54	3.25	+6.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		188	0	200	861	231	105	14	0%	1.1	26.9%	12.2%	14.7%	1.6%	3.54	3.25	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Camilo Doval (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.73	29.0%	12.1%	2.1%	—	4.39	25.3%	12.7%	113	+0.66	—	—	—
Pedro Báez R 2017 · 4.08 FIP	29	SU	4.08	22.9%	9.6%	3.1%	.261	3.18	24.7%	16.1%	143	-0.90	2.29	332	77
Luis García R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	20.6%	10.9%	1.8%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.01	2.33	617	76
Joe Kelly R 2017 · 3.35 FIP	29	SU	3.35	21.8%	10.9%	1.3%	.248	3.30	25.4%	15.3%	117	-0.05	2.38	556	74
Blake Wood R 2015 · 2.92 FIP	29	SU	2.92	24.5%	10.5%	1.0%	.325	3.60	24.9%	14.9%	151	+0.68	2.92	210	74
Wily Peralta R 2018 · 4.24 FIP	29	SU	4.24	22.7%	13.7%	2.4%	.310	4.89	15.3%	5.5%	154	+0.65	3.98	748	73
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.55	21.2%	-0.6%	51	+0.46	4.09	130	72
Cody Allen R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	27.7%	10.7%	3.8%	.281	7.35	25.0%	7.8%	23	+3.13	1.58	295	72
Daniel Hudson R 2016 · 3.39 FIP	29	SU	3.39	21.6%	7.1%	2.2%	.319	3.84	23.5%	13.9%	181	+0.45	1.68	468	72
Brandon Maurer R 2018 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	19.7%	13.0%	3.2%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	234	71
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	71
Scott Oberg R 2019 · 3.19 FIP	29	SU	3.19	26.0%	9.4%	2.0%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	2.54	302	71
Arquimedes Caminero R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	29	SU	4.45	17.9%	11.4%	2.6%	.314	4.62	18.6%	7.5%	38	+0.17	3.54	173	71
Kelvin Herrera R 2019 · 3.95 FIP	29	SU	3.95	22.6%	7.2%	3.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	297	71
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	70
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	69
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	69
Blake Treinen R 2017 · 3.15 FIP	29	SU	3.15	22.8%	6.8%	2.0%	.332	2.94	26.6%	18.0%	165	-0.21	1.53	547	69
Zach McAllister R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	29	SU	3.70	26.5%	8.4%	3.2%	.292	4.70	21.4%	16.7%	57	+1.00	2.82	363	69
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	69
Brad Brach R 2015 · 3.22 FIP	29	SU	3.22	27.5%	10.8%	1.9%	.259	3.13	25.6%	17.1%	210	-0.09	2.69	410	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	26.6%	12.4%	0.95	4.11
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Carl Edwards Jr. ('23)	1.2	50	28.7%	12.4%	0.76	3.05
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87