Reynaldo López — OGILVIE

Reynaldo López P Atlanta Braves

Age 32 RHP 6'1" / 225 lbs MLB peak 1.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 10 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.57

FIP3.59

K%23.5%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%14.9%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—55

STUF5560

CTRL5045

CMD6050

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4594.2

Whiff%

p2922.3%

p4621.6%

xwOBA vs

p300.335

FB+2.6 (54%)

CU (11%)

CH-0.8 (4%)

SL-4.3 (31%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	19	19	99	404	94	28	5	100%	5.2	17.9%	8.0%	9.9%	1.7%	4.09	3.54	—
2015	21	A+ RAW	Potomac Nationals	19	19	99	404	94	28	5	100%	5.2	23.3%	6.9%	16.3%	1.2%	4.09	2.71	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	25	153	659	168	54	17	83%	5.1	22.1%	8.6%	13.5%	2.5%	3.70	3.70	+2.2
2016	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	25	153	659	168	54	17	83%	5.1	25.5%	8.2%	17.3%	2.6%	3.70	3.41	+2.8
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	169	722	161	63	23	100%	5.6	20.1%	9.1%	11.1%	3.1%	4.06	4.24	+1.3
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	169	722	161	63	23	100%	5.6	22.3%	8.7%	13.6%	3.2%	4.06	4.08	+1.6
2018	24	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	32	32	189	799	151	74	25	100%	5.9	18.9%	9.3%	9.6%	3.1%	3.91	4.37	+1.2
2018	24	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	32	32	189	799	151	74	25	100%	5.9	18.9%	9.3%	9.6%	3.1%	3.91	4.40	+1.1
2019	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	33	33	184	809	169	65	35	100%	5.6	20.9%	8.0%	12.9%	4.3%	5.38	4.69	+0.5
2019	25	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	33	33	184	809	169	65	35	100%	5.6	20.9%	8.0%	12.9%	4.3%	5.38	4.80	+0.2
2020	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	8	8	26	121	24	15	9	100%	3.3	19.8%	12.4%	7.4%	7.3%	6.49	7.01	-0.6
2020	26	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	8	8	26	121	24	15	9	100%	3.3	19.8%	12.4%	7.4%	7.4%	6.49	7.43	-0.7
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	19	97	411	105	34	16	63%	3.2	24.1%	8.5%	15.6%	3.7%	5.12	4.20	+0.8
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	19	97	411	105	34	16	63%	3.2	25.5%	8.3%	17.3%	3.9%	5.12	4.13	+0.9
2022	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	61	1	65	254	63	10	1	2%	1.1	24.8%	3.9%	20.9%	0.4%	2.76	1.72	+2.2
2022	28	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	61	1	65	254	63	10	1	2%	1.1	24.8%	3.9%	20.9%	0.4%	2.76	1.83	+2.1
2023	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	68	0	66	278	83	32	8	0%	1.0	29.9%	11.5%	18.3%	2.9%	3.27	3.62	+0.7
2023	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	68	0	66	278	83	32	8	0%	1.0	29.9%	11.5%	18.3%	2.9%	3.27	3.62	+0.7
2023	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	68	0	66	278	83	32	8	0%	1.0	29.9%	11.5%	18.3%	2.9%	3.27	3.62	+0.7
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	26	140	562	152	43	10	96%	5.2	27.3%	7.7%	19.5%	1.8%	2.13	2.79	+3.7
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	26	140	562	152	43	10	96%	5.2	27.3%	7.7%	19.5%	1.8%	2.13	2.79	+3.7
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	26	140	562	152	43	10	96%	5.2	27.0%	7.7%	19.4%	1.8%	2.13	2.78	+3.7
2025	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	1	1	5	25	1	2	1	100%	5.0	4.0%	8.0%	-4.0%	4.0%	5.40	5.97	-0.1
2025	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	1	1	5	25	1	2	1	100%	5.0	4.0%	8.0%	-4.0%	4.0%	5.40	5.97	-0.1
2025	31	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	1	1	5	25	1	2	1	100%	5.0	4.0%	8.0%	-4.0%	4.0%	5.40	6.50	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			293	135	897	3788	837	319	121	46%	3.1	22.1%	8.4%	13.7%	3.2%	3.95	4.05	+5.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	28	15	90	388	82	35	11	54%	3.2	20.7%	8.9%	11.7%	2.8%	3.89	4.04	+0.9
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	28	15	90	388	82	35	11	54%	3.2	20.7%	8.9%	11.7%	2.8%	3.89	4.04	+0.9
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	AAA RAW	ATL	3	3	14	59	11	3	0	100%	4.7	18.6%	5.1%	13.6%	0.0%	2.57	2.17	—
