J.B. Wendelken P San Antonio Missions
+0.1 WAR
Age 33 RHP 6'1" / 242 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
xFIP4.54
SIERA4.63
K%22.8%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%12.3%
IP13
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5555
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p2822.2%
K%
p1617.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.378
CH+2.1
SL-1.2
FB-1.6

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201522AAACharlotte Knights390592446916623.3%7.1%2.5%3.203.41+1.0
201623MLBOakland Athletics470592817733824.6%12.2%3.5%5.374.49+0.3
201825MLBOakland Athletics461652668924629.5%9.5%2.7%2.343.33+1.2
201926MLBOakland Athletics5717131077251023.2%8.4%3.1%4.673.92+0.9
202027MLBOakland Athletics210251063111229.2%10.4%2.0%1.803.02+0.5
202128MLBArizona Diamondbacks500492144421520.1%9.8%1.9%4.253.71+0.7
202229MLBArizona Diamondbacks490532165422423.2%10.4%2.0%4.083.55+0.8
202532AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas162231052513120.2%15.9%1.7%7.334.34+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
202633MLBSD131355136222.9%11.2%2.9%4.574.55+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202734MLBSD2020841910322.2%11.4%3.0%4.644.69+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career325440417424221744524.2%10.0%2.6%4.033.75+7.1
/ 200 IP1612200862209862224.2%10.0%2.6%4.033.75+3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
J.B. Wendelken (OGILVIE) 4.55 22.9%11.2%2.9% 4.69 22.2%10.8%20 +0.14
Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 33 SU 4.26 22.0%10.5%3.1%.290 2.44 26.9%22.6%89 -1.82 1.94 112 89
Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP 32 SU 3.52 21.4%8.1%2.2%.314 3.01 115 81
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP 32 SU 3.63 20.4%10.0%1.8%.331 6.11 17.9%3.7%41 +2.48 3.45 170 80
Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP 31 SW 3.85 25.1%10.8%2.7%.280 3.85 102 78
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.82 FIP 33 SW 3.82 19.5%10.0%2.0%.303 3.17 272 76
Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP 33 SU 4.83 18.0%8.0%4.1%.286 3.13 23.7%17.9%150 -1.70 2.31 403 76
Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.08 FIP 32 SU 4.08 23.4%10.9%2.9%.279 5.52 21.4%13.8%38 +1.44 2.61 157 75
Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP 32 SW 4.60 23.2%14.2%3.0%.258 4.33 221 75
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.38 FIP 33 SW 3.38 24.8%12.0%1.6%.356 4.65 23.0%9.8%66 +1.27 2.80 410 75
Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP 31 SU 4.43 25.1%11.6%3.6%.290 2.39 132 75
Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 33 SU 3.61 17.6%8.8%1.6%.270 3.06 17.9%10.0%124 -0.55 2.72 172 75
Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP 35 SW 3.50 25.4%8.6%2.6%.290 3.90 22.4%12.7%161 +0.40 3.50 219 74
Manny Acosta R 2028 · 4.09 FIP 35 SW 4.09 18.1%9.1%2.5%.273 3.07 23.2%9.9%44 -1.02 3.07 102 74
Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP 34 SU 4.14 20.4%6.4%3.6%.311 2.32 107 74
Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 33 SU 3.37 20.2%5.9%2.2%.312 4.52 17.6%4.0%57 +1.15 3.37 144 74
Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 33 SU 5.25 20.2%7.9%5.2%.289 3.10 120 73
Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 33 SU 4.18 20.0%9.7%2.8%.302 2.90 24.2%15.4%98 -1.28 2.80 284 73
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 3.65 FIP 32 SU 3.65 22.7%10.4%2.1%.255 4.50 24.1%13.8%97 +0.85 3.38 212 73
Miguel Mejia R 2024 · 4.33 FIP 31 SU 4.33 15.7%10.7%2.2%.341 3.35 108 73
Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP 33 SU 5.28 21.9%8.5%5.4%.312 5.01 16.4%6.4%49 -0.27 2.30 153 73

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.