J.B. Wendelken — OGILVIE

J.B. Wendelken P San Antonio Missions

Age 33 RHP 6'1" / 242 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.56

K%22.8%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5795.0

Whiff%

p2822.2%

p1617.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.378

CH+2.1

SL-1.2

FB-1.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	59	244	69	16	6	0%	1.5	23.3%	7.1%	16.2%	2.5%	3.20	3.39	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	59	244	69	16	6	0%	1.5	28.3%	6.6%	21.7%	2.5%	3.20	2.90	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	59	281	77	33	8	0%	1.2	24.6%	12.2%	12.5%	3.5%	5.37	4.46	+0.1
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	59	281	77	33	8	0%	1.2	27.4%	11.7%	15.7%	2.8%	5.37	3.94	+0.4
2018	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	1	65	266	89	24	6	2%	1.4	29.5%	9.5%	19.9%	2.7%	2.34	3.31	+1.0
2018	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	1	65	266	89	24	6	2%	1.4	33.5%	9.0%	24.4%	2.3%	2.34	2.67	+1.5
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	1	71	310	77	25	10	2%	1.3	23.2%	8.4%	14.8%	3.2%	4.67	3.98	+0.5
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	1	71	310	77	25	10	2%	1.3	24.8%	8.1%	16.8%	3.2%	4.67	3.81	+0.6
2020	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	21	0	25	106	31	11	2	0%	1.2	29.2%	10.4%	18.9%	2.1%	1.80	3.08	+0.4
2020	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	21	0	25	106	31	11	2	0%	1.2	29.2%	10.4%	18.9%	1.9%	1.80	2.98	+0.5
2021	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	49	214	44	21	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	2.2%	4.25	3.84	+0.4
2021	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	49	214	44	21	5	0%	1.0	20.6%	9.8%	10.7%	2.3%	4.25	3.92	+0.4
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	53	216	54	22	4	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.4%	12.8%	2.0%	4.08	3.53	+0.6
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	53	216	54	22	4	0%	1.1	25.0%	10.2%	14.8%	1.9%	4.08	3.29	+0.8
2025	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	2	23	105	25	13	1	12%	1.5	20.2%	15.9%	4.3%	1.7%	7.33	4.32	—
2025	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	2	23	105	25	13	1	12%	1.5	20.2%	15.9%	4.3%	1.7%	7.33	4.32	—
2025	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	2	23	105	25	13	1	12%	1.5	23.8%	12.4%	11.4%	1.0%	7.33	3.19	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			144	0	160	679	151	65	16	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.6%	12.7%	2.4%	4.00	3.73	+1.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	SD	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	11.2%	11.5%	2.9%	4.57	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	SD	46	0	49	206	45	24	7	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.7%	10.1%	3.2%	4.75	4.87	-0.2
2028	35	MLB MLE	SD	42	0	44	185	39	23	7	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	3.5%	5.02	5.20	-0.3
2027	34	MLB CTX	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.9%	11.7%	10.1%	3.2%	4.75	4.87	—
2028	35	MLB CTX	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	3.5%	5.02	5.20	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		144	0	160	679	151	65	16	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.6%	12.7%	2.4%	4.00	3.73	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		180	0	200	851	189	81	20	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.6%	12.7%	2.4%	4.00	3.73	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		325	4	404	1742	422	174	46	1%	1.2	24.2%	10.0%	14.2%	2.6%	4.03	3.77	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	2	200	862	209	86	23	1%	1.2	24.2%	10.0%	14.2%	2.6%	4.03	3.77	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
J.B. Wendelken (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	22.8%	11.2%	2.9%	—	5.03	21.4%	9.4%	92	+0.47	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	85
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	84
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	83
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	82
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	81
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	81
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	80
Bryan Shaw R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	33	SU	4.39	21.3%	11.4%	3.0%	.274	3.93	19.2%	8.7%	169	-0.46	2.78	596	79
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	78
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	77
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	77
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	77
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	77
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	76
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	76
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	76
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	75
Cory Gearrin R 2019 · 3.78 FIP	33	SU	3.78	19.5%	10.0%	1.9%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	272	74
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	73
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2016 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	22.7%	10.4%	2.0%	.255	4.41	24.1%	13.8%	97	+0.80	3.34	212	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	21.9%	11.7%	1.23	4.76
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19