Luis Devers
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 178 lbs
A+
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 41 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%21.6%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 239 | 48 | 19 | 2 | 93% | 4.0 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 2.60 | 3.85 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 239 | 48 | 19 | 2 | 93% | 4.0 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 0.8% | 2.60 | 2.87 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 14 | 14 | 64 | 263 | 61 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 1.1% | 2.66 | 3.20 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 14 | 14 | 64 | 263 | 61 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.2% | 5.3% | 17.9% | 0.8% | 2.66 | 2.26 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 54 | 231 | 59 | 17 | 3 | 79% | 3.9 | 17.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 3.48 | 3.73 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 54 | 231 | 59 | 17 | 3 | 79% | 3.9 | 25.5% | 7.4% | 18.2% | 1.3% | 3.48 | 2.58 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 118 | 456 | 122 | 26 | 4 | 85% | 4.5 | 20.1% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 1.3% | 1.91 | 2.95 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 118 | 456 | 122 | 26 | 4 | 85% | 4.5 | 26.8% | 5.7% | 21.1% | 0.9% | 1.91 | 2.13 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 15 | 14 | 56 | 250 | 62 | 32 | 4 | 93% | 3.8 | 19.1% | 14.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 5.11 | 4.14 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 15 | 14 | 56 | 250 | 62 | 32 | 4 | 93% | 3.8 | 24.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 1.6% | 5.11 | 3.53 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 5 | 61 | 282 | 59 | 34 | 2 | 18% | 2.2 | 15.6% | 14.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 5.34 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 5 | 61 | 282 | 59 | 34 | 2 | 18% | 2.2 | 20.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 0.7% | 5.34 | 3.26 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 42 | 176 | 38 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 41 | 174 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 6 | 38 | 161 | 35 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 6.4 | 21.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 7.5 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 27 | 114 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.8 | 21.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 11 | 65 | 276 | 60 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.26 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 89 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 111 | 79 | 409 | 1721 | 297 | 167 | 22 | 71% | 3.7 | 17.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 3.28 | 3.59 | +8.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 39 | 200 | 842 | 145 | 82 | 11 | 71% | 3.7 | 17.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 3.28 | 3.59 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Devers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.62 | 21.7% | 11.2% | 119 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 86 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 83 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 79 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 78 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 78 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 76 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 75 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 75 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 75 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 75 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.52 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .341 | 3.55 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 41 | +0.03 | 3.06 | 222 | 74 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 74 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 74 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 74 |
| Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 73 |
| Brandt Thompson R 2024 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 162 | 72 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 72 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 72 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 72 |
| Justin Topa R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 40 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 1.13 | 4.56 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |