CJ Alexander

1B Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 31 L/R 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAAROOKIEArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	28	AAAOAK	411	.302/.361/.559	19	2	89	—	.237/.285/.414
2025	29	MLBOAK	17	.176/.176/.176	0	0	-7	-1.1
2026	30	AAAHOU	373	.250/.339/.512	21	2	64	—	.187/.250/.362
2027PROJ10% MLB	31	MLBHOU	25	.225/.281/.389	1	0	85	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	32	MLBHOU	99	.220/.276/.376	3	0	80	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.1 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.3M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV90

BB%56

Speed42

Chase%36

Whiff%21

K%20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsBaltazar Lopez (age 31) · Daniel Palka (age 31) · Travis Ishikawa (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .281 / .389

PA25

HR1

K%32

BB%8

BABIP302

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1023.6%

xAVG

100.128

POWER55

Avg EV

1055.6

Bat Spd

8474.9

EYE50

Chase%

1048.3%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2025

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-2	$0.3M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	Florida Fire Frogs	—	88	80	26	5	1	1	8	17	0	3	1	325	386	450	836	125	403	19	9	374	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK	Danville Braves	—	138	116	43	3	6	1	19	25	1	1	1	371	463	526	989	155	457	18	14	431	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	78	68	7	1	0	2	8	25	0	0	0	103	195	206	401	103	119	32	10	188	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	Florida Fire Frogs	—	74	60	8	1	0	0	14	18	0	3	1	133	297	150	447	17	190	24	19	235	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	330	304	60	17	4	10	24	105	1	14	1	197	258	378	637	181	263	32	7	281	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	490	455	120	18	2	25	26	111	2	19	4	264	306	477	783	213	291	23	5	338	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	314	286	63	17	1	13	24	94	1	4	2	220	283	423	706	203	275	30	8	309	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	ROK	ACL Royals	—	25	17	7	2	0	4	6	3	2	0	0	412	600	1.235	1.835	824	300	12	24	698	230	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	55	47	10	5	1	3	6	16	0	0	0	213	302	553	855	340	233	29	11	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	411	374	113	27	6	19	31	85	4	2	3	302	361	559	920	257	347	21	8	398	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB	Athletics	—	17	17	3	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	176	176	176	353		333	47	0	160	-7	-2	+0	-0	-9	+0	-1.1
2025	29	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	466	413	105	23	6	15	51	130	0	7	3	254	336	448	784	194	333	28	11	346	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	373	328	82	21	1	21	43	111	1	2	1	250	339	512	851	262	310	30	12	371	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	17	17	3	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	176	176	176	353		333	47	0	160	-6	-2	+0	-0	-9	+0	-1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	Florida Fire Frogs	—	88	82	23	4	1	1	6	25	0	3	1	280	330	390	720	110	386	28	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	138	123	33	2	4	1	12	35	1	1	1	268	338	374	712	106	350	25	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	78	71	6	1	0	2	6	31	0	0	0	85	156	183	339	99	108	40	8	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Florida Fire Frogs	—	74	65	7	1	0	0	9	25	0	3	1	108	216	123	339	15	173	34	12	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	330	313	49	13	4	8	15	128	1	14	1	157	198	300	498	144	229	39	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	490	463	100	14	2	21	18	137	2	19	4	216	248	391	639	175	246	28	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	314	294	51	13	1	9	16	113	1	4	2	173	219	316	535	143	239	36	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	25	19	6	2	0	3	4	4	2	0	0	316	480	895	1.375	579	190	16	16	508	230	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	411	384	91	19	5	13	22	100	4	2	3	237	285	414	699	177	286	24	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Athletics	—	17	17	3	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	176	176	176	353		333	47	0	158	-7	-2	+0	-0	-9	+0	-1.1
2025	29	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	466	433	90	18	5	11	31	154	0	7	3	208	261	349	610	141	289	33	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	373	343	64	16	1	14	28	133	1	2	1	187	250	362	612	175	248	36	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	226	205	55	6	5	2	18	61	1	4	2	268	330	376	706	107	368	27	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	226	196	69	8	7	2	27	42	1	4	2	352	433	495	928	143	435	19	12	409	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	152	136	13	2	0	2	15	56	0	3	1	96	185	154	340	59	139	37	10	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	152	128	15	2	0	2	22	43	0	3	1	117	245	180	425	62	155	28	14	211	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	330	313	49	13	4	8	15	128	1	14	1	157	198	300	498	144	230	39	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	330	304	60	17	4	10	24	105	1	14	1	197	258	378	637	181	263	32	7	281	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	490	463	100	14	2	21	18	137	2	19	4	216	248	391	639	175	253	28	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	490	455	120	18	2	25	26	111	2	19	4	264	306	477	783	213	291	23	5	338	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	394	363	67	17	1	15	23	137	3	4	2	185	239	361	600	176	241	35	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	394	350	80	24	2	20	36	113	3	4	2	229	306	480	786	251	270	29	9	339	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	411	384	91	19	5	13	22	100	4	2	3	237	285	414	699	177	287	24	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	—	411	374	113	27	6	19	31	85	4	2	3	302	361	559	920	257	347	21	8	398	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	483	450	93	18	5	11	31	162	0	7	3	207	258	342	600	136	294	34	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	483	430	108	23	6	15	51	138	0	7	3	251	331	437	768	186	333	29	11	339	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	373	343	64	16	1	14	28	133	1	2	1	187	250	362	612	175	254	36	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	373	328	82	21	1	21	43	111	1	2	1	250	339	512	851	262	310	30	12	371	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	226	205	55	6	5	2	18	61	1	4	2	268	330	376	706	107	364	27	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	152	136	13	2	0	2	15	56	0	3	1	96	185	154	340	59	140	37	10	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	330	311	49	13	4	8	15	128	1	14	1	158	198	302	500	145	229	39	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	490	467	100	14	2	21	18	137	2	19	4	214	248	388	636	173	246	28	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	394	365	67	17	1	15	23	137	3	4	2	184	239	359	598	175	235	35	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	411	382	91	19	5	13	22	100	4	2	3	238	285	416	702	178	286	24	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	483	449	93	18	5	11	31	162	0	7	3	207	258	343	601	136	291	34	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	373	341	64	16	1	14	28	133	1	2	1	188	250	364	614	176	248	36	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	411	382	91	19	5	13	22	100	4	2	3	238	285	416	702	178	286	24	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	483	449	93	18	5	11	31	162	0	7	3	207	258	343	601	136	291	34	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	373	341	64	16	1	14	28	133	1	2	1	188	250	364	614	176	248	36	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	31	MLB MLE	HOU	10%	380	350	79	17	3	12	26	119	1	4	2	223	278	386	664	163	297	31	7	293	85	-7	+0	+0	-7	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	31	MLB CTX	HOU	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	225	281	389	670	163	302	32	8	295	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	HOU	27%	361	333	72	15	2	11	24	113	1	1	1	218	274	373	647	155	292	31	7	286	80	-9	-0	-3	-6	+8	-1.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	HOU	27%	99	92	20	4	1	3	7	31	0	0	0	220	276	376	652	156	297	31	7	288	80	-2	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	116	109	23	4	1	3	7	39	0	0	0	211	259	349	607	138	299	34	6	270	66	-5	+0	-1	-10	+3	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	611	129	22	6	17	39	219	0	0	0	211	258	350	609	139	299	34	6	270	66	-25	+0	-5	-58	+14	-7.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3470	3220	656	131	27	105	211	1105	14	58	19	204	256	359	615	155	271	32	6	266	66	-15	-0	-3	-20	+14	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	124	25	5	20	40	207	3	11	4	206	259	363	622	158	274	32	6	266	66	-16	-0	-3	-20	+14	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
