Victor Diaz — OGILVIE

Victor DiazC Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 235 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .247 / .293

PA76

HR1

K%35

BB%6

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	257	240	50	11	2	2	9	65	3	6	5	208	246	296	542	87	270	25	4	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	257	232	67	16	3	2	17	45	3	6	5	289	345	409	755	121	342	18	7	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	17	15	4	1	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	267	312	533	846	267	500	47	6	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	17	14	4	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	286	375	571	946	286	429	35	12	386	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	98	92	17	2	0	3	6	29	0	6	1	185	235	304	539	120	233	30	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	98	85	23	4	0	3	13	19	0	6	1	271	367	424	791	153	317	19	13	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	106	96	15	5	0	2	6	35	1	2	0	156	214	271	484	115	210	33	6	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	106	93	21	6	0	5	9	27	1	2	0	226	301	452	753	226	250	25	8	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	142	135	18	2	0	3	4	63	1	0	0	133	164	215	379	81	211	44	3	172	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	142	132	26	4	0	5	7	46	1	0	0	197	243	341	584	144	253	32	5	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	HOU	—	76	70	13	3	0	1	5	26	1	1	0	186	250	271	521	86	284	34	7	246	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	HOU	30%	131	121	24	4	1	3	8	44	1	2	0	198	254	322	576	124	285	34	6	256	54	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	HOU	44%	235	216	44	8	1	5	15	76	2	3	1	204	262	319	581	116	286	32	6	263	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2029	27	MLB	HOU	49%	299	274	56	10	2	6	20	96	3	4	1	204	266	321	587	117	286	32	7	266	62	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2030	28	MLB	HOU	51%	340	311	64	12	2	7	23	109	3	4	1	206	267	325	592	119	286	32	7	267	62	-14	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.1
2027	25	MLB	HOU	30%	39	37	7	1	0	1	2	13	0	0	0	189	231	297	528	108	288	33	5	253	52	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	HOU	44%	104	95	20	4	1	2	7	34	1	1	0	211	272	337	609	126	289	33	7	259	57	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	27	MLB	HOU	49%	146	134	28	5	1	3	10	47	1	2	1	209	269	328	597	119	289	32	7	263	59	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2030	28	MLB	HOU	51%	175	159	33	6	1	4	12	56	2	2	1	208	272	333	605	126	289	32	7	263	59	-8	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	464	425	88	16	3	10	31	150	4	5	2	207	267	329	597	122	291	32	7	261	58	-22	+0	-0	+8	+13	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	123	22	4	14	43	210	6	7	3	207	267	328	594	121	291	32	7	261	58	-31	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	1701	1570	305	58	8	33	97	551	15	28	9	194	248	304	552	110	272	32	6	246	47	-102	+2	-1	+30	+48	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	117	22	3	13	37	211	6	11	3	195	249	307	556	112	272	32	6	246	47	-39	+1	-0	+12	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	257	232	67	16	3	2	17	45	3	6	5	289	345	409	755	121	342	18	7	332	112	+3	-1	—	—	+7	1.0
2021	19	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	17	14	4	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	286	375	571	946	286	429	35	12	386	154	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	20	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	98	85	23	4	0	3	13	19	0	6	1	271	367	424	791	153	317	19	13	356	131	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	106	93	21	6	0	5	9	27	1	2	0	226	301	452	753	226	250	25	8	322	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	105	97	13	2	0	3	6	39	1	0	0	134	192	247	440	113	179	37	6	200	11	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	22	ROK	FCL Astros	—	37	35	13	2	0	2	1	7	0	0	0	371	389	600	989	229	407	19	3	421	180	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	541	11	7	204	261	321	+10	+12	-0.0	0.0
	/162	664	14	8	204	261	321	+11.9	+14.7	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Diaz (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	192/247/293	101	284	1	1	35%	6%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	45→50	49→40	37	188/243/307	119	268	12	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/267/348	139	309	13	5	35%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/342	141	301	13	3	36%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	41→40	43→50	47→45	39	202/257/309	107	296	12	10	35%	7%	54	-1.4	210/259/358	148	290	18	5	33%	6%	68	-0.5	196/241/340	144	262	19	2	33%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Mat Nelson 2023 · A	24	38→29	41→45	47→40	35	180/250/276	96	308	9	4	42%	6%	43	-2.2	181/265/295	114	265	15	5	35%	7%	56	-1.3	170/263/287	117	236	17	3	34%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→31	43→50	46→50	34	189/235/299	110	285	10	11	36%	5%	42	-2.3	188/238/321	133	290	15	12	39%	5%	50	-1.8	159/216/313	154	231	21	14	41%	7%	37	-1.4
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	36	43→45	42→30	41	186/243/296	110	256	11	4	31%	7%	45	-2.1	217/257/323	106	294	10	3	28%	5%	57	-1.2	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A	24	34→42	42→45	47→50	34	170/231/269	99	302	11	12	45%	7%	33	-2.9	190/257/305	115	308	11	15	39%	7%	54	-1.4	210/277/334	124	312	12	15	34%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Jeremy Eierman 2021 · A	24	34→26	42→60	50→45	32	173/219/273	100	285	9	9	41%	5%	28	-3.2	189/243/362	173	300	24	10	44%	5%	63	-0.8	166/224/353	186	246	28	10	44%	5%	50	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	37	44→50	45→30	40	186/252/307	121	288	11	6	38%	8%	52	-1.6	203/274/338	135	336	14	3	40%	8%	69	-0.4	193/269/328	135	322	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Tate Blackman 2019 · A	24	37→34	44→45	43→40	40	187/260/298	112	287	13	5	37%	8%	54	-1.4	177/248/262	85	324	8	5	44%	7%	40	-2.4	124/203/169	45	259	4	1	50%	8%	-4	-3.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3