Denny Larrondo

P Visalia Rawhide

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	21	MIX2 levels	15	13	61	4.43	4.12	24.6%	14.5%	—	K 17.1% · BB 17.9% · FIP 5.65
2024	22	AARI	23	23	94	3.56	3.96	25.4%	16.1%	—	K 18.8% · BB 19.0% · FIP 5.00
2025	23	MIX2 levels	20	17	81	5.36	3.63	25.7%	11.5%	—	K 19.3% · BB 13.3% · FIP 4.62
2027PROJ	25	MLBARI	12	12	70	5.40	5.40	19.1%	15.1%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBARI	5	5	31	5.28	5.27	19.7%	14.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBARI	8	8	45	5.23	5.24	20.0%	14.1%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control40Command45

CompsDavid Lebron (age 25) · Luis Quiñones (age 25) · J.P. France (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 119

ERA5.40

FIP5.40

K%19.1%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%4.0%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	12	9	32	141	24	21	0	75%	2.7	11.6%	18.6%	-7.0%	0.0%	5.01	4.48	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	12	9	32	141	24	21	0	75%	2.7	17.0%	14.9%	2.1%	0.0%	5.01	3.56	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	11	3	26	114	38	16	2	27%	2.3	22.7%	17.5%	5.1%	2.5%	4.56	4.77	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	11	3	26	114	38	16	2	27%	2.3	33.3%	14.0%	19.3%	1.8%	4.56	3.02	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	13	61	276	68	40	6	87%	4.1	17.1%	17.9%	-0.8%	3.1%	4.43	5.65	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	13	61	276	68	40	6	87%	4.1	24.6%	14.5%	10.1%	2.2%	4.43	4.12	—
2024	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	23	23	94	422	107	68	7	100%	4.1	18.8%	19.0%	-0.3%	2.0%	3.56	5.00	—
2024	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	23	23	94	422	107	68	7	100%	4.1	18.8%	19.0%	-0.3%	2.0%	3.56	5.00	—
2024	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	23	23	94	422	107	68	7	100%	4.1	25.4%	16.1%	9.2%	1.7%	3.56	3.96	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	17	81	358	92	41	8	85%	4.0	19.3%	13.3%	6.0%	2.7%	5.36	4.62	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	17	81	358	92	41	8	85%	4.0	19.3%	13.3%	6.0%	2.7%	5.36	4.62	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	17	81	358	92	41	8	85%	4.0	25.7%	11.5%	14.2%	2.2%	5.36	3.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ARI	12	12	70	296	56	45	9	100%	5.8	19.1%	15.1%	4.0%	3.0%	5.40	5.40	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	73	307	60	44	9	100%	6.0	19.7%	14.5%	5.2%	3.0%	5.28	5.27	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	72	302	60	43	9	100%	6.0	20.0%	14.1%	5.8%	3.0%	5.23	5.24	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	69	293	59	41	9	100%	5.8	20.0%	14.1%	6.0%	3.1%	5.24	5.28	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	ARI	11	11	66	280	56	40	9	100%	6.0	19.9%	14.1%	5.7%	3.3%	5.32	5.38	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	ARI	10	10	62	263	51	38	9	100%	6.2	19.5%	14.4%	5.1%	3.5%	5.46	5.56	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	5	5	31	131	26	19	4	100%	6.2	19.7%	14.5%	5.2%	3.0%	5.28	5.27	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	8	8	45	190	38	27	6	100%	5.6	20.0%	14.1%	5.8%	3.0%	5.23	5.24	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	52	220	44	31	7	100%	5.8	20.0%	14.1%	6.0%	3.1%	5.24	5.28	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	54	228	45	32	7	100%	6.0	19.9%	14.1%	5.7%	3.3%	5.32	5.38	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	53	224	44	32	8	100%	5.9	19.5%	14.4%	5.1%	3.5%	5.46	5.56	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		39	39	235	993	197	141	32	100%	6.0	19.8%	14.2%	5.6%	3.2%	5.31	4.98	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	167	120	27	100%	6.0	19.8%	14.2%	5.6%	3.2%	5.31	4.98	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		81	65	293	1311	238	224	29	80%	3.6	18.1%	17.1%	1.1%	2.2%	4.48	4.96	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	44	200	894	162	152	20	80%	3.6	18.1%	17.1%	1.1%	2.2%	4.48	4.96	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Denny Larrondo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.40	19.1%	15.1%	3.0%	—	5.26	19.9%	5.7%	214	-0.14	—	—	—
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	88
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.80	22.4%	10.8%	160	+0.03	3.69	326	85
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	85
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	84
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	83
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	82
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	82
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	81
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	80
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	80
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	79
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	79
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.02	23.3%	14.9%	227	-0.85	3.83	543	79
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	78
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	78
Brett Daniels R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	22.3%	13.0%	3.3%	.357	4.69	18.9%	3.2%	77	+0.02	3.95	270	78
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	77
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	77
Jason Savacool R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	14.9%	14.1%	2.2%	.275	4.88	17.2%	4.6%	128	+0.05	4.26	225	77
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	69	19.7%	14.4%	1.21	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*