Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 11 | 0 | 13 | 75 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 4.5% | 23.3% | -18.8% | 3.7% | 10.66 | 7.72 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 11 | 0 | 13 | 75 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 6.7% | 18.7% | -12.0% | 2.7% | 10.66 | 7.68 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 18 | 0 | 26 | 126 | 34 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 17.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 5.54 | 4.42 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 18 | 0 | 26 | 126 | 34 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.0% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 0.8% | 5.54 | 3.06 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 20 | 0 | 28 | 109 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 2.25 | 4.17 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 20 | 0 | 28 | 109 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.2% | 10.1% | 21.1% | 1.8% | 2.25 | 2.78 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 17 | 0 | 23 | 112 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 7.71 | 3.52 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 17 | 0 | 23 | 112 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 0.9% | 7.71 | 2.37 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 22 | 0 | 42 | 191 | 43 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 16.7% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 5.62 | 4.59 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 22 | 0 | 42 | 191 | 43 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 1.6% | 5.62 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 33 | 1 | 61 | 262 | 68 | 25 | 6 | 3% | 1.8 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 4.87 | 4.43 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 33 | 1 | 61 | 262 | 68 | 25 | 6 | 3% | 1.8 | 26.0% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 2.3% | 4.87 | 3.38 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 16 | 0 | 15 | 88 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.6% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 12.60 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 16 | 0 | 15 | 88 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 1.1% | 12.60 | 3.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.05 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 93 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.05 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 137 | 1 | 208 | 963 | 167 | 133 | 20 | 1% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 5.98 | 4.53 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 132 | 1 | 200 | 927 | 161 | 128 | 19 | 1% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 5.98 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Augusto Calderon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.43 | 22.2% | 12.3% | 20 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 91 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 86 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 86 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 85 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 85 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 85 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 85 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 84 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 84 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 83 |
| Kelly Austin R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.58 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 119 | 83 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .273 | 3.78 | 28.1% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.57 | 2.30 | 208 | 83 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 83 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 83 |
| Boby Johnson R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.31 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 145 | 83 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 83 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 83 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 83 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.0% | .323 | 4.34 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.39 | 3.95 | 142 | 83 |