Quinn Priester
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 224 lbs
AAA
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 2.0 · 2027
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 93
ERA4.44
FIP4.41
K%19.6%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4193.9
Whiff%
p4424.5%
K%
p3620.2%
xwOBA vs
p640.298
FB+8.2 (42%)
SL+1.9 (27%)
SI (42%)
CU (9%)
CH-0.8 (2%)
CT-2.6 (20%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 8 | 7 | 33 | 140 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 88% | 4.1 | 18.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 1.0% | 3.03 | 3.26 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 8 | 7 | 33 | 140 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 88% | 4.1 | 26.4% | 7.1% | 19.3% | 0.7% | 3.03 | 2.15 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 20 | 20 | 98 | 407 | 98 | 39 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 3.04 | 3.84 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 20 | 20 | 98 | 407 | 98 | 39 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 24.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.36 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 19 | 90 | 377 | 89 | 30 | 6 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 1.3% | 3.29 | 3.16 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 19 | 90 | 377 | 89 | 30 | 6 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 1.6% | 3.29 | 2.99 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 28 | 158 | 693 | 152 | 74 | 18 | 88% | 4.9 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 5.18 | 4.21 | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 28 | 158 | 693 | 152 | 74 | 18 | 88% | 4.9 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 5.18 | 4.06 | +2.5 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 122 | 518 | 111 | 33 | 13 | 85% | 4.5 | 19.6% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 2.6% | 4.51 | 3.71 | +2.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 122 | 518 | 111 | 33 | 13 | 85% | 4.5 | 21.4% | 6.4% | 15.1% | 2.5% | 4.51 | 3.48 | +2.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 25 | 161 | 672 | 138 | 50 | 18 | 83% | 5.4 | 20.2% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 3.35 | 3.94 | +2.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 25 | 161 | 672 | 138 | 50 | 18 | 83% | 5.4 | 20.5% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 2.7% | 3.35 | 3.77 | +3.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 8 | 8 | 16 | 96 | 18 | 24 | 1 | 100% | 2.0 | 13.0% | 27.2% | -14.2% | 2.0% | 15.75 | 6.57 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 54 | 21 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 81 | 370 | 72 | 45 | 9 | — | — | 19.3% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 6.68 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 29 | 123 | 24 | 10 | 3 | — | — | 19.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.00 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 27 | 27 | 161 | 681 | 134 | 53 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.40 | +1.9 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 27 | 27 | 163 | 687 | 135 | 54 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.7% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.44 | +1.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 27 | 27 | 163 | 687 | 134 | 55 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +1.7 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 26 | 26 | 156 | 657 | 124 | 54 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.68 | +1.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 24 | 24 | 146 | 617 | 113 | 53 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.89 | +0.9 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 18 | 18 | 109 | 460 | 90 | 36 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.37 | +1.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 21 | 21 | 127 | 536 | 105 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.7% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +1.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 23 | 23 | 138 | 583 | 114 | 47 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.49 | +1.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 110 | 48 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.64 | +1.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 22 | 132 | 557 | 102 | 48 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.85 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 164 | 153 | 928 | 3940 | 745 | 321 | 123 | 93% | 5.7 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.25 | +12.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 33 | 200 | 849 | 161 | 69 | 27 | 93% | 5.6 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 144 | 130 | 678 | 2903 | 562 | 274 | 66 | 90% | 4.7 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 4.21 | 3.90 | +11.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 38 | 200 | 857 | 166 | 81 | 19 | 90% | 4.7 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 4.21 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Quinn Priester (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.45 | 19.6% | 11.7% | 487 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Erasmo Ramírez R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.66 | 18.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | .267 | 4.71 | 18.4% | 13.0% | 286 | +1.05 | 2.85 | 908 | 69 |
| Félix Peña R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.68 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .296 | 3.92 | 24.0% | 15.6% | 263 | +0.24 | 2.84 | 615 | 68 |
| Austin Peterson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 18.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .281 | 4.27 | 22.6% | 11.9% | 56 | +0.29 | 2.67 | 479 | 68 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.81 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .321 | 5.05 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 58 | +1.24 | 3.81 | 171 | 68 |
| Chandler Champlain R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.75 | 16.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% | .298 | 4.76 | 14.9% | 7.1% | 202 | +0.01 | 4.26 | 583 | 68 |
| Mike Foltynewicz R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .316 | 3.67 | 23.9% | 15.8% | 351 | -0.31 | 3.17 | 938 | 68 |
| Tyler Cravy R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .305 | 4.72 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 138 | +0.64 | 4.01 | 276 | 68 |
| Wes Parsons R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.61 | 18.4% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .274 | 3.93 | 18.5% | 6.1% | 91 | +0.32 | 3.00 | 483 | 68 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.21 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 433 | 67 |
| David Hale R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .343 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 8.1% | 251 | +0.40 | 3.26 | 493 | 67 |
| Brett Sears R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.79 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .244 | 3.56 | 23.9% | 18.1% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.56 | 167 | 67 |
| D.J. Brown R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.53 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.47 | 16.3% | 9.3% | 74 | -0.06 | 4.05 | 348 | 67 |
| Nate Karns R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.03 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 4.09 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 140 | +0.06 | 3.92 | 287 | 67 |
| Blayne Weller R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.15 | 16.0% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .326 | 5.67 | 17.6% | 8.4% | 103 | +1.52 | 4.15 | 254 | 67 |
| Austin Coley R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.55 | 15.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | .303 | 4.68 | 10.9% | 1.8% | 75 | +1.13 | 3.55 | 506 | 67 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2028 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 67 |
| Mike Hauschild R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.22 | 17.2% | 6.4% | 1.4% | .311 | 3.76 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 349 | +0.54 | 3.14 | 579 | 66 |
| Mat Latos R 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.68 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .306 | 5.21 | 14.5% | 4.4% | 128 | +1.53 | 3.68 | 244 | 66 |
| Mason Adams R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.84 | 18.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | .290 | 4.23 | 21.6% | 12.3% | 25 | +0.39 | 3.84 | 254 | 66 |
| David Hess R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.75 | 17.5% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .267 | 6.10 | 20.8% | 13.3% | 187 | +1.35 | 3.86 | 751 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 149 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 1.18 | 4.52 |
| Tanner Roark ('20) | 6 | 149 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 1.24 | 4.19 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| CC Sabathia ('19) CYAS×6HOF | 5 | 151 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 1.39 | 4.14 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |