Nick Richmond — OGILVIE

Nick Richmond P Norfolk Tides

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%16.7%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%4.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers West	5	0	7	29	8	1	1	0%	1.3	27.6%	3.4%	24.1%	3.4%	2.70	3.10	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	GCL Tigers West	5	0	7	29	8	1	1	0%	1.3	27.6%	3.4%	24.1%	3.4%	2.70	3.10	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	16	0	21	114	15	18	4	0%	1.3	8.9%	19.7%	-10.8%	5.3%	8.86	7.77	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	16	0	21	114	15	18	4	0%	1.3	13.2%	15.8%	-2.6%	3.5%	8.86	6.66	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	25	101	26	11	0	0%	1.3	18.6%	12.5%	6.1%	0.0%	3.60	3.11	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	25	101	26	11	0	0%	1.3	25.7%	10.9%	14.9%	0.0%	3.60	2.34	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	32	145	32	14	3	0%	1.2	17.6%	10.8%	6.8%	2.1%	3.94	4.11	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	32	145	32	14	3	0%	1.2	17.6%	10.8%	6.8%	2.1%	3.94	4.11	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	32	145	32	14	3	0%	1.2	22.1%	9.7%	12.4%	2.1%	3.94	3.63	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	38	0	46	215	43	24	5	0%	1.2	16.2%	12.3%	3.9%	2.2%	4.50	4.51	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	38	0	46	215	43	24	5	0%	1.2	16.2%	12.3%	3.9%	2.2%	4.50	4.51	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	38	0	46	215	43	24	5	0%	1.2	20.0%	11.2%	8.8%	2.3%	4.50	4.21	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	18	98	19	14	2	0%	1.1	13.8%	15.0%	-1.2%	1.5%	8.84	4.65	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	18	98	19	14	2	0%	1.1	13.8%	15.0%	-1.2%	1.5%	8.84	4.65	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	0	18	98	19	14	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	14.3%	5.1%	2.0%	8.84	4.74	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	BAL	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	12.4%	4.3%	2.7%	5.14	5.14	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	14	10	2	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.13	5.19	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	BAL	7	0	7	30	5	4	1	0%	1.0	17.1%	12.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.13	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	5	4	1	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.13	4.81	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	136	109	27	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.13	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		121	0	149	702	111	93	16	0%	1.2	15.8%	13.2%	2.6%	2.3%	5.30	4.72	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	0	200	940	148	124	22	0%	1.2	15.8%	13.2%	2.6%	2.3%	5.30	4.72	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Richmond (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	16.7%	12.4%	2.7%	—	5.19	17.1%	4.8%	20	+0.05	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	85
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	85
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	85
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	84
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	82
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	81
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	81
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	81
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	80
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	80
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	80
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	79
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	79
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	79
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	79
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	79
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	78
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	78
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	78