Gunnar Henderson

SS Baltimore Orioles
Age 26 L/R 6'3" / 230 lbs MLB HR +9% Svc 3.209 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202423MLBBAL719.281/.366/.52937211466.9
202524MLBBAL651.274/.351/.43817301153.8
202625MLBBAL702.225/.310/.4032410961.9
2027PROJ26MLBBAL648.260/.339/.46326271203.5
2028PROJ27MLBBAL648.259/.338/.46126261193.4
2029PROJ28MLBBAL648.258/.336/.45625231173.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 12.6  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 10.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.209First FA2030
2027Arb-1$8M2028Arb-2$14M2029Arb-3$20M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%90
xwOBA83
Avg EV83
Bat Spd79
Speed68
Form.252/.336/.449 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .255/.332/.451
CompsGrady Sizemore (age 26) · Cedric Mullins (age 27) · Jazz Chisholm Jr. (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 94120vR 130
AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .339 / .463
PA648
HR26
SB27
K%22
BB%9
BABIP300
ISO203
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +15.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+15BATRUN: +4.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: -5.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-5FLDPOS: +6.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +14.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +3.90+3.9WAR
0.02.04.03.93.43.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$43M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT60
Whiff%
906.8%
xAVG
690.267
POWER50
Barrel%
579.2
Avg EV
8391.4
Bat Spd
7974.3
EYE55
Chase%
9018.9%
SPEED60
Sprint
6828.2
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%▼23% over 115 PA (60d) · proj 22%
BB%10%▲11% over 115 PA (60d) · proj 9%
ISO.197·.198 over 101 AB (60d) · proj .196
HR/BB5.5%·5.3% over 75 BBE (60d) · proj 5.7%
BABIP.295·.296 over 71 BIP (60d) · proj .295
SLASH.252/.336/.449·proj .255/.332/.451
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1498 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
459
1039
—
wRC+
102
144
▶▶R
wOBA
318
381
▶▶R
ISO
164
235
▶▶R
BABIP
293
325
▶R
K%
25.1%
21.3%
▶▶R
BB%
9.8%
9.5%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2022
Service   3.209 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$8M+3.9$42M+$34M
2028Arb-2$14M+3.4$31M+$18M
2029Arb-3$20M+3.2$26M+$10M
Totals $41M $99M +$63M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201918 ROKGCL Orioles — 121108 28521 11281 22 259333370704 111338 239 316 36 — — — — — —
202120 AABowie Baysox — 1715 3100 2100 00 200294267561 67600 5912 264 -1 — — — — — —
202120 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 289243 561639 40873 111 230346432778 202313 3014 345 61 — — — — — —
202120 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 157141 441118 14460 51 312374574949 262404 299 407 99 — — — — — —
202221 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 132116 30714 16340 11 259348440788 181333 2612 351 117 +3 -0 -0 +2 +3 0.8
202221 AAANorfolk Tides — 295250 7213411 38785 101 288392504896 216374 2613 393 115 — — — — — —
202221 AABowie Baysox — 208157 491138 41384 122 3124655731.039 261350 1820 440 153 — — — — — —
202322 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 622560 14329928 561593 103 255326489816 234306 269 355 123 +17 +1 +3 +2 +13 3.7
202423 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 719630 17731737 781597 214 281366529895 248320 2211 389 146 +40 +3 +2 +8 +16 6.9
202524 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 651577 15834517 621377 305 274351438790 165329 2110 350 115 +12 +4 +1 +7 +14 3.8
202524 AAANorfolk Tides — 2019 5002 140 00 263300579879 316231 205 379 90 — — — — — —
202625 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 702623 14027624 6715610 105 225310403713 178261 2210 318 96 -3 +0 -1 +8 +15 1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 28262506 64812828110 27964527 7218 259339464803 205305 2310 353 125 +85 +7 +5 +27 +61 18.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201918 ROK MLEGCL Orioles — 121112 20311 7401 22 179233250483 71273 336 221 36 — — — — — —
202120 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 1716 2100 1120 00 125176188364 62588 716 166 -1 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 289253 441227 301173 111 174269320589 146271 4010 259 61 — — — — — —
202120 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 157145 37816 10610 51 255303448752 193369 396 314 99 — — — — — —
202221 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 132117 30714 15340 11 256341436777 179333 2611 341 117 +3 -0 -0 +2 +3 0.8
202221 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 295262 701248 26925 101 267345435780 168370 319 338 115 — — — — — —
202221 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 208168 501046 30474 122 298416512928 214340 2314 395 153 — — — — — —
202322 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 622561 14027928 551593 103 250320480799 230306 269 350 123 +17 +1 +3 +2 +13 3.7
202423 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 719631 17429737 771597 214 276361520881 244320 2211 385 146 +40 +3 +2 +8 +16 6.9
202524 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 651583 15533516 561377 305 266337422759 156329 219 338 115 +12 +4 +1 +7 +14 3.8
202524 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 2019 4001 150 00 211250368618 158227 255 301 90 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 702626 13726623 6415610 105 219301390691 171261 229 310 96 -3 +0 -1 +8 +15 1.9
201918 ROK MLEGCL Orioles — 121112 20311 7401 22 179233250483 71264 336 221 36 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWGCL Orioles — 121108 28521 11281 22 259333370704 111338 239 316 36 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLE3 teams — 463414 8121312 411913 162 196273348621 152319 419 274 72 — — — — — —
202120 A+ RAW3 teams — 463399 10328417 561433 162 258354476830 218352 3112 363 72 — — — — — —
202221 AAA MLE3 teams — 635547 14728818 711739 234 269362448810 179354 2711 357 128 — — — — — —
202221 AAA RAW3 teams — 635523 15131823 951509 234 289407511917 222358 2415 400 128 — — — — — —
202322 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 622561 14027928 551593 103 250320480799 230297 269 350 123 +17 +1 +3 +2 +13 3.7
202322 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 622560 14329928 561593 103 255326489816 234306 269 355 123 +17 +1 +3 +2 +13 3.7
202423 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 719631 17429737 771597 214 276361520881 244312 2211 385 146 +40 +3 +2 +8 +16 6.9
202423 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 719630 17731737 781597 214 281366529895 248320 2211 389 146 +40 +3 +2 +8 +16 6.9
202524 MLB MLE2 teams — 671602 16033518 571427 305 266336427763 161318 218 337 114 +11 +4 +1 +7 +15 3.8
202524 MLB RAW2 teams — 671596 16334519 631417 305 273350443793 169327 219 351 114 +11 +4 +1 +7 +15 3.8
202625 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 702626 13726623 6415610 105 219301390691 171254 229 310 96 -3 +0 -1 +8 +15 1.9
202625 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 702623 14027624 6715610 105 225310403713 178261 2210 318 96 -3 +0 -1 +8 +15 1.9
201918 ROK MLEGCL Orioles — 121112 20311 7401 22 179233250483 71273 336 221 36 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLE3 teams — 463416 8121312 411913 162 195273346619 151316 419 274 72 — — — — — —
202221 AAA MLE3 teams — 635550 14728818 711739 234 267362445807 178353 2711 357 128 — — — — — —
202322 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 622559 14027928 551593 103 250320481801 231306 269 350 123 — — — — — —
202423 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 719629 17429737 771597 214 277361521882 245320 2211 385 146 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLE2 teams — 671602 16033518 571427 305 266336427763 161326 218 337 114 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 702622 13726623 6415610 105 220301392694 172261 229 310 96 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 719629 17429737 771597 214 277361521882 245320 2211 385 146 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLE2 teams — 671602 16033518 571427 305 266336427763 161326 218 337 114 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 702622 13726623 6415610 105 220301392694 172261 229 310 96 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEBAL 100% 648575 14827625 601418 276 256334451786 196295 229 346 120 +15 +3 -5 +7 +14 3.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXBAL 100% 648575 15027626 601418 276 260339463802 203300 229 352 120 +15 +3 -5 +7 +14 3.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEBAL 100% 648575 14827625 601428 266 255333449782 194295 229 344 119 +15 +3 -5 +7 +14 3.4
202928 MLB MLEBAL 100% 648575 14426524 601448 235 253331444776 191294 229 342 117 +13 +3 -6 +7 +14 3.2
203029 MLB MLEBAL 100% 648576 14426524 591468 204 251329438767 188293 239 338 115 +12 +2 -6 +7 +14 2.9
203130 MLB MLEBAL 100% 648576 14326523 591488 164 247325430756 183291 239 334 112 +9 +2 -7 +7 +14 2.5
203231 MLB MLEBAL 100% 635566 13825522 571477 103 243320420740 177288 239 328 108 +6 +1 -8 +7 +14 2.0
203332 MLB MLEBAL 100% 622555 13123520 551477 52 237314407720 169283 249 320 102 +2 +0 -8 +7 +13 1.4
203433 MLB MLEBAL 100% 552493 11319417 481346 12 230306390696 160278 249 310 96 -3 -1 -8 +6 +12 0.6
203534 MLB MLEBAL 100% 504451 10016415 431265 01 221295370665 149270 259 297 87 -8 -0 -9 +5 +11 -0.0
202827 MLB CTXBAL 100% 648575 14927626 601428 266 259338461798 201299 229 351 119 +15 +3 -5 +7 +14 3.4
202928 MLB CTXBAL 100% 648575 14727525 601448 235 258336456792 198299 229 348 117 +13 +3 -6 +7 +14 3.2
203029 MLB CTXBAL 100% 648576 14727525 591468 204 255333450783 195298 239 344 115 +12 +2 -6 +7 +14 2.9
203130 MLB CTXBAL 100% 648576 14527524 591488 164 252329442771 190296 239 340 112 +9 +2 -7 +7 +14 2.5
203231 MLB CTXBAL 100% 635566 14025523 571477 103 248324431755 184292 239 334 108 +6 +1 -8 +7 +14 2.0
203332 MLB CTXBAL 100% 622555 13424521 551477 52 242318417735 176288 249 325 102 +2 +0 -8 +7 +13 1.4
203433 MLB CTXBAL 100% 552493 11620418 481346 12 234309400709 166282 249 315 96 -3 -1 -8 +6 +12 0.6
203534 MLB CTXBAL 100% 504451 10217415 431265 01 225299380678 155274 259 302 87 -8 -0 -9 +5 +11 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 77316873 172832267287 720177984 17345 251330443773 192297 239 341 111 +132 +17 -52 +79 +168 35.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 14527624 611507 154 251330443773 192297 239 341 111 +11 +1 -4 +7 +14 2.9
Career— MLE — 94868435 206838284332 8732295105 24058 245324428752 183296 249 332 111 +147 +20 -57 +86 +182 38.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 14226623 601577 164 246324431755 185296 249 332 111 +11 +2 -4 +7 +14 3.0