Inohan Paniagua — OGILVIE

Inohan Paniagua P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 148 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.6 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%19.9%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	14	14	57	245	51	15	3	100%	4.1	14.2%	7.7%	6.5%	1.7%	3.77	3.82	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	14	14	57	245	51	15	3	100%	4.1	20.8%	6.1%	14.7%	1.2%	3.77	2.79	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	11	9	50	224	47	16	3	82%	4.5	14.3%	8.9%	5.3%	1.9%	5.98	4.06	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Cardinals	11	9	50	224	47	16	3	82%	4.5	21.0%	7.1%	13.8%	1.3%	5.98	2.96	—
2021	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	16	5	46	197	62	18	3	31%	2.9	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	2.1%	3.88	3.68	—
2021	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	16	5	46	197	62	18	3	31%	2.9	31.5%	9.1%	22.3%	1.5%	3.88	2.43	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	138	563	145	39	12	100%	5.5	19.3%	8.1%	11.2%	2.6%	2.81	3.95	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	138	563	145	39	12	100%	5.5	25.8%	6.9%	18.8%	2.1%	2.81	2.98	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	14	48	212	47	29	3	100%	3.4	16.0%	15.8%	0.3%	1.7%	4.12	4.70	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	14	48	212	47	29	3	100%	3.4	16.0%	15.8%	0.3%	1.7%	4.12	4.70	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	14	48	212	47	29	3	100%	3.4	22.2%	13.7%	8.5%	1.4%	4.12	3.77	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	25	20	115	492	123	50	11	80%	4.6	19.2%	11.7%	7.6%	2.8%	3.82	4.50	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	25	20	115	492	123	50	11	80%	4.6	19.2%	11.7%	7.6%	2.8%	3.82	4.50	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	25	20	115	492	123	50	11	80%	4.6	25.0%	10.2%	14.8%	2.2%	3.82	3.51	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	1	0	2	12	0	5	0	0%	1.7	0.0%	41.7%	-41.7%	0.0%	16.20	8.38	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	1	0	2	12	0	5	0	0%	1.7	0.0%	41.7%	-41.7%	0.0%	16.20	8.38	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	1	0	2	12	0	5	0	0%	1.7	0.0%	41.7%	-41.7%	0.0%	16.20	12.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	17	0	24	100	31	14	2	0%	1.4	23.2%	14.8%	8.3%	2.7%	2.28	4.50	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	17	0	24	100	31	14	2	0%	1.4	23.2%	14.8%	8.3%	2.7%	2.28	4.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A RAW	DET	1	0	1	7	3	2	0	0%	1.0	42.9%	28.6%	14.3%	0.0%	9.00	3.10	—
2026	26	A+ RAW	DET	16	0	23	93	28	12	2	0%	1.4	30.1%	12.9%	17.2%	2.2%	1.99	3.37	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	DET	6	0	6	26	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	11.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.90	4.90	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	DET	—	—	30	126	36	17	3	—	—	28.7%	13.5%	15.2%	2.2%	2.83	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	DET	17	17	102	432	87	49	13	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.4%	8.7%	3.0%	4.86	4.87	+0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	DET	17	17	99	418	84	47	13	100%	5.8	20.1%	11.3%	8.9%	3.1%	4.87	4.91	-0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	DET	16	16	95	399	80	45	13	100%	5.9	20.0%	11.3%	8.7%	3.2%	4.94	5.00	-0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	DET	15	15	89	375	74	43	13	100%	5.9	19.7%	11.5%	8.2%	3.4%	5.07	5.16	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	DET	6	6	37	156	31	18	4	100%	6.2	20.1%	11.4%	8.7%	2.9%	4.79	4.80	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	DET	10	10	58	245	49	28	7	100%	5.8	20.1%	11.3%	8.9%	3.0%	4.80	4.84	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	DET	11	11	67	283	57	32	9	100%	6.1	20.0%	11.3%	8.7%	3.1%	4.86	4.92	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	DET	12	12	69	291	57	34	10	100%	5.8	19.7%	11.5%	8.2%	3.3%	4.99	5.08	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		39	39	232	979	195	111	30	100%	5.9	20.0%	11.4%	8.6%	3.1%	4.87	4.55	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	168	96	26	100%	6.0	20.0%	11.4%	8.6%	3.1%	4.87	4.55	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		123	87	480	2045	373	216	48	71%	3.9	18.2%	10.6%	7.7%	2.3%	3.75	4.18	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	36	200	853	155	90	20	71%	3.9	18.2%	10.6%	7.7%	2.3%	3.75	4.18	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Inohan Paniagua (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	19.9%	11.7%	2.9%	—	4.92	20.1%	8.7%	296	+0.02	—	—	—
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	84
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	84
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.85	13.9%	4.7%	81	+1.14	4.43	239	82
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	81
Bryce Conley R 2021 · 4.31 FIP	26	SW	4.31	17.9%	12.2%	2.2%	.285	4.22	16.4%	5.3%	48	-0.09	4.22	560	81
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	80
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	80
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	80
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	80
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.40	16.6%	6.3%	296	+0.18	3.64	391	79
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	79
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	19.1%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.05	22.7%	14.3%	222	-0.85	3.90	538	79
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.50	21.1%	13.0%	142	-0.21	1.87	251	78
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.84	17.7%	6.3%	200	+0.58	4.26	292	78
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	78
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	78
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	77
André Rienzo R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	27	SW	4.22	15.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.264	4.02	19.8%	5.1%	74	-0.20	3.53	200	77
Luis Santos R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	19.7%	9.7%	3.8%	.262	3.93	22.1%	13.0%	127	-0.83	3.53	472	77
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	91	20.0%	11.4%	1.22	4.93
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10