Ryan Leitch — OGILVIE

Ryan LeitchC Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .246 / .293

PA76

HR2

K%32

BB%7

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	33	33	4	0	0	1	0	23	0	0	0	121	121	212	333	91	333	70	0	139	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	33	33	7	0	0	2	0	16	0	0	0	212	212	394	606	182	333	48	0	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	161	32	5	0	5	10	75	6	0	0	199	271	323	594	124	329	42	6	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	158	39	6	0	7	13	55	6	0	0	247	328	418	745	171	330	31	7	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	40	4	1	0	1	1	19	0	0	0	100	122	200	322	100	150	46	2	132	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	39	5	1	0	1	2	15	0	0	0	128	171	231	402	103	174	37	5	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	PHI	—	76	70	13	2	0	2	5	24	1	1	0	186	250	300	550	114	251	32	7	246	47	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	131	119	23	4	1	3	9	40	2	2	1	193	262	319	581	126	256	31	7	256	54	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	PHI	44%	235	214	42	7	1	6	16	71	3	3	1	196	262	322	584	126	259	30	7	262	59	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2029	27	MLB	PHI	49%	299	272	52	9	1	7	21	89	4	4	1	191	259	309	568	118	260	30	7	265	61	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	257	30	8	248	48	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	PHI	44%	104	95	18	3	0	3	7	31	1	1	0	189	252	316	568	126	260	30	7	254	53	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	PHI	49%	147	134	27	5	1	4	10	44	2	2	1	201	267	343	610	142	262	30	7	258	55	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	291	265	52	9	1	8	20	87	4	4	1	196	263	328	591	132	256	30	7	255	54	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	116	20	2	18	45	194	9	9	2	196	263	328	591	132	255	30	7	255	54	-34	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	993	909	170	28	3	25	62	341	16	10	3	187	251	307	558	120	265	34	6	252	51	-55	+1	+0	+18	+28	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	111	18	2	16	41	223	10	7	2	187	251	304	555	118	265	34	6	252	51	-36	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	33	33	7	0	2	0	16	0	212	212	394	606	182	333	48	0	263	60	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	178	158	39	6	7	13	55	6	247	328	418	745	171	330	31	7	333	113	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	41	39	5	1	1	2	15	0	128	171	231	402	103	174	37	5	182	-2	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	291	7	4	196	261	321	+5	+4	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	16	9	196	261	321	+11.9	+9.1	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Leitch (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	182/246/293	111	251	2	1	32%	7%	47	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	45→50	49→40	37	188/243/307	119	268	12	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/267/348	139	309	13	5	35%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/342	141	301	13	3	36%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	36	43→45	42→30	41	186/243/296	110	256	11	4	31%	7%	45	-2.1	217/257/323	106	294	10	3	28%	5%	57	-1.2	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Dustin Garneau 2012 · A	24	35→37	44→50	44→45	46	182/254/305	123	230	12	6	26%	8%	53	-1.5	198/265/326	128	230	13	5	20%	7%	63	-0.9	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	36→38	47→50	51→45	39	189/255/321	133	280	16	8	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/261/333	132	277	17	6	32%	7%	63	-0.8	194/254/308	114	254	15	4	29%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	41→40	43→50	47→45	39	202/257/309	107	296	12	10	35%	7%	54	-1.4	210/259/358	148	290	18	5	33%	6%	68	-0.5	196/241/340	144	262	19	2	33%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	41→45	48→40	36	174/228/264	89	257	9	5	35%	6%	30	-3.1	192/248/306	114	290	13	4	36%	6%	50	-1.7	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Miguel Jerez 2021 · A	23	33	47→60	48→40	37	177/245/308	131	274	16	5	40%	7%	50	-1.7	188/257/316	128	307	14	5	41%	7%	57	-1.2	125/206/261	136	192	17	0	44%	7%	20	-1.2
✕Jarek Cunningham 2013 · AA	23	35→38	44→55	46→45	37	182/238/300	118	260	11	6	34%	5%	44	-2.1	192/243/341	149	270	18	7	35%	5%	57	-1.2	186/236/344	158	258	20	7	36%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→31	43→50	46→50	34	189/235/299	110	285	10	11	36%	5%	42	-2.3	188/238/321	133	290	15	12	39%	5%	50	-1.8	159/216/313	154	231	21	14	41%	7%	37	-1.4