Victor Duarte

2B Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	A+SD	65	.167/.185/.200	0	2	-20	—	.125/.138/.141
2025	24	ASD	67	.206/.254/.270	0	1	4	—	.156/.194/.203
2026	25	AAASD	56	.224/.264/.367	2	2	38	—	.196/.226/.275
2026	25	ASD	84	.281/.410/.438	2	5	91	—	.222/.325/.347
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBSD	200	.200/.260/.308	4	4	60	-0.2
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBSD	68	.198/.259/.306	1	1	61	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed58

Chase%54

Max EV31

Whiff%17

Z-Con%12

BB%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsGrae Kessinger (age 26) · Andrés Alvarez (age 27) · Chris Sharpe (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .258 / .305

PA170

HR3

K%29

BB%7

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	163	133	23	6	1	1	15	17	10	6	3	173	304	256	559	83	185	10	9	263	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	17	16	4	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	250	294	438	732	188	333	35	6	323	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	38	34	6	1	1	0	4	10	0	0	0	176	263	265	528	88	250	26	11	245	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	89	20	5	0	2	10	28	5	0	0	225	333	348	682	124	305	27	10	314	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	161	37	7	1	1	28	32	5	4	0	230	357	304	661	75	273	16	14	306	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	65	60	10	2	0	0	2	19	0	2	0	167	185	200	385	33	244	29	3	172	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	67	63	13	4	0	0	4	13	0	1	0	206	254	270	524	63	260	19	6	240	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	56	49	11	1	0	2	3	22	0	2	0	224	264	367	631	143	346	39	5	264	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	84	64	18	4	0	2	15	11	1	5	2	281	410	438	847	156	308	13	18	373	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	163	137	16	4	1	1	11	21	10	6	3	117	234	182	417	66	116	13	7	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	17	16	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	188	235	375	610	188	305	47	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	38	36	5	1	1	0	2	14	0	0	0	139	184	222	406	83	196	37	5	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	94	16	3	0	2	6	39	5	0	0	170	257	266	523	96	258	37	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	172	33	5	1	1	19	46	5	4	0	192	291	250	541	58	243	23	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	65	64	8	1	0	0	1	24	0	2	0	125	138	141	279	16	216	37	2	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	67	64	10	3	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	156	194	203	397	47	217	27	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	56	51	10	1	0	1	2	26	0	2	0	196	226	275	501	78	322	46	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	84	72	16	3	0	2	10	15	1	5	2	222	325	347	673	125	258	18	12	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	163	137	16	4	1	1	11	21	10	6	3	117	234	182	417	66	126	13	7	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	163	133	23	6	1	1	15	17	10	6	3	173	304	256	559	83	185	10	9	263	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	55	52	8	1	1	1	3	22	0	0	0	154	200	269	469	115	241	40	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	55	50	10	1	1	1	5	16	0	0	0	200	273	320	593	120	273	29	9	269	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	94	16	3	0	2	6	39	5	0	0	170	257	266	523	96	264	37	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	89	20	5	0	2	10	28	5	0	0	225	333	348	682	124	305	27	10	314	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	172	33	5	1	1	19	46	5	4	0	192	291	250	541	58	248	23	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	161	37	7	1	1	28	32	5	4	0	230	357	304	661	75	273	16	14	306	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	128	18	4	0	0	4	43	0	3	0	141	167	172	339	31	212	33	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	132	123	23	6	0	0	6	32	0	3	0	187	220	236	455	49	253	24	5	207	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	140	123	26	4	0	3	12	41	1	7	2	211	287	317	604	106	284	29	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A RAW	2 teams	—	140	113	29	5	0	4	18	33	1	7	2	257	353	407	760	150	321	24	13	330	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	163	141	16	4	1	1	11	21	10	6	3	113	234	177	411	64	116	13	7	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	55	52	8	1	1	1	3	22	0	0	0	154	200	269	469	115	230	40	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	93	16	3	0	2	6	39	5	0	0	172	257	269	526	97	258	37	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	200	174	33	5	1	1	19	46	5	4	0	190	291	247	538	57	243	23	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	127	18	4	0	0	4	43	0	3	0	142	167	173	340	31	217	33	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	140	126	26	4	0	3	12	41	1	7	2	206	287	310	596	103	284	29	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	127	18	4	0	0	4	43	0	3	0	142	167	173	340	31	217	33	3	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	140	126	26	4	0	3	12	41	1	7	2	206	287	310	596	103	284	29	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	0%	200	183	37	7	1	4	13	58	2	4	1	200	260	308	568	108	267	29	6	256	60	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	26%	262	240	48	9	1	5	18	75	2	5	1	201	262	310	572	109	268	29	7	258	61	-12	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	26%	68	62	12	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	198	259	306	565	108	262	28	7	255	61	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	68	62	12	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	194	265	274	539	81	262	28	7	255	42	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	115	19	0	10	48	182	10	10	0	194	266	277	543	83	262	28	7	255	42	-30	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1227	1102	197	36	5	16	84	336	24	28	7	179	252	264	516	85	238	27	7	230	42	-20	+1	+0	+2	+9	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	104	19	3	8	44	178	13	15	4	178	251	262	513	84	238	27	7	230	42	-31	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	238	4	5	201	259	310	+1	+1	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	12	13	+2.4	+2.8	-0.8	pk7: 0
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#5Clyde Beck'26-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	12	9	204*	292*	307*	+10	-6	-2.3	-2.3
/162	664	5	3	+3.7	-2.4	-0.9	pk7: -2
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Duarte (OGILVIE)	26	32	36	52	43	198/258/305	107	267	3	3	29%	7%	60	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2024 · MLB	26	40→30	45	46→50	48	204/282/322	118	264	14	13	28%	9%	73	-0.6	200/274/299	99	273	9	11	28%	9%	64	-1.3	159/229/234	75	220	6	10	29%	7%	30	-1.6
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2012 · AAA	26	41	44→40	51→50	43	208/270/317	109	268	13	14	27%	7%	66	-1.1	220/259/312	92	279	10	11	24%	4%	60	-1.6	198/232/274	76	253	10	9	26%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	34→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/243/305	121	244	14	10	31%	6%	54	-2.0	209/255/340	131	279	14	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	44→45	47→40	37	188/242/300	112	260	12	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	215/273/311	96	313	9	8	32%	5%	66	-1.1	242/302/318	76	364	6	5	33%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Quincy McAfee 2024 · AA	26	38	46→45	46→45	46	196/281/327	130	253	13	9	27%	8%	74	-0.5	203/272/330	127	250	14	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	170/237/280	109	197	14	12	22%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Jordan Brewer 2024 · AA	26	39	42→45	52→55	42	194/265/298	104	279	10	18	33%	7%	61	-1.5	206/270/319	113	269	10	14	26%	6%	67	-1.1	192/257/305	113	242	10	14	24%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39→35	45	54→55	37	200/250/318	119	279	13	18	33%	5%	59	-1.6	187/244/290	103	273	11	22	34%	6%	51	-2.3	169/229/255	86	251	9	26	34%	5%	35	-1.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	40	41→45	45	43	196/256/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	56	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	191/243/313	122	240	12	7	26%	5%	55	-1.9	207/255/324	117	279	12	11	29%	6%	62	-1.4	185/222/306	120	244	15	17	31%	4%	42	-0.5
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	41	189/264/294	105	291	11	14	37%	8%	59	-1.6	201/274/303	102	294	9	14	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/290/284	94	249	9	24	25%	10%	64	-0.3
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	41	40	50	39	199/252/285	86	292	8	15	33%	6%	52	-2.2	206/261/299	93	307	8	12	33%	6%	59	-1.7	148/205/185	37	247	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Jordan Tarsovich 2017 · AA	26	39	44→45	46→50	47	198/270/309	111	250	12	9	26%	8%	65	-1.2	199/269/291	92	266	7	12	26%	8%	60	-1.6	182/256/255	73	246	4	15	26%	8%	45	-1.8
✕Andres Sosa 2024 · AA	26	42	40	49→45	46	201/294/296	96	278	7	8	28%	8%	72	-0.7	204/287/299	95	305	8	7	33%	8%	70	-0.9	164/264/245	81	266	7	2	37%	8%	47	-0.9
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA	26	38→41	42→45	48→45	38	193/239/299	106	261	9	6	29%	5%	50	-2.3	174/225/294	120	256	12	5	35%	5%	45	-2.7	143/193/276	133	198	15	3	36%	5%	26	-1.5

Victor Duarte

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps