Alexander Ramirez
OF Tri-City Dust Devils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | A+LAA | 466 | .247/.298/.352 | 4 | 23 | 44 | — | .204/.246/.282 |
| 2024 | 21 | A/ROK2 orgs | 228 | .254/.363/.477 | 10 | 6 | 61 | — | .178/.261/.331 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA/A+LAA | 158 | .192/.253/.329 | 5 | 3 | -12 | — | .107/.158/.188 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBLAA | 1 | .190/.255/.313 | 0 | 0 | 60 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBLAA | 56 | .194/.260/.323 | 1 | 1 | 64 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 16 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 177 | 154 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 234 | 330 | 429 | 758 | 195 | 348 | 33 | 9 | 336 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 81 | 72 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 83 | 185 | 111 | 296 | 28 | 158 | 42 | 9 | 154 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 154 | 127 | 35 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 276 | 399 | 512 | 911 | 236 | 411 | 32 | 14 | 398 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 520 | 475 | 109 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 160 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 229 | 292 | 352 | 644 | 122 | 326 | 31 | 6 | 289 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 466 | 429 | 106 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 170 | 8 | 23 | 7 | 247 | 298 | 352 | 650 | 105 | 395 | 36 | 5 | 289 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 176 | 146 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 60 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 274 | 391 | 521 | 911 | 247 | 392 | 34 | 14 | 396 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 52 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 269 | 340 | 610 | 149 | 308 | 38 | 6 | 275 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 235 | 250 | 485 | 62 | 500 | 59 | 6 | 223 | -21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 141 | 130 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 73 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 192 | 255 | 338 | 594 | 146 | 385 | 52 | 8 | 267 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 177 | 158 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 133 | 222 | 234 | 456 | 101 | 214 | 41 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 81 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 136 | 81 | 217 | 27 | 148 | 59 | 6 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 154 | 135 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 72 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 170 | 268 | 296 | 564 | 126 | 324 | 47 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 520 | 484 | 83 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 219 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 171 | 224 | 260 | 485 | 89 | 290 | 42 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 466 | 436 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 218 | 8 | 23 | 7 | 204 | 246 | 282 | 528 | 78 | 386 | 47 | 3 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 176 | 155 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 85 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 194 | 282 | 361 | 643 | 168 | 354 | 48 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 52 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 192 | 229 | 421 | 104 | 242 | 56 | 4 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 125 | 176 | 188 | 364 | 62 | 456 | 71 | 6 | 137 | -21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 141 | 133 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 97 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 105 | 156 | 188 | 344 | 83 | 334 | 69 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 177 | 158 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 133 | 222 | 234 | 456 | 101 | 224 | 41 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 16 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 177 | 154 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 234 | 330 | 429 | 758 | 195 | 348 | 33 | 9 | 336 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 208 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 119 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 130 | 226 | 221 | 448 | 91 | 276 | 51 | 9 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 235 | 199 | 41 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 84 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 206 | 325 | 367 | 692 | 161 | 324 | 36 | 12 | 314 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 520 | 484 | 83 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 219 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 171 | 224 | 260 | 485 | 89 | 294 | 42 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 520 | 475 | 109 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 160 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 229 | 292 | 352 | 644 | 122 | 326 | 31 | 6 | 289 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 466 | 436 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 218 | 8 | 23 | 7 | 204 | 246 | 282 | 528 | 78 | 394 | 47 | 3 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 466 | 429 | 106 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 170 | 8 | 23 | 7 | 247 | 298 | 352 | 650 | 105 | 395 | 36 | 5 | 289 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 204 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 114 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 176 | 257 | 328 | 585 | 152 | 333 | 50 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 228 | 193 | 49 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 80 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 254 | 363 | 477 | 840 | 223 | 371 | 35 | 12 | 369 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 158 | 149 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 109 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 107 | 158 | 188 | 346 | 81 | 351 | 69 | 6 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 158 | 146 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 83 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 192 | 253 | 329 | 582 | 137 | 397 | 53 | 8 | 263 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 16 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 177 | 157 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 134 | 222 | 236 | 457 | 102 | 214 | 41 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 207 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 119 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 130 | 226 | 222 | 449 | 92 | 263 | 51 | 9 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 520 | 482 | 83 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 219 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 172 | 224 | 261 | 486 | 89 | 290 | 42 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 466 | 439 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 218 | 8 | 23 | 7 | 203 | 246 | 280 | 526 | 77 | 386 | 47 | 3 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 204 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 114 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 176 | 257 | 328 | 585 | 152 | 328 | 50 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 158 | 148 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 109 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 108 | 158 | 189 | 347 | 81 | 347 | 69 | 6 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 204 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 114 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 176 | 257 | 328 | 585 | 152 | 328 | 50 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 158 | 148 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 109 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 108 | 158 | 189 | 347 | 81 | 347 | 69 | 6 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAA | 0% | 208 | 189 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 79 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 191 | 256 | 314 | 570 | 123 | 293 | 38 | 7 | 257 | 60 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAA | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 255 | 313 | 568 | 123 | 290 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 60 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAA | 30% | 186 | 169 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 195 | 261 | 323 | 585 | 128 | 293 | 37 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAA | 30% | 56 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 260 | 323 | 583 | 128 | 290 | 38 | 7 | 262 | 64 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 56 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 232 | 269 | 501 | 96 | 267 | 38 | 7 | 262 | 37 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 105 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 244 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 174 | 232 | 272 | 504 | 98 | 267 | 38 | 7 | 262 | 37 | -28 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2080 | 1908 | 326 | 59 | 17 | 33 | 117 | 962 | 39 | 68 | 26 | 171 | 234 | 271 | 505 | 101 | 317 | 46 | 6 | 223 | 37 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 101 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 301 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 169 | 233 | 267 | 499 | 97 | 315 | 46 | 6 | 223 | 37 | -29 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 141 PAwOBA .260 → .152 (−108)K% 51.8% → 68.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 51.77% | ÷1.019 | ×1.350 | — | — | 68.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.07% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 24.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 7.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .260 → .152; ISO .146 → .078; BABIP .385 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASalt Lake Bees · 17 PAwOBA .217 → .137 (−81)K% 58.8% → 72.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 58.82% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 72.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.046 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 31.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 14.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 101, 3B 116, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .217 → .137; ISO .062 → .036; BABIP .500 → .456. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AInland Empire 66ers · 176 PAwOBA .389 → .287 (−102)K% 34.1% → 48.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.09% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 48.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | — | 26.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | — | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.139 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | — | 1.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.47% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | — | 9.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 128, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .389 → .287; ISO .247 → .184; BABIP .392 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Angels · 52 PAwOBA .268 → .161 (−107)K% 38.5% → 55.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.46% | ÷1.004 | ×1.440 | — | — | 55.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.77% | ÷1.026 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 3.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.958 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 18.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.053 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.895 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 3.15% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 111, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .268 → .161; ISO .149 → .083; BABIP .308 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 466 PAwOBA .284 → .233 (−51)K% 36.5% → 46.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.48% | ÷1.053 | ×1.350 | — | — | 46.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.94% | ÷1.030 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×1.027 | 28.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.88% | ÷0.891 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.027 | 8.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.93% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.019 | ×1.027 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 1.33% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 91, 2B 78, 3B 130, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .284 → .233; ISO .105 → .081; BABIP .395 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AInland Empire 66ers · 520 PAwOBA .283 → .216 (−68)K% 30.8% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷0.991 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.96% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.12% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.030 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.62% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.030 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.030 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.54% | ÷0.889 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.35% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 101, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .283 → .216; ISO .122 → .093; BABIP .326 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Angels · 154 PAwOBA .391 → .254 (−137)K% 32.5% → 46.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.47% | ÷1.003 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.952 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.60% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.68% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×1.008 | 21.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.081 | ×0.720 | ×1.036 | ×1.008 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.024 | ×0.720 | ×1.036 | ×1.008 | 3.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.179 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.33% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 97, 2B 116, 3B 105, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .391 → .254; ISO .236 → .138; BABIP .411 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AInland Empire 66ers · 81 PAwOBA .151 → .106 (−45)K% 42.0% → 58.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.98% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 58.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.64% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.16% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 12.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 2.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .151 → .106; ISO .028 → .016; BABIP .158 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).