CJ Alexander (OGILVIE)	31	45	55	45	50	221/276/382	162	297	8	2	31%	7%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Baltazar Lopez 2015 · AAA	31	46	50	42→45	40	231/283/380	149	305	18	5	30%	6%	86	+0.3	218/279/314	96	342	9	7	36%	7%	69	-0.9	201/270/244	43	352	4	2	40%	7%	51	-0.4
✕Daniel Palka 2023 · AAA	31	42→43	51→55	44→50	45	219/280/375	156	275	20	4	28%	8%	84	+0.1	211/266/349	138	275	17	6	29%	7%	72	-0.7	185/238/306	121	238	16	4	29%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Travis Ishikawa 2015 · MLB	31	47→50	47→55	48→45	44	234/298/369	136	304	15	3	27%	7%	89	+0.5	210/272/333	123	294	15	3	32%	7%	72	-0.7	188/251/299	111	268	14	0	34%	6%	54	-1.2
✕Edwin Rios 2024 · MLB	30	42→49	51→60	41→30	40	212/284/371	159	311	19	4	36%	7%	85	+0.2	212/280/372	160	316	19	3	37%	8%	83	+0.1	200/269/360	160	296	20	1	37%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Brad Nelson 2014 · AAA	31	41→50	50	45→50	46	217/275/364	147	262	18	4	25%	7%	80	-0.2	210/264/329	119	254	13	6	23%	6%	67	-1.1	180/229/262	82	212	9	0	20%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Matt Clark 2019 · AAA	32	44→45	50→55	44→30	42	226/277/379	153	288	19	5	28%	6%	84	+0.1	233/294/419	186	283	23	6	26%	7%	99	+1.3	220/286/429	209	251	27	0	25%	8%	100	+0.7
✕Cory Aldridge 2010 · AAA	31	45→47	52→55	41→45	42	235/285/403	168	295	20	4	28%	6%	92	+0.7	221/269/383	162	303	20	6	33%	6%	81	-0.1	205/268/370	165	274	26	5	35%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Jose Rojas 2024 · MLB	31	41→48	52→60	49→50	44	216/268/383	167	258	20	9	25%	6%	81	-0.1	209/274/398	189	248	24	11	26%	8%	87	+0.4	195/265/395	200	224	25	11	26%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Christian Bethancourt 2023 · MLB	31	47→53	50	49→50	40	241/279/393	152	291	18	8	24%	5%	87	+0.4	216/250/363	147	270	18	7	27%	4%	70	-0.9	188/219/324	137	234	18	5	29%	4%	48	-1.0
✕Brandon Snyder 2018 · MLB	31	43→53	52→55	45	40	223/279/384	161	293	20	7	31%	6%	86	+0.3	199/253/365	166	294	22	5	39%	5%	72	-0.7	171/231/330	159	251	22	2	41%	5%	53	-1.3
●Danny Dorn 2015 · AAA	31	41→47	52→55	48→45	43	217/274/379	162	268	20	6	28%	7%	82	+0.0	261/313/419	158	320	16	7	23%	6%	105	+1.7	307/354/477	170	370	14	3	20%	5%	132	+2.2
✕Graham Koonce 2006 · AAA	31	42→40	53→55	43→30	45	224/287/395	171	272	22	3	27%	7%	91	+0.7	208/281/381	173	260	22	4	29%	8%	86	+0.3	183/264/359	175	222	23	2	29%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Joe Borchard 2010 · MLB	31	39→43	49→55	45	40	205/254/353	148	266	17	6	30%	6%	69	-0.9	214/265/357	143	286	15	5	30%	6%	74	-0.6	209/260/353	144	278	15	2	30%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Jamie Romak 2017 · MLB	31	40→48	51→55	49→45	41	211/269/376	165	288	19	7	33%	7%	80	-0.2	239/293/434	195	314	24	11	31%	6%	102	+1.5	239/279/528	288	282	41	10	32%	4%	115	+0.4
✕Brett Carroll 2013 · MLB	30	42→46	47→55	47→50	43	212/274/346	134	270	15	11	27%	6%	74	-0.5	204/269/335	131	275	16	10	30%	7%	70	-0.8	176/254/321	145	220	21	11	30%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Chris Parmelee 2019 · AAA	31	40→50	48→55	44→45	47	207/276/347	141	270	17	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	209/280/370	161	295	21	6	34%	9%	83	+0.1	174/254/338	164	231	24	0	36%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	42→41	49→50	39→30	52	216/299/359	143	271	18	2	27%	10%	87	+0.4	224/310/364	140	307	16	7	30%	11%	93	+0.8	208/312/349	140	296	16	5	32%	12%	87	+0.2
✕Jared Walsh 2024 · MLB	31	39→49	52→60	40→30	43	209/276/369	160	282	21	3	33%	8%	81	-0.1	198/273/340	142	302	17	6	38%	9%	74	-0.6	155/234/283	128	244	17	2	42%	9%	44	-1.0
✕Josh Lester 2024 · MLB	30	37→44	51→55	47→40	38	203/247/362	159	257	20	5	30%	5%	69	-0.9	210/258/360	150	259	19	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	195/243/346	151	226	20	2	24%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Hunter Dozier 2023 · MLB	31	46→55	51→60	46→45	46	231/296/398	167	291	17	6	26%	8%	95	+0.9	210/265/353	143	284	16	8	31%	7%	73	-0.6	153/189/264	111	219	14	7	37%	4%	21	-1.6