Ryan Leitch — OGILVIE

Ryan LeitchC Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .245 / .289

PA6

HR0

K%32

BB%6

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	33	33	7	0	0	2	0	16	0	0	0	212	212	394	606	182	333	48	0	263	64	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	158	39	6	0	7	13	55	6	0	0	247	328	418	745	171	330	31	7	333	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	39	5	1	0	1	2	15	0	0	0	128	171	231	402	103	174	37	5	182	10	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	33	33	4	0	0	1	0	23	0	0	0	121	121	212	333	91	302	70	0	139	-20	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	161	30	5	0	5	10	77	6	0	0	186	260	311	570	124	308	43	6	255	59	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	40	4	1	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	100	122	200	322	100	151	49	2	127	-28	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	33	33	4	0	0	1	0	23	0	0	0	121	121	212	333	91	333	70	0	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	33	33	7	0	0	2	0	16	0	0	0	212	212	394	606	182	333	48	0	263	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	161	30	5	0	5	10	77	6	0	0	186	260	311	570	124	312	43	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	158	39	6	0	7	13	55	6	0	0	247	328	418	745	171	330	31	7	333	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	40	4	1	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	100	122	200	322	100	158	49	2	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	39	5	1	0	1	2	15	0	0	0	128	171	231	402	103	174	37	5	182	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	33	33	4	0	0	1	0	23	0	0	0	121	121	212	333	91	302	70	0	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	160	30	5	0	5	10	77	6	0	0	188	260	312	572	125	308	43	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	40	4	1	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	100	122	200	322	100	151	49	2	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	160	30	5	0	5	10	77	6	0	0	188	260	312	572	125	308	43	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	40	4	1	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	100	122	200	322	100	151	49	2	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		251	33	0	244	51	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	131	119	23	4	1	3	9	40	2	2	1	193	262	319	581	126	255	31	7	254	58	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	235	214	42	7	1	6	16	71	3	3	1	196	262	322	584	126	258	30	7	260	62	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	299	272	52	9	1	7	21	89	4	4	1	191	259	309	568	118	260	30	7	264	65	-13	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	340	308	61	11	2	8	25	101	4	4	1	198	267	325	592	127	260	30	7	264	65	-14	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	359	325	63	11	2	8	26	108	5	4	1	194	264	314	578	120	259	30	7	262	64	-15	+0	-1	+6	+8	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	370	335	64	11	2	8	27	112	5	4	1	191	262	307	569	116	258	30	7	260	62	-17	+0	-2	+7	+8	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	258	30	8	249	58	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	104	95	18	3	0	3	7	31	1	1	0	189	252	316	568	126	261	30	7	256	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	147	134	27	5	1	4	10	44	2	2	1	201	267	343	610	142	262	30	7	259	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	175	158	32	6	1	4	13	52	2	2	1	203	272	329	601	127	263	30	7	260	65	-7	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	185	168	34	6	1	5	13	55	2	2	1	202	268	339	607	137	262	30	7	258	64	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	190	172	34	6	1	5	14	57	2	2	1	198	266	331	597	134	260	30	7	255	62	-9	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	841	763	152	27	4	22	60	251	10	10	4	199	267	332	598	132	263	30	7	257	59	-37	+0	-2	+15	+18	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	118	21	3	17	46	194	8	8	3	200	267	332	599	132	264	30	7	257	59	-28	+0	-2	+12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1992	1813	344	59	9	47	135	643	29	21	6	190	257	310	567	120	262	32	7	256	59	-76	+2	-4	+31	+38	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	112	19	3	15	44	210	9	7	2	189	256	307	563	118	262	32	7	256	59	-29	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.3	841	20	11	196	261	318	+15	+12	0.2	0.3
/162	664	16	8	+11.9	+9.5	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Leitch (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	181/245/289	108	251	2	1	32%	6%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	36	42→50	52→40	39	184/231/287	103	246	10	7	29%	5%	44	-2.8	211/256/331	120	295	12	5	31%	5%	64	-1.3	193/238/303	110	272	11	1	33%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	37	43→50	49→40	37	186/241/294	108	271	11	5	34%	6%	51	-2.3	204/262/330	126	308	11	5	36%	6%	66	-1.1	195/252/323	128	296	11	3	36%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Jarek Cunningham 2014 · AA	24	34→38	47→50	46→45	36	185/235/318	132	253	15	8	33%	5%	54	-2.0	200/254/331	131	277	13	7	32%	6%	63	-1.3	195/253/327	131	269	12	4	31%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	37	44→45	42→30	41	190/246/304	115	260	12	4	31%	7%	55	-2.0	220/260/327	107	297	10	3	28%	5%	64	-1.3	186/244/289	104	311	11	2	41%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	36→38	46→45	43→45	37	187/254/312	125	281	14	3	37%	6%	60	-1.6	199/273/309	110	266	11	6	28%	7%	67	-1.1	192/273/294	102	248	10	6	25%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	44→45	51→40	35	174/244/287	113	284	12	7	41%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/305	109	312	10	5	38%	5%	57	-1.8	193/247/308	115	295	10	0	36%	4%	53	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	190/266/292	102	264	10	6	30%	9%	59	-1.6	192/262/308	116	277	12	11	33%	8%	61	-1.5	174/253/287	113	253	13	17	35%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	38→35	43→50	49→55	37	193/242/301	107	263	10	9	30%	5%	52	-2.2	194/263/314	120	281	13	15	34%	7%	63	-1.3	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	39→34	44→50	46→50	34	194/238/310	117	291	11	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	198/246/338	140	298	16	12	38%	5%	62	-1.4	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Rodolfo Durán 2022 · AAA	24	37	45→50	47→45	37	195/230/316	121	250	13	5	28%	4%	51	-2.3	210/252/350	140	268	15	4	27%	5%	67	-1.1	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	191/254/290	99	287	9	12	35%	8%	54	-2.0	206/269/313	107	301	10	9	33%	8%	65	-1.2	165/225/251	86	232	8	0	31%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/278	87	253	5	11	26%	6%	51	-2.2	186/241/310	124	254	15	9	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Taylor Gushue 2018 · A	24	36	44→45	44→30	39	187/238/295	107	252	13	2	31%	5%	49	-2.4	204/255/330	126	276	14	3	30%	6%	64	-1.3	199/260/327	128	276	15	0	32%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Mason Katz 2015 · A	24	37→33	50	48→45	43	199/262/347	148	249	18	5	28%	7%	71	-0.8	207/277/322	115	295	11	8	31%	8%	70	-0.8	188/271/269	82	294	6	6	35%	9%	54	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps