J.B. Wendelken
P
San Antonio Missions
Age 33
RHP
6'1" / 242 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%22.8%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p2822.2%
K%
p1617.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.378
CH+2.1
SL-1.2
FB-1.6
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 59 | 244 | 69 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.3% | 7.1% | 16.2% | 2.2% | 3.20 | 3.24 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 59 | 244 | 69 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.3% | 6.6% | 21.7% | 2.5% | 3.20 | 2.90 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 59 | 281 | 77 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 5.37 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 59 | 281 | 77 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.4% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 2.8% | 5.37 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 1 | 65 | 266 | 89 | 24 | 6 | 2% | 1.4 | 29.5% | 9.5% | 19.9% | 2.8% | 2.34 | 3.38 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 1 | 65 | 266 | 89 | 24 | 6 | 2% | 1.4 | 33.5% | 9.0% | 24.4% | 2.3% | 2.34 | 2.67 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 1 | 71 | 310 | 77 | 25 | 10 | 2% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 3.83 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 1 | 71 | 310 | 77 | 25 | 10 | 2% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 3.81 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 21 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.2% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 2.0% | 1.80 | 3.03 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 21 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.2% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 1.9% | 1.80 | 2.98 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 49 | 214 | 44 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 4.25 | 3.73 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 49 | 214 | 44 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 4.25 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 53 | 216 | 54 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 1.8% | 4.08 | 3.43 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 53 | 216 | 54 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 1.9% | 4.08 | 3.29 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 2 | 23 | 105 | 25 | 13 | 1 | 12% | 1.5 | 20.2% | 15.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 7.33 | 4.37 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 2 | 23 | 105 | 25 | 13 | 1 | 12% | 1.5 | 23.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 1.0% | 7.33 | 3.19 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | SD | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 51 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | SD | 46 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 45 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.75 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | SD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 39 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.75 | 4.87 | — |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.21 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 144 | 0 | 160 | 679 | 151 | 65 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 4.00 | 3.73 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 0 | 200 | 851 | 189 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 4.00 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 325 | 4 | 404 | 1742 | 422 | 174 | 45 | 1% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 4.03 | 3.74 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 2 | 200 | 862 | 209 | 86 | 22 | 1% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 4.03 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| J.B. Wendelken (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | — | 5.03 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 92 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 86 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 84 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.77 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 272 | 82 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 82 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 81 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 80 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 80 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 78 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 78 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 78 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 77 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 77 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 76 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 75 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 74 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.22 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.9% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.32 | 2.82 | 284 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 49 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 1.23 | 4.76 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |