Frederic Garcia prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Frederic Garcia P ACL Guardians

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%23.1%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians/Brewers	13	0	21	107	15	33	3	0%	1.6	9.5%	38.6%	-29.0%	3.9%	7.29	9.33	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians/Brewers	13	0	21	107	15	33	3	0%	1.6	14.0%	30.8%	-16.8%	2.8%	7.29	8.24	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians/Brewers	18	4	31	154	20	25	2	22%	1.7	8.8%	20.3%	-11.5%	1.8%	7.84	5.92	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians/Brewers	18	4	31	154	20	25	2	22%	1.7	13.0%	16.2%	-3.2%	1.3%	7.84	5.07	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Blue	18	0	35	150	32	18	1	0%	2.0	14.5%	15.0%	-0.5%	1.0%	2.04	4.32	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Blue	18	0	35	150	32	18	1	0%	2.0	21.3%	12.0%	9.3%	0.7%	2.04	3.18	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	12	10	41	172	61	23	1	83%	3.4	24.1%	16.7%	7.4%	0.7%	4.14	3.58	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	12	10	41	172	61	23	1	83%	3.4	35.5%	13.4%	22.1%	0.6%	4.14	2.13	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	26	127	36	22	0	0%	1.7	19.3%	21.7%	-2.4%	0.0%	9.12	4.22	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	26	127	36	22	0	0%	1.7	19.3%	21.7%	-2.4%	0.0%	9.12	4.22	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	15	0	26	127	36	22	0	0%	1.7	28.3%	17.3%	11.0%	0.0%	9.12	2.87	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	CLE	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.1%	13.0%	10.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.82	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	20	11	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.0%	4.75	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.0%	4.75	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		76	14	154	710	112	151	10	18%	2.0	15.7%	21.3%	-5.6%	1.4%	5.66	5.22	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	18	200	920	145	196	13	18%	2.0	15.7%	21.3%	-5.6%	1.4%	5.66	5.22	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frederic Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	23.1%	13.0%	3.0%	—	4.75	23.3%	10.7%	20	-0.07	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	82
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	81
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	81
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	81
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	80
Brad Boxberger R 2013 · 4.40 FIP	25	SU	4.40	25.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.296	3.54	32.3%	22.2%	152	-0.86	2.63	478	79
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	79
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	79
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	78
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	78
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	78
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	78
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	78
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	78
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	78
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.24	23.5%	12.2%	22	+0.82	4.42	152	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	78
Kyle Bischoff R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.6%	11.8%	4.8%	.240	3.83	21.8%	8.7%	140	-1.43	3.21	162	78