Homer Bush Jr.CF
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 24
R/R
6'2" / 200 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.3 · 2028
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .296 / .303
PA320
HR3
SB20
K%24
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
30→30
SPD
80→80
FLD
70→70
EYE
43→43
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.3 | $11M | +$11M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.9 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.6M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.0M |
| Totals | $9M | $42M | +$33M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | 3 teams | 187 | 163 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 7 | 22 | 2 | .282 | .364 | .380 | .744 | .098 | .339 | 18 | 7 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +4 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 462 | 415 | 86 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 122 | 15 | 57 | 12 | .207 | .280 | .277 | .557 | .070 | .279 | 26 | 6 | .249 | 49 | -27 | +7 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 546 | 489 | 128 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 126 | 11 | 57 | 12 | .262 | .323 | .307 | .629 | .045 | .348 | 23 | 6 | .276 | 69 | -19 | +7 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | TB | 320 | 290 | 68 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 76 | 6 | 20 | 4 | .234 | .300 | .310 | .610 | .076 | .303 | 24 | 7 | .276 | 69 | -11 | +2 | +4 | +1 | +9 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | TB | 370 | 334 | 80 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 87 | 7 | 21 | 4 | .240 | .308 | .329 | .637 | .090 | .304 | 24 | 7 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +3 | +4 | +1 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | TB | 407 | 367 | 88 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 96 | 8 | 21 | 4 | .240 | .309 | .341 | .650 | .101 | .304 | 24 | 7 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +3 | +5 | +1 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | TB | 420 | 378 | 90 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 99 | 8 | 20 | 4 | .238 | .309 | .339 | .648 | .101 | .303 | 24 | 7 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +2 | +5 | +1 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | TB | 425 | 382 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 101 | 8 | 19 | 4 | .238 | .310 | .338 | .648 | .099 | .303 | 24 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | TB | 420 | 378 | 90 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 101 | 7 | 17 | 3 | .238 | .309 | .339 | .648 | .101 | .302 | 24 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +2 | +3 | +1 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | TB | 414 | 373 | 87 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 101 | 7 | 16 | 3 | .233 | .304 | .332 | .637 | .099 | .301 | 24 | 7 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +2 | +3 | +1 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | TB | 401 | 361 | 84 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 99 | 7 | 14 | 2 | .233 | .304 | .327 | .631 | .094 | .300 | 25 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | TB | 384 | 345 | 79 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 97 | 7 | 12 | 1 | .229 | .302 | .316 | .618 | .087 | .298 | 25 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -12 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB 94% | TB | 355 | 319 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 92 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .229 | .301 | .320 | .621 | .091 | .297 | 26 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -12 | +2 | -0 | +1 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | TB | 311 | 280 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 83 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .218 | .289 | .296 | .585 | .079 | .296 | 27 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +9 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5422 | 4874 | 1151 | 155 | 27 | 71 | 385 | 1314 | 109 | 315 | 57 | .236 | .306 | .323 | .629 | .087 | .307 | 24 | 7 | .283 | 75 | -153 | +40 | +29 | +19 | +154 | 9.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 584 | 139 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 158 | 13 | 38 | 7 | .238 | .308 | .327 | .635 | .089 | .309 | 24 | 7 | .283 | 75 | -18 | +5 | +3 | +2 | +18 | 1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 29 | 28 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .429 | .448 | .464 | .913 | .036 | .462 | 7 | 3 | .412 | 173 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 105 | 85 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .247 | .373 | .341 | .714 | .094 | .286 | 14 | 11 | .325 | 107 | +1 | +2 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 53 | 44 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 0 | .409 | .509 | .614 | 1.123 | .205 | .457 | 13 | 13 | .493 | 235 | +8 | +2 | — | — | +2 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 462 | 397 | 108 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 87 | 15 | 57 | 12 | .272 | .363 | .363 | .726 | .091 | .333 | 19 | 9 | .330 | 111 | +6 | +7 | — | — | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 546 | 472 | 142 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 48 | 98 | 11 | 57 | 12 | .301 | .377 | .360 | .737 | .059 | .375 | 18 | 9 | .330 | 111 | +7 | +7 | — | — | +15 | 2.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Homer Bush Jr. (OGILVIE) | 24 | 50 | 30 | 80 | 43 | .231/.296/.303 | .072 | .303 | 3 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Billy Hamilton 2014 · MLB |
23 | 52→60 | 37→40 | 76→70 | 45 | .241/.292/.319 | .078 | .320 | 4 | 74 | 25% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .242/.288/.327 | .085 | .302 | 5 | 63 | 20% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .242/.301/.319 | .077 | .310 | 4 | 55 | 22% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A |
25 | 40→48 | 39→45 | 70→65 | 42 | .190/.259/.286 | .096 | .283 | 5 | 39 | 33% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .212/.268/.313 | .101 | .299 | 7 | 40 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .217/.271/.316 | .099 | .300 | 8 | 48 | 29% | 5% | 58 | -0.9 |
|
✕Darin Mastroianni 2010 · AA |
24 | 51→59 | 36→40 | 62→60 | 49 | .238/.305/.305 | .067 | .308 | 3 | 37 | 22% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .250/.314/.330 | .080 | .317 | 4 | 35 | 20% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .251/.314/.333 | .082 | .316 | 4 | 38 | 20% | 8% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Wes Rogers 2018 · A |
24 | 48→51 | 39→40 | 63→65 | 44 | .227/.282/.320 | .093 | .296 | 6 | 38 | 25% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .205/.258/.287 | .082 | .296 | 6 | 25 | 31% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .178/.234/.244 | .066 | .269 | 6 | 20 | 34% | 6% | 25 | -2.0 |
|
✕Myles Straw 2019 · AAA |
24 | 57→59 | 35→40 | 62→60 | 50 | .261/.326/.324 | .062 | .339 | 2 | 35 | 22% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .255/.323/.321 | .066 | .329 | 2 | 34 | 21% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .249/.324/.312 | .063 | .307 | 2 | 27 | 18% | 10% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A |
24 | 48→47 | 39→40 | 63→70 | 41 | .218/.312/.303 | .085 | .321 | 6 | 39 | 31% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .219/.307/.306 | .087 | .309 | 5 | 48 | 29% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .224/.312/.311 | .087 | .316 | 5 | 61 | 27% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Steward Berroa 2023 · AA |
24 | 40→49 | 44→45 | 68→65 | 45 | .197/.272/.318 | .121 | .284 | 11 | 45 | 33% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .217/.291/.328 | .111 | .321 | 10 | 46 | 32% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .222/.301/.321 | .099 | .325 | 9 | 52 | 31% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Billy Burns 2014 · AA |
24 | 59→63 | 34→40 | 64→65 | 52 | .272/.344/.328 | .056 | .330 | 1 | 37 | 17% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .252/.306/.320 | .068 | .308 | 3 | 35 | 18% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .257/.302/.319 | .063 | .306 | 2 | 29 | 16% | 5% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Rafael Bautista 2017 · AA |
24 | 53→56 | 36→30 | 61→60 | 43 | .248/.289/.310 | .062 | .301 | 4 | 36 | 19% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .235/.278/.296 | .061 | .294 | 3 | 24 | 20% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .224/.263/.290 | .066 | .279 | 5 | 13 | 21% | 4% | 46 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jacob Young 2023 · A |
24 | 48→56 | 36→40 | 61→60 | 46 | .224/.288/.289 | .065 | .289 | 3 | 27 | 22% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .245/.303/.324 | .079 | .305 | 4 | 32 | 20% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .249/.308/.326 | .077 | .305 | 4 | 35 | 19% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Shawn Payne 2013 · A |
24 | 52→55 | 41→40 | 63→55 | 50 | .250/.320/.353 | .103 | .300 | 7 | 29 | 19% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .215/.284/.315 | .100 | .283 | 7 | 21 | 25% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .196/.267/.293 | .097 | .264 | 7 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB |
25 | 53→62 | 39→45 | 66→65 | 46 | .251/.306/.345 | .094 | .323 | 6 | 36 | 23% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .253/.315/.340 | .087 | .321 | 5 | 46 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .276/.342/.360 | .084 | .347 | 2 | 52 | 19% | 9% | 96 | +1.6 |
|
✕John Andreoli 2015 · AA |
25 | 51→57 | 36→45 | 62→60 | 49 | .233/.305/.301 | .068 | .315 | 2 | 35 | 25% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .217/.292/.317 | .100 | .308 | 7 | 32 | 29% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .210/.292/.324 | .114 | .306 | 9 | 29 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
●Joey Gathright 2006 · MLB |
25 | 56→66 | 37→30 | 66→60 | 46 | .262/.314/.344 | .083 | .329 | 4 | 46 | 21% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .258/.329/.321 | .063 | .310 | 2 | 35 | 16% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .284/.345/.320 | .036 | .330 | 0 | 35 | 13% | 7% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕David Hamilton 2023 · AA |
25 | 42→41 | 43→50 | 68→70 | 44 | .209/.271/.325 | .116 | .278 | 11 | 46 | 28% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .212/.282/.349 | .137 | .273 | 15 | 51 | 27% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .208/.280/.353 | .146 | .256 | 18 | 61 | 26% | 9% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ian Miller 2017 · AA |
25 | 51→58 | 34→40 | 63→60 | 45 | .238/.284/.298 | .059 | .293 | 1 | 36 | 18% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .243/.289/.317 | .074 | .310 | 4 | 34 | 22% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .239/.288/.324 | .085 | .306 | 6 | 35 | 23% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 |
|
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA |
22 | 43→53 | 42→45 | 63→65 | 42 | .213/.261/.318 | .105 | .268 | 9 | 34 | 24% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .245/.287/.352 | .107 | .309 | 8 | 37 | 22% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .258/.299/.360 | .102 | .324 | 7 | 41 | 22% | 5% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jarrod Dyson 2010 · AA |
25 | 51→57 | 34→40 | 62→70 | 43 | .235/.284/.287 | .052 | .320 | 1 | 41 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .245/.295/.316 | .071 | .312 | 3 | 44 | 21% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .246/.315/.340 | .094 | .283 | 5 | 53 | 14% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Eric Young Jr. 2009 · AA |
24 | 53→60 | 40→45 | 62→65 | 47 | .250/.311/.348 | .098 | .312 | 6 | 42 | 21% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .251/.318/.341 | .090 | .315 | 5 | 43 | 20% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .265/.336/.357 | .092 | .321 | 3 | 47 | 17% | 9% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
●Mallex Smith 2017 · MLB |
24 | 56→61 | 40→45 | 65 | 48 | .264/.325/.366 | .102 | .336 | 6 | 45 | 22% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .256/.317/.361 | .105 | .328 | 6 | 40 | 22% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .251/.317/.357 | .105 | .322 | 5 | 46 | 22% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 |