Andres Diaz P ACL Royals
Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 215 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.3%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+0STAMTotal WAR: +0.03 (11 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201817ROKDSL Royals 1120218022410%1.818.7%6.2%12.5%1.7%3.383.27
201817ROKDSL Royals 1120218022410%1.827.5%5.0%22.5%1.2%3.382.21
201918ROKDSL Royals 11313532224361100%4.113.2%3.4%9.8%0.6%1.872.76
201918ROKDSL Royals 11313532224361100%4.119.4%2.7%16.7%0.5%1.872.06
202120ROKACL Royals Blue1512912425537%1.913.7%5.0%8.7%3.4%3.774.44
202120ROKACL Royals Blue1512912425537%1.920.2%4.0%16.1%2.4%3.773.24
202221ROKACL Royals1102811339340%2.523.5%3.3%20.2%4.6%4.554.08
202221ROKACL Royals1102811339340%2.534.5%2.7%31.9%3.5%4.552.49
202322MIX2 levels10426121208240%2.612.7%7.3%5.4%3.3%4.784.74
202322MIX2 levels10426121208240%2.616.5%6.6%9.9%1.7%4.783.48
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBKC110124912510%1.123.3%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.324.32+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBKC190208420830%1.123.5%9.1%14.4%3.0%4.314.30+0.1
202726MLBKC909389310%1.023.5%9.1%14.4%3.0%4.314.30+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career809368310%1.123.5%9.1%14.4%3.0%4.313.92+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084418770230%1.123.5%9.1%14.4%3.0%4.313.92+3.5
Career6118157660103311630%2.615.6%4.7%10.9%2.5%3.383.73+3.1
/ 200 IP7823200841131402130%2.615.6%4.7%10.9%2.5%3.383.73+3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Andres Diaz (OGILVIE) 4.32 23.3%9.2%3.0% 4.30 23.5%14.4%20 -0.02
Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 78
Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 26.7%9.8%4.0%.266 4.28 121 76
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 75
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 75
Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 25 SU 4.05 19.7%5.3%3.5%.283 3.86 19.3%11.7%124 -0.19 3.47 171 75
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 74
Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 73
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 73
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 18.9%10.2%2.7%.271 4.65 19.5%11.5%99 +0.39 3.81 233 73
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 73
Jake Curtis R 2025 · 3.34 FIP 24 SU 3.34 19.3%6.5%1.9%.338 3.34 105 73
Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 25 SU 3.75 25.5%8.4%3.2%.340 4.62 22.5%13.6%185 +0.87 3.75 223 72
Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 72
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 25 SU 4.36 21.7%10.1%3.3%.311 5.39 24.0%10.9%22 +1.03 4.36 152 72
Alex Pham R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 25 SW 3.48 23.7%8.9%2.3%.317 3.80 23.3%8.6%38 +0.32 3.48 331 72
Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP 24 SU 4.08 21.3%7.5%3.3%.312 4.08 100 72
Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 4.31 174 72
Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP 25 SU 4.01 21.6%8.1%3.1%.286 4.01 247 72
Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 72
Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 25 SW 4.19 19.7%10.6%2.6%.256 4.43 18.4%2.3%111 +0.24 3.87 192 71