Isaiah Campbell — OGILVIE

Isaiah Campbell P Reno Aces

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 230 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.40

FIP4.55

K%17.8%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†4040

SI (10%)

CU (12%)

FB (28%)

SL-2.5 (60%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	5	0	19	78	20	6	2	0%	3.9	19.7%	8.8%	10.9%	3.0%	2.33	4.19	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	5	0	19	78	20	6	2	0%	3.9	25.6%	7.7%	17.9%	2.6%	2.33	3.31	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	4	46	179	59	12	4	12%	1.4	25.9%	7.7%	18.3%	2.6%	1.57	3.31	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	4	46	179	59	12	4	12%	1.4	33.0%	6.7%	26.3%	2.2%	1.57	2.45	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	53	215	60	19	4	0%	1.1	25.5%	9.2%	16.4%	2.3%	2.73	3.35	+0.8
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	53	215	60	19	4	0%	1.1	25.5%	9.2%	16.4%	2.3%	2.73	3.35	+0.8
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	53	215	60	19	4	0%	1.1	27.9%	8.8%	19.1%	1.9%	2.73	2.89	+1.0
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	23	107	25	7	6	0%	1.0	22.5%	6.4%	16.1%	4.7%	6.26	4.61	-0.0
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	23	107	25	7	6	0%	1.0	22.5%	6.4%	16.1%	4.7%	6.26	4.61	-0.0
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	23	107	25	7	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	6.5%	16.8%	5.6%	6.26	5.23	-0.2
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	65	295	50	21	6	0%	1.3	15.0%	6.9%	8.1%	2.1%	4.27	3.89	+0.5
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	65	295	50	21	6	0%	1.3	15.0%	6.9%	8.1%	2.1%	4.27	3.89	+0.5
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	65	295	50	21	6	0%	1.3	16.9%	7.1%	9.8%	2.0%	4.27	3.73	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			41	0	43	192	42	15	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	7.8%	14.1%	3.1%	5.65	4.01	+0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	50	0	52	242	60	16	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	6.0%	14.6%	3.6%	6.75	4.11	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	50	0	52	242	60	16	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	6.0%	14.6%	3.6%	6.75	4.11	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	ARI	50	0	52	242	60	16	8	0%	1.0	24.8%	6.6%	18.2%	3.3%	6.75	3.66	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	ARI	5	0	5	23	4	2	1	0%	1.1	17.8%	7.6%	10.2%	2.9%	4.40	4.55	0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	57	265	64	18	9	—	—	24.2%	6.7%	17.5%	3.3%	6.53	4.15	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	58	0	61	259	46	21	8	0%	1.1	17.7%	8.0%	9.8%	3.1%	4.56	4.69	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	ARI	55	0	58	244	43	20	8	0%	1.0	17.5%	8.4%	9.1%	3.3%	4.73	4.87	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	22	0	23	97	17	8	3	0%	1.0	17.7%	8.0%	9.8%	3.1%	4.56	4.69	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	ARI	30	0	32	135	24	11	4	0%	1.1	17.5%	8.4%	9.1%	3.3%	4.73	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		93	0	98	424	83	34	13	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.0%	11.5%	3.2%	5.09	4.21	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	866	170	69	27	0%	1.0	19.5%	8.0%	11.5%	3.2%	5.09	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		209	4	258	1116	235	82	32	2%	1.2	21.0%	7.3%	13.7%	2.9%	4.01	3.83	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	3	200	864	182	63	25	2%	1.2	21.0%	7.3%	13.7%	2.9%	4.01	3.83	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Isaiah Campbell (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	17.8%	7.6%	2.9%	—	4.78	17.6%	9.4%	119	+0.23	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	87
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	80
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	79
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	79
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	79
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	78
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	78
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	78
Austin Adams R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	18.6%	9.5%	1.4%	.331	3.40	21.1%	15.0%	56	-0.11	3.40	162	78
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	78
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	77
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	77
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	77
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	76
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	76
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	76
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	76
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	75
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	75
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	61	17.7%	8.0%	1.20	4.56
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45