Reynaldo López
P
Atlanta Braves
+2.3
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'1" / 225 lbs
MLB
Svc 8.0 · Ctrl thru 2027
peak 2.3 · 2026
ERA3.18
FIP3.68
xFIP4.80
SIERA4.63
K%26.6%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%18.1%
IP124
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.3peak
2026
K†6565
FB Velo
p4193.9
Whiff%
p1420.2%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p200.347
FB+2.6 (53%)
CU (10%)
CH-0.8 (4%)
SL-4.3 (32%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | 19 | 19 | 99 | 404 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 4.09 | 3.51 | +2.0 |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 30 | 25 | 153 | 659 | 168 | 54 | 17 | 22.1% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 3.70 | 3.73 | +2.7 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 30 | 30 | 169 | 722 | 161 | 63 | 23 | 20.1% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.06 | 4.23 | +2.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 32 | 32 | 189 | 799 | 151 | 74 | 25 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 3.91 | 4.36 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 33 | 33 | 184 | 809 | 169 | 65 | 35 | 20.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 5.38 | 4.62 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 8 | 26 | 121 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 19.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 6.49 | 6.86 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 30 | 19 | 97 | 411 | 105 | 34 | 16 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 5.12 | 4.11 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 61 | 1 | 65 | 254 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 24.8% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 2.76 | 1.73 | +2.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 68 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 83 | 32 | 8 | 29.9% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 3.27 | 3.61 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 27 | 26 | 140 | 562 | 152 | 43 | 10 | 27.3% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 2.13 | 2.87 | +3.8 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 1 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 4 | 21 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 2.18 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | ATL | 17 | 17 | 95 | 400 | 106 | 35 | 11 | 26.6% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 3.02 | 3.44 | +2.0 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 115 | 484 | 125 | 43 | 14 | 25.9% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 2.87 | 3.60 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 19 | 102 | 433 | 112 | 39 | 12 | 26.0% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 3.72 | 3.94 | +1.6 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 16 | 16 | 91 | 383 | 97 | 35 | 11 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 3.93 | 4.08 | +1.2 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 79 | 335 | 89 | 29 | 10 | 26.5% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 3.95 | 3.96 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 75 | 26 | 9 | 25.8% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 4.12 | +0.7 |
| 2031 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 60 | — | 60 | 251 | 63 | 23 | 8 | 24.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 4.20 | 4.29 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 38 | MLB | ATL | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 52 | 20 | 7 | 24.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 4.37 | 4.48 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 343 | 198 | 1213 | 5128 | 1126 | 439 | 151 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 3.97 | 3.95 | +18.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 33 | 200 | 845 | 186 | 72 | 25 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 3.97 | 3.95 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reynaldo López (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.56 | 28.3% | 8.5% | 2.5% | — | 3.99 | 25.9% | 17.0% | 272 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.45 | 17.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 315 | 61 |
| Radhames Liz R 2025 · 2.73 FIP | 31 | SP- | 2.73 | 24.8% | 9.2% | 1.0% | .283 | 4.49 | 21.8% | 7.9% | 23 | +1.76 | 2.73 | 110 | 58 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.77 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .270 | 4.63 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.86 | 3.77 | 264 | 58 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 55 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 55 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 54 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.53 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .338 | 4.03 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.50 | 2.80 | 410 | 54 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 54 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.60 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.87 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.27 | 3.12 | 352 | 54 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 54 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.88 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .247 | 3.28 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.60 | 2.80 | 284 | 53 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 53 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 53 |
| Jose Oyervides R 2027 · 3.00 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.00 | 19.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% | .333 | 4.11 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 184 | +1.11 | 3.00 | 407 | 53 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 53 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.35 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 275 | 53 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 53 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.82 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.26 | 3.17 | 272 | 53 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 125 | 53 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 53 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2016
Service 8.023 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2028
OPT
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +2.3 | $18M | +$8M |
| 2027 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +1.6 | $13M | +$3M |
| Totals | $20M | $32M | +$12M | ||
| Options · projected decision | |||
| 2028 | CLUB OPT | $2027.0M / $0.0M buyout | DECLINE |
| 2029 | CLUB OPT | $8.0M / $4.0M buyout | DECLINE |