2026	32	MLB RAW	ATL	25	12	76	329	71	32	11	48%	3.1	21.6%	9.7%	11.9%	3.3%	4.13	4.34	+0.2
SO FAR	32	MLB RAW	ATL	25	12	76	329	71	32	11	48%	3.1	21.6%	9.7%	11.9%	3.3%	4.13	4.34	+0.2
ROS	32	MLB MLE	ATL	2	2	10	41	10	4	1	100%	4.9	23.5%	8.6%	14.9%	2.5%	3.57	3.59	+0.2
ROS	32	MLB CTX	ATL	2	2	10	42	10	4	1	100%	5.0	23.5%	8.6%	14.9%	2.5%	3.57	3.59	+0.2
2026 TOT	32	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	100	429	92	39	12	—	—	21.4%	9.0%	12.4%	2.8%	3.86	4.00	+1.1
FULL	32	MLB A+C	ATL	—	—	86	363	92	39	12	—	—	25.2%	10.6%	14.6%	3.3%	4.48	4.13	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	ATL	17	17	106	447	107	42	14	100%	6.2	23.8%	9.5%	14.4%	3.1%	4.24	4.36	+0.7
2028	34	MLB MLE	ATL	16	16	96	407	93	41	14	100%	6.0	22.9%	10.0%	13.0%	3.4%	4.50	4.67	+0.3
2027	33	MLB CTX	ATL	17	17	106	448	107	42	14	100%	6.2	23.8%	9.5%	14.4%	3.1%	4.24	4.36	+0.7
2028	34	MLB CTX	ATL	16	16	96	405	93	40	14	100%	6.0	22.9%	10.0%	13.0%	3.4%	4.50	4.67	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		328	170	1109	4683	1047	405	150	52%	3.4	22.4%	8.7%	13.7%	3.2%	4.03	4.06	+11.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		59	31	200	845	189	73	27	52%	3.4	22.4%	8.7%	13.7%	3.2%	4.03	4.06	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		367	209	1283	5432	1187	466	160	57%	3.5	21.8%	8.6%	13.3%	2.9%	3.99	3.96	+10.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	33	200	847	185	73	25	57%	3.5	21.8%	8.6%	13.3%	2.9%	3.99	3.96	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reynaldo López (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.52	28.1%	8.4%	2.5%	—	4.51	23.4%	13.7%	202	+0.99	—	—	—
Garrett Richards R 2020 · 4.05 FIP	32	SP-	4.05	21.6%	8.0%	3.2%	.280	4.16	18.8%	9.8%	179	+0.11	2.31	577	66
Josh Lindblom R 2020 · 3.50 FIP	33	SP	3.50	27.2%	8.4%	3.0%	.308	4.46	21.7%	13.8%	255	+0.96	3.50	348	61
Brad Peacock R 2019 · 4.22 FIP	31	SP-	4.22	25.1%	8.1%	4.0%	.261	4.15	22.8%	12.5%	96	-0.07	2.97	533	60
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	58
Trevor Cahill R 2020 · 3.98 FIP	32	SP-	3.98	29.2%	13.2%	3.1%	.224	4.92	17.9%	5.4%	56	+0.94	3.37	556	58
Radhames Liz R 2015 · 2.81 FIP	31	SW	2.81	24.8%	9.2%	1.2%	.283	4.45	21.8%	7.9%	23	+1.64	2.81	110	57
Chris Archer R 2021 · 4.44 FIP	32	SP	4.44	25.4%	8.1%	4.5%	.250	4.37	19.2%	8.2%	103	-0.07	2.85	1,018	56
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	55
Ricky Nolasco R 2015 · 3.22 FIP	32	SP	3.22	20.2%	6.9%	1.7%	.382	4.41	17.9%	11.7%	379	+1.19	3.22	425	55
Collin McHugh R 2019 · 4.25 FIP	32	SW	4.25	25.9%	9.5%	3.9%	.259	2.09	28.8%	24.3%	133	-2.16	1.77	806	52
Charlie Morton R 2016 · 2.99 FIP	32	SP	2.99	26.8%	11.3%	1.3%	.326	2.96	28.8%	20.7%	508	-0.03	2.52	1,534	52
Tom Koehler R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	31	SP-	4.66	22.4%	9.0%	4.2%	.298	—	—	—	—	—	4.38	474	50
Lucas Harrell R 2017 · 3.57 FIP	32	SP	3.57	16.2%	10.5%	0.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	139	49
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	49
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	49
Jair Jurrjens R 2017 · 4.27 FIP	31	SP	4.27	16.3%	7.9%	2.8%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	125	48
Dillon Gee R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	31	SP-	3.85	18.0%	5.9%	2.8%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	380	46
Bryan Evans R 2019 · 3.89 FIP	32	SP	3.89	18.7%	10.4%	1.9%	.450	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	231	45
Sam LeCure R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	32	SW	4.17	16.6%	6.5%	3.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.17	171	45
Matt Shoemaker R 2019 · 3.80 FIP	32	SP	3.80	22.2%	8.3%	2.8%	.181	5.06	18.8%	11.1%	159	+1.26	3.17	592	45

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	106	25.1%	9.2%	1.14	4.05
Kyle Wright ('23)	1.2	83	22.4%	8.9%	1.12	3.97
Luis Garcia ('23)	1.7	113	25.5%	7.7%	1.19	3.63
Tyler Skaggs ('19)	1.7	85	22.9%	8.2%	1.09	4.24
Alek Manoah ('24)	2.1	105	23.4%	9.0%	1.03	3.34
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Triston McKenzie ('24)	2.1	105	26.0%	9.4%	1.52	3.94