Inohan Paniagua
P
West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 148 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%21.8%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 14 | 14 | 57 | 245 | 51 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 4.1 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 3.77 | 3.82 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 14 | 14 | 57 | 245 | 51 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 4.1 | 20.8% | 6.1% | 14.7% | 1.2% | 3.77 | 2.79 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 11 | 9 | 50 | 224 | 47 | 16 | 3 | 82% | 4.5 | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 5.98 | 4.06 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 11 | 9 | 50 | 224 | 47 | 16 | 3 | 82% | 4.5 | 21.0% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 1.3% | 5.98 | 2.96 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 16 | 5 | 46 | 197 | 62 | 18 | 3 | 31% | 2.9 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 2.3% | 3.88 | 3.78 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 16 | 5 | 46 | 197 | 62 | 18 | 3 | 31% | 2.9 | 31.5% | 9.1% | 22.3% | 1.5% | 3.88 | 2.43 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 138 | 563 | 145 | 39 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 2.81 | 3.96 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 138 | 563 | 145 | 39 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 25.8% | 6.9% | 18.8% | 2.1% | 2.81 | 2.98 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 48 | 212 | 47 | 29 | 3 | 100% | 3.4 | 16.0% | 15.8% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 4.12 | 4.62 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 48 | 212 | 47 | 29 | 3 | 100% | 3.4 | 22.2% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 4.12 | 3.77 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 25 | 20 | 115 | 492 | 123 | 50 | 11 | 80% | 4.6 | 19.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 3.82 | 4.51 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 25 | 20 | 115 | 492 | 123 | 50 | 11 | 80% | 4.6 | 25.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 2.2% | 3.82 | 3.51 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 0.0% | 41.7% | -41.7% | 0.0% | 16.20 | 8.38 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 0.0% | 41.7% | -41.7% | 0.0% | 16.20 | 12.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 17 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.2% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 2.28 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | DET | 65 | 0 | 68 | 288 | 63 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.56 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.49 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | DET | — | — | 92 | 388 | 94 | 44 | 10 | — | — | 24.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 4.54 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.11 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | DET | 11 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 62 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | DET | 11 | 11 | 65 | 276 | 60 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.64 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 11 | 64 | 268 | 59 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.16 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 88 | 25 | 97% | 5.9 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 123 | 87 | 480 | 2045 | 373 | 216 | 48 | 71% | 3.9 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 3.75 | 4.19 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 36 | 200 | 853 | 155 | 90 | 20 | 71% | 3.9 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 3.75 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Inohan Paniagua (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.60 | 21.9% | 11.6% | 133 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 85 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 81 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 80 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 79 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 78 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 78 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 77 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% | .262 | 3.81 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 127 | -1.15 | 3.50 | 472 | 76 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 76 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.52 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .341 | 3.55 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 41 | +0.03 | 3.06 | 222 | 76 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 76 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 76 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 76 |
| Trent Baker R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .304 | 4.64 | 16.6% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.90 | 3.74 | 459 | 75 |
| Kutter Crawford R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.08 | 24.1% | 17.4% | 313 | -0.39 | 3.35 | 741 | 75 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 75 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 75 |
| Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 74 |
| Will Schomberg R 2024 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.84 | 23.3% | 11.6% | 2.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 74 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 17.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 4.92 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 116 | +0.26 | 2.20 | 286 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 67 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 1.16 | 4.57 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |