Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 134 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 82% | 2.8 | 11.7% | 11.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 4.15 | 4.11 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 134 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 82% | 2.8 | 17.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 0.7% | 4.15 | 3.20 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 21 | 21 | 91 | 398 | 75 | 32 | 8 | 100% | 4.3 | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.53 | 4.63 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 21 | 21 | 91 | 398 | 75 | 32 | 8 | 100% | 4.3 | 18.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 2.0% | 4.53 | 3.65 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 25 | 122 | 533 | 104 | 43 | 17 | 96% | 4.7 | 14.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.06 | 5.25 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 25 | 122 | 533 | 104 | 43 | 17 | 96% | 4.7 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.06 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 76 | 327 | 72 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 4.8 | 17.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 4.50 | 3.50 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 76 | 327 | 72 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.0% | 6.4% | 15.6% | 1.8% | 4.50 | 3.06 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 18 | 82 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 3.6 | 18.1% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 2.2% | 5.50 | 3.53 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 18 | 82 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 3.6 | 20.7% | 4.9% | 15.9% | 1.2% | 5.50 | 2.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 17 | 13 | 69 | 298 | 57 | 25 | 11 | 76% | 4.1 | 16.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.67 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TOR | 3 | 3 | 19 | 79 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.3% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.30 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 88 | 377 | 74 | 32 | 13 | — | — | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 4.59 | 5.01 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 66 | 22 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 88 | 407 | 1772 | 265 | 158 | 53 | 92% | 4.2 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.61 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 43 | 200 | 871 | 130 | 77 | 26 | 92% | 4.2 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Richard Gallardo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 22.3% | 8.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.24 | 22.8% | 14.2% | 20 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 83 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 82 |
| Brendan Beck R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 80 |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 79 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 79 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 79 |
| Brandon Young R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.18 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .338 | 3.72 | 21.6% | 13.6% | 297 | -0.46 | 3.11 | 420 | 78 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 76 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 76 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 75 |
| Octavio Acosta R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.37 | 15.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | .337 | 4.27 | 16.3% | 4.8% | 184 | -0.10 | 3.80 | 333 | 75 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 75 |
| Angel Jimenez R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.95 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 194 | 75 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 75 |
| James McArthur R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.53 | 19.7% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .310 | 4.16 | 22.1% | 13.7% | 194 | +0.63 | 3.53 | 352 | 74 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2029 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 74 |
| Drew McDaniel R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.72 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | .307 | 6.57 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 61 | +1.85 | 4.72 | 200 | 73 |
| Nick Payero R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 73 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 73 |
| Levi Wells R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 192 | 73 |