Isaiah Campbell
P
Reno Aces
+0.2
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA3.76
FIP4.38
xFIP4.14
SIERA3.55
K%20.0%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%11.5%
IP44
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†5050
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p7128.6%
K%
p7927.5%
xwOBA vs
p610.301
SI (10%)
CU (12%)
FB (28%)
SL-2.5 (60%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 5 | 0 | 19 | 78 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 19.7% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 2.33 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 33 | 4 | 46 | 179 | 59 | 12 | 4 | 25.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.57 | 3.29 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 50 | 0 | 53 | 215 | 60 | 19 | 4 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 2.73 | 3.34 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 22 | 0 | 23 | 107 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 23.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.26 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 49 | 0 | 65 | 295 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 15.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 4.27 | 3.96 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 6 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.05 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ARI | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 3.81 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 51 | 218 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 3.84 | 3.88 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 43 | — | 43 | 183 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.52 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 39 | — | 39 | 164 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 17.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 17.0% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 5.11 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 16.2% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 5.27 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 165 | 4 | 213 | 905 | 197 | 75 | 23 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 3.34 | 3.72 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 4 | 200 | 850 | 185 | 70 | 22 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 3.34 | 3.72 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Isaiah Campbell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.59 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 126 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 83 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 82 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 79 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 79 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 79 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 78 |
| Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.51 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .331 | 3.28 | 21.1% | 15.0% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.28 | 162 | 78 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 78 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 78 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 77 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.39 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 166 | 77 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.09 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.54 | 2.28 | 186 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 75 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 75 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.87 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 22 | +0.86 | 2.78 | 312 | 75 |
| Scott Griggs R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.07 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 176 | 75 |
| Jack Dallas R 2024 · 3.58 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.58 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 169 | 75 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.