Reynaldo López
P
Atlanta Braves
Age 32
RHP
6'1" / 225 lbs
MLB
peak 1.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 54 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10899vR 90
ERA3.65
FIP3.67
K%24.0%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%15.1%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4894.4
Whiff%
p2421.6%
K%
p4120.8%
xwOBA vs
p370.327
FB+2.6 (55%)
CU (12%)
CH-0.8 (3%)
SL-4.3 (30%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | 19 | 19 | 99 | 404 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 4.09 | 3.66 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | 19 | 19 | 99 | 404 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.3% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 1.2% | 4.09 | 2.71 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 25 | 153 | 659 | 168 | 54 | 17 | 83% | 5.1 | 22.1% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 2.3% | 3.70 | 3.60 | +3.2 |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 25 | 153 | 659 | 168 | 54 | 17 | 83% | 5.1 | 25.5% | 8.2% | 17.3% | 2.6% | 3.70 | 3.41 | +3.6 |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 169 | 722 | 161 | 63 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.09 | +2.6 |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 169 | 722 | 161 | 63 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.3% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.06 | 4.08 | +2.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 32 | 32 | 189 | 799 | 151 | 74 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 3.91 | 4.34 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 32 | 32 | 189 | 799 | 151 | 74 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 3.91 | 4.40 | +2.2 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 33 | 33 | 184 | 809 | 169 | 65 | 35 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.9% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 5.38 | 4.65 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 33 | 33 | 184 | 809 | 169 | 65 | 35 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.9% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 5.38 | 4.80 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 8 | 26 | 121 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 100% | 3.3 | 19.8% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.49 | 6.94 | -0.7 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 8 | 26 | 121 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 100% | 3.3 | 19.8% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.49 | 7.43 | -0.9 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 19 | 97 | 411 | 105 | 34 | 16 | 63% | 3.2 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 3.5% | 5.12 | 4.08 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 19 | 97 | 411 | 105 | 34 | 16 | 63% | 3.2 | 25.5% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 3.9% | 5.12 | 4.13 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 61 | 1 | 65 | 254 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 3.9% | 20.9% | 0.4% | 2.76 | 1.71 | +2.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 61 | 1 | 65 | 254 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 3.9% | 20.9% | 0.4% | 2.76 | 1.83 | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 68 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 83 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 3.27 | 3.62 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 68 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 83 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 3.27 | 3.62 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 140 | 562 | 152 | 43 | 10 | 96% | 5.2 | 27.3% | 7.7% | 19.5% | 1.8% | 2.13 | 2.79 | +4.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 140 | 562 | 152 | 43 | 10 | 96% | 5.2 | 27.0% | 7.7% | 19.4% | 1.8% | 2.13 | 2.78 | +4.3 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 1 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 4.0% | 8.0% | -4.0% | 4.0% | 5.40 | 5.97 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 1 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 4.0% | 8.0% | -4.0% | 4.0% | 5.40 | 6.50 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 22 | 9 | 62 | 260 | 54 | 25 | 8 | 41% | 2.8 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 3.50 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | ATL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 54 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 2.7% | 3.65 | 3.67 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | ATL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 55 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 2.7% | 3.65 | 3.67 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 115 | 487 | 108 | 45 | 14 | — | — | 22.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 3.57 | 3.98 | +1.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 115 | 487 | 108 | 45 | 14 | — | — | 22.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 3.57 | 3.98 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 17 | 17 | 106 | 447 | 107 | 42 | 13 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.15 | 4.27 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 16 | 16 | 96 | 407 | 93 | 40 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.40 | 4.57 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 86 | 365 | 80 | 38 | 13 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.91 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 17 | 17 | 106 | 448 | 107 | 42 | 13 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.15 | 4.27 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 15 | 15 | 96 | 405 | 93 | 40 | 13 | 100% | 6.4 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.40 | 4.57 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 86 | 363 | 80 | 38 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.91 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 388 | 178 | 1225 | 5165 | 1155 | 452 | 164 | 46% | 3.2 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.01 | 4.06 | +19.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 74 | 27 | 46% | 3.2 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.01 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 361 | 203 | 1254 | 5304 | 1161 | 456 | 153 | 56% | 3.5 | 21.9% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 3.98 | 3.92 | +21.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 32 | 200 | 846 | 185 | 73 | 24 | 56% | 3.5 | 21.9% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 3.98 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reynaldo López (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.52 | 28.1% | 8.4% | 2.5% | — | 4.56 | 23.0% | 13.2% | 289 | +1.04 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Richards R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.23 | 21.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.13 | 18.8% | 9.8% | 179 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 577 | 60 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.66 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% | .308 | 4.62 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.96 | 3.66 | 348 | 59 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 58 |
| Radhames Liz R 2025 · 2.77 FIP | 31 | SW | 2.77 | 24.8% | 9.2% | 1.1% | .283 | 4.31 | 21.8% | 7.9% | 23 | +1.54 | 2.77 | 110 | 58 |
| Mitch Lively R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 55 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.52 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.31 | 3.21 | 425 | 54 |
| Brad Peacock R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.04 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | .261 | 4.12 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 96 | +0.08 | 2.88 | 533 | 54 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.99 | 29.2% | 13.2% | 3.1% | .224 | 4.84 | 17.9% | 5.4% | 56 | +0.85 | 3.33 | 556 | 53 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 365 | 51 |
| Chris Archer R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.41 | 25.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | .250 | 4.36 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 103 | -0.05 | 2.88 | 1,018 | 51 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 50 |
| Collin McHugh R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 25.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | .259 | 2.10 | 28.8% | 24.3% | 133 | -1.97 | 1.79 | 806 | 50 |
| Yohan Pino R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 48 |
| Tom Koehler R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 48 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.64 | 16.2% | 10.5% | 1.1% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 139 | 47 |
| Charlie Morton R 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.01 | 26.8% | 11.3% | 1.4% | .326 | 2.90 | 28.8% | 20.7% | 508 | -0.11 | 2.55 | 1,534 | 47 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 47 |
| Bryan Evans R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.72 | 18.7% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .450 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 231 | 44 |
| Sam LeCure R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.27 | 16.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 171 | 44 |
| Danny Gutierrez R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 15.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 239 | 44 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 101 | 24.5% | 9.4% | 1.17 | 4.14 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Kyle Wright ('23) | 3 | 83 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 1.12 | 3.97 |
| Tyler Skaggs ('19) | 4 | 85 | 22.9% | 8.2% | 1.09 | 4.24 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Alek Manoah ('24) | 4 | 105 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 1.03 | 3.34 |
| Triston McKenzie ('24) | 4 | 105 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 1.52 | 3.94 |