Tyler Tolve
C Columbus Clingstones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAMississippi B… | 326 | .213/.272/.397 | 11 | 0 | 50 | — | .180/.228/.334 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+/ROKATL | 98 | .138/.227/.149 | 0 | 0 | -44 | — | .067/.124/.067 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAATL | 57 | .164/.193/.291 | 1 | 0 | -6 | — | .125/.140/.232 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBATL | 2 | .205/.261/.330 | 0 | 0 | 65 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBATL | 34 | .206/.262/.329 | 1 | 0 | 65 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 92 | 85 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 294 | 348 | 447 | 795 | 153 | 418 | 30 | 7 | 353 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 325 | 287 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 104 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 261 | 342 | 470 | 812 | 209 | 362 | 32 | 9 | 355 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 217 | 193 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 59 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 238 | 310 | 394 | 704 | 155 | 298 | 27 | 9 | 310 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 64 | 59 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 281 | 356 | 637 | 136 | 308 | 30 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 326 | 300 | 64 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 112 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 272 | 397 | 668 | 183 | 296 | 34 | 5 | 295 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Rome Emperors | — | 77 | 69 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 195 | 116 | 311 | 14 | 233 | 51 | 9 | 160 | -56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 21 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 350 | 278 | 628 | 500 | 43 | 10 | 282 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 57 | 55 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 193 | 291 | 484 | 127 | 242 | 37 | 4 | 215 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 92 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 261 | 322 | 583 | 103 | 390 | 42 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 325 | 300 | 58 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 140 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 193 | 248 | 347 | 595 | 153 | 308 | 43 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 217 | 198 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 272 | 364 | 636 | 146 | 278 | 32 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 326 | 305 | 55 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 132 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 228 | 334 | 563 | 154 | 271 | 40 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 77 | 72 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 104 | 42 | 146 | 177 | 68 | 5 | 86 | -56 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 158 | 358 | 372 | 62 | 5 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 57 | 56 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 140 | 232 | 372 | 107 | 218 | 46 | 2 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 92 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 261 | 322 | 583 | 103 | 383 | 42 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 92 | 85 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 294 | 348 | 447 | 795 | 153 | 418 | 30 | 7 | 353 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 325 | 300 | 58 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 140 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 193 | 248 | 347 | 595 | 153 | 314 | 43 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Rome Braves | — | 325 | 287 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 104 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 261 | 342 | 470 | 812 | 209 | 362 | 32 | 9 | 355 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 281 | 256 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 219 | 278 | 367 | 645 | 148 | 292 | 32 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 281 | 252 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 78 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 303 | 385 | 688 | 151 | 300 | 28 | 8 | 305 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 326 | 305 | 55 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 132 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 228 | 334 | 563 | 154 | 277 | 40 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 326 | 300 | 64 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 112 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 272 | 397 | 668 | 183 | 296 | 34 | 5 | 295 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 91 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 124 | 66 | 190 | 222 | 66 | 5 | 103 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 98 | 87 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 227 | 149 | 376 | 11 | 300 | 49 | 9 | 186 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 57 | 56 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 140 | 232 | 372 | 107 | 207 | 46 | 2 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | Columbus Clingstones | — | 57 | 55 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 193 | 291 | 484 | 127 | 242 | 37 | 4 | 215 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 92 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 261 | 322 | 583 | 103 | 390 | 42 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 325 | 300 | 58 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 140 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 193 | 248 | 347 | 595 | 153 | 308 | 43 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 281 | 258 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 278 | 364 | 642 | 147 | 278 | 32 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 326 | 304 | 55 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 132 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 228 | 336 | 564 | 155 | 271 | 40 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 92 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 124 | 65 | 189 | 219 | 66 | 5 | 103 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 57 | 56 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 140 | 232 | 372 | 107 | 218 | 46 | 2 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 326 | 304 | 55 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 132 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 228 | 336 | 564 | 155 | 271 | 40 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 92 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 124 | 65 | 189 | 219 | 66 | 5 | 103 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 57 | 56 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 140 | 232 | 372 | 107 | 218 | 46 | 2 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 2% | 200 | 184 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 261 | 330 | 591 | 125 | 287 | 32 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 261 | 330 | 591 | 125 | 287 | 50 | 0 | 265 | 65 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 27% | 128 | 118 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 262 | 329 | 592 | 124 | 286 | 32 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 27% | 34 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 262 | 329 | 592 | 124 | 286 | 32 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 250 | 32 | 6 | 265 | 52 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 612 | 114 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 38 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 234 | 310 | 544 | 124 | 248 | 32 | 6 | 265 | 52 | -27 | +0 | -4 | +12 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1391 | 1291 | 242 | 53 | 7 | 35 | 70 | 560 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 187 | 240 | 321 | 561 | 133 | 293 | 40 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 262 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 187 | 240 | 318 | 559 | 131 | 294 | 40 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -27 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 57 PAwOBA .208 → .160 (−49)K% 36.8% → 44.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 2.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 10.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 10.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .208 → .160; ISO .127 → .096; BABIP .242 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Rome Emperors · 77 PAwOBA .157 → .086 (−71)K% 50.6% → 67.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 50.65% | ÷0.983 | ×1.310 | — | — | 67.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.020 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 5.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.098 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 15.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.173 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.819 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 120, 2B 135, 3B 115, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .157 → .086; ISO .014 → .006; BABIP .233 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Braves · 21 PAwOBA .289 → .165 (−124)K% 42.9% → 63.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 42.86% | ÷0.980 | ×1.440 | — | — | 62.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.013 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 55.56% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 42.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.856 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .289 → .165; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .500 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMississippi Braves · 326 PAwOBA .289 → .242 (−47)K% 34.4% → 40.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.36% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.91% | ÷1.025 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 3.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.45% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.02% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 15.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷0.899 | ×0.910 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 10.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.997 | ×0.880 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.85% | ÷0.906 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 99, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .289 → .242; ISO .183 → .159; BABIP .296 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMississippi Braves · 217 PAwOBA .307 → .279 (−29)K% 27.2% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.19% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷0.943 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.39% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 20.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.22% | ÷0.793 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.41% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .307 → .279; ISO .155 → .155; BABIP .298 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Rome Braves · 325 PAwOBA .349 → .259 (−90)K% 32.0% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.00% | ÷0.970 | ×1.310 | — | — | 43.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.23% | ÷1.052 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 5.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.04% | ÷0.956 | ×0.870 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 21.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.65% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 5.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.73% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.928 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 6.29% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .349 → .259; ISO .209 → .164; BABIP .362 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAugusta GreenJackets · 92 PAwOBA .343 → .259 (−84)K% 30.4% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.52% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×1.015 | 29.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×1.015 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | ×1.015 | 3.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.192 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.39% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .343 → .259; ISO .153 → .106; BABIP .418 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .