Curtis Mead — OGILVIE

Curtis Mead1B Washington Nationals

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION296 act + 197 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 10193vR 72

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .323 / .415

PA197

HR7

K%21

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO179

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

905.3%

xwOBA

600.320

POWER40

Barrel%

467.6

Avg EV

3487.9

Bat Spd

5672.0

EYE45

Chase%

9020.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

4027.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 455 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

207

248

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

295

262

◀L

ISO

085

101

▶▶R

BABIP

293

288

—

18.8%

26.2%

◀◀L

BB%

7.7%

4.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+1.0	$7M	+$4M
2028	Arb-3	$6M	+1.0	$7M	+$2M
Totals		$9M		$17M	+$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	16	INTL	Adelaide Bite	—	56	51	19	2	0	1	4	10	0	0	1	373	418	471	889	98	439	18	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	16	INTL	Adelaide Bite	—	56	51	19	2	0	1	4	10	0	0	1	373	418	471	889	98	439	18	7	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	INTL	Adelaide Bite	—	136	125	30	3	0	2	9	18	2	1	1	240	301	312	613	72	267	13	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	INTL	Adelaide Bite	—	136	125	30	3	0	2	9	18	2	1	1	240	301	312	613	72	267	13	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	2 teams	—	326	304	61	15	2	6	15	62	5	9	4	201	250	322	572	122	233	19	5	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	2 teams	—	326	294	87	18	2	10	25	47	5	9	4	296	361	473	834	177	325	14	8	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	76	72	25	7	0	3	3	13	1	2	0	347	382	569	951	222	393	17	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	76	72	25	7	0	3	3	13	1	2	0	347	382	569	951	222	393	17	4	416	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	3 teams	—	534	490	141	39	2	13	29	111	9	12	5	288	339	455	794	167	344	21	5	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	3 teams	—	534	480	152	41	4	17	38	81	9	12	5	317	377	525	902	208	348	15	7	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	2 teams	—	331	293	74	20	0	12	25	75	9	7	2	253	330	444	774	191	295	23	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	2 teams	—	331	282	84	27	0	13	36	62	9	7	2	298	394	532	926	234	336	19	11	403	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA	2 teams	—	370	330	80	20	3	7	30	78	5	4	2	242	315	385	700	142	292	21	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA	2 teams	—	370	318	90	24	3	10	42	69	5	4	2	283	375	472	847	189	328	19	11	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	542	496	123	19	7	11	26	105	15	13	6	248	305	381	686	133	291	19	5	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	542	486	134	22	6	14	35	94	15	13	6	276	343	432	775	156	313	17	6	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	333	302	70	13	1	4	20	84	10	5	1	232	301	321	622	89	307	25	6	283	75	-9	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.1
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	333	300	74	14	1	6	22	80	10	5	1	247	319	360	679	113	316	24	7	309	94	-2	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	WSH	—	296	259	64	13	1	17	33	55	4	5	2	247	341	502	843	255	251	19	11	366	138	+13	+0	-1	-5	+8	1.5
YTD	25	MLB	WSH	—	296	259	64	13	1	17	33	55	4	5	2	247	341	502	843	255	251	19	11	370	141	+14	+0	-1	-5	+8	1.6
ROS	25	MLB	WSH	100%	197	173	41	8	1	7	18	41	4	3	1	237	323	415	738	179	266	21	9	326	108	+2	+0	-0	-4	+6	0.4
ROS	25	MLB	WSH	100%	197	174	41	8	1	7	17	41	4	3	1	236	318	414	732	178	266	21	9	313	98	-0	+0	-0	-4	+6	0.1
FULL	25	MLB	WSH	—	493	433	105	21	2	24	50	96	8	8	3	242	332	467	798	224	258	19	10	345	122	+12	+0	-1	-9	+14	1.7
TOT	25	MLB	WSH	—	493	432	105	21	2	24	51	96	8	8	3	243	334	467	801	224	259	19	10	350	126	+15	+0	-1	-9	+14	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	WSH	65%	563	498	118	23	2	21	50	116	10	9	3	237	319	418	737	181	266	21	9	326	108	+5	+1	-1	-10	+16	1.1
2028	27	MLB	WSH	65%	552	487	115	22	2	20	50	114	10	9	3	236	320	413	733	177	265	21	9	326	108	+5	+1	-1	-10	+16	1.0
2029	28	MLB	WSH	65%	541	477	113	22	2	20	49	112	10	8	3	237	321	417	738	180	264	21	9	325	107	+4	+0	-2	-10	+15	0.9
2030	29	MLB	WSH	65%	530	467	109	21	2	19	49	111	9	8	3	233	318	409	727	176	263	21	9	323	105	+3	+0	-2	-9	+15	0.7
2031	30	MLB	WSH	65%	520	458	105	20	2	18	48	110	9	7	2	229	315	400	714	170	261	21	9	320	103	+2	+1	-3	-9	+15	0.5
2032	31	MLB	WSH	65%	509	448	102	19	2	18	47	110	9	6	2	228	313	400	713	172	258	22	9	315	99	-1	+0	-4	-9	+14	0.1
2033	32	MLB	WSH	65%	499	441	97	18	1	17	46	109	9	5	2	220	306	381	687	161	253	22	9	308	94	-3	+0	-4	-9	+14	-0.3
2027	26	MLB	WSH	65%	366	323	77	15	2	13	33	75	7	6	2	238	322	418	740	180	266	20	9	313	98	-1	+0	-1	-7	+10	0.3
2028	27	MLB	WSH	65%	359	318	74	14	1	13	32	74	6	6	2	233	315	406	720	173	265	21	9	313	98	-1	+0	-1	-6	+10	0.3
2029	28	MLB	WSH	65%	352	311	73	14	1	13	32	73	6	5	2	235	318	412	730	177	264	21	9	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-6	+10	0.2
2030	29	MLB	WSH	65%	344	303	71	14	1	12	32	72	6	5	2	234	320	406	726	172	263	21	9	310	95	-2	+0	-2	-6	+10	0.0
2031	30	MLB	WSH	65%	338	298	69	13	1	12	31	72	6	4	1	232	316	403	719	171	261	21	9	307	93	-3	+0	-2	-6	+10	-0.1
2032	31	MLB	WSH	65%	331	292	65	12	1	11	30	71	6	4	1	223	308	384	691	161	258	21	9	302	89	-4	+0	-2	-6	+9	-0.3
2033	32	MLB	WSH	65%	324	285	64	12	1	11	30	71	6	3	1	225	312	389	701	165	253	22	9	295	84	-6	+0	-3	-6	+9	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3099	2749	640	118	11	97	265	663	59	43	13	233	314	390	703	157	271	21	9	304	91	-32	+3	-14	-42	+88	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	134	25	2	20	56	139	12	9	3	232	314	386	700	154	270	21	9	304	91	-7	+1	-3	-9	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	6615	5912	1423	291	29	199	518	1379	126	108	41	241	315	401	716	160	280	21	8	303	90	-77	+5	-21	-91	+187	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	141	29	3	20	51	135	12	11	4	243	317	406	723	164	281	21	8	303	90	-8	+1	-2	-9	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	16	INTL	Adelaide Bite	—	56	51	19	2	0	1	4	10	0	0	1	373	418	471	889	98	439	18	7	391	158	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2018	17	INTL	Adelaide Bite	—	136	125	30	3	0	2	9	18	2	1	1	240	301	312	613	72	267	13	7	282	74	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2019	18	ROK	GCL Phillies East	—	175	158	45	12	2	4	13	23	3	4	3	285	351	462	813	177	313	13	7	358	132	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2019	18	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	151	136	42	6	0	6	12	24	2	5	1	309	373	485	859	176	340	16	8	379	148	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2020	19	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	76	72	25	7	0	3	3	13	1	2	0	347	382	569	951	222	393	17	4	416	177	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2021	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	233	206	58	15	1	7	19	38	4	2	2	282	354	466	820	184	309	16	8	358	132	+8	-0	—	—	+7	1.5
2021	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	211	191	68	21	1	7	15	30	3	9	2	356	411	586	998	230	391	14	7	432	189	+21	+1	—	—	+6	2.9
2021	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	90	83	26	5	2	3	4	13	2	1	1	313	356	530	886	217	343	14	4	385	153	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	21	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	85	72	20	6	0	3	11	17	1	1	0	278	381	486	867	208	321	20	13	380	149	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	246	210	64	21	0	10	25	45	8	6	2	305	399	548	947	243	342	18	10	410	172	+20	+0	—	—	+7	2.8
2023	22	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	92	83	21	3	1	1	7	21	2	0	0	253	326	349	675	96	328	23	8	308	94	-1	+0	+1	+1	+3	0.4
2023	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	278	235	69	21	2	9	35	48	3	4	2	294	392	515	907	221	328	17	13	392	158	+18	+0	—	—	+8	2.7
2024	23	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	132	122	29	3	0	1	6	30	2	2	0	238	282	287	569	49	304	23	5	259	57	-6	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.3
2024	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	410	364	105	19	6	13	29	64	13	11	6	288	362	481	843	192	316	16	7	370	141	+19	-0	—	—	+12	3.1
2025	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	264	240	56	10	1	3	15	63	8	5	1	233	300	321	621	88	303	24	6	284	76	-7	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2025	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	69	60	18	4	0	3	7	17	2	0	0	300	391	517	908	217	375	25	10	401	165	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	488	445	106	16	2	5	28	114	12	7	1	238	300	317	617	79	308	23	6	282	74	-14	+1	-2	+4	+14	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,582	118	52	235	312	398	-64	-9	3.9	4.4
	/162	664	22	10	235	312	398	-11.9	-1.7	0.7	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
#6Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	9	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
	/162	664	14	3	262	328	388	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Curtis Mead (OGILVIE)	25	50	40	45	45	243/334/467	224	259	24	8	19%	10%	126	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Spencer Steer 2023 · MLB	25	42→52	51→55	43→50	46	218/289/383	164	266	19	6	26%	8%	88	+0.9	237/319/408	171	282	19	13	22%	10%	107	+2.2	238/325/410	172	280	19	15	21%	10%	107	+2.4
✕Jefry Marte 2016 · MLB	25	45→47	49→55	46→50	44	232/282/379	147	269	18	9	22%	6%	83	+0.6	225/285/389	164	260	20	8	22%	7%	88	+0.9	216/281/377	161	247	21	7	22%	7%	81	+0.2
●Andrew Vaughn 2023 · MLB	25	50→53	50→55	43→30	48	254/314/409	156	288	18	2	19%	7%	105	+2.1	252/307/411	159	292	19	2	20%	6%	102	+1.9	247/304/405	158	285	19	1	20%	6%	97	+1.5
●Nick Solak 2020 · MLB	25	49→59	52→50	49→50	47	251/320/417	165	310	21	10	26%	8%	109	+2.4	250/317/385	135	305	15	11	22%	7%	100	+1.7	279/339/406	128	322	15	11	18%	6%	111	+1.6
✕Clint Frazier 2020 · MLB	25	45	51→55	44→50	42	230/283/396	167	288	18	7	27%	6%	89	+0.9	219/305/373	154	297	17	8	30%	10%	92	+1.2	192/301/321	129	283	15	9	34%	12%	76	+0.0
●Renato Núñez 2019 · MLB	25	42→51	54→60	47→30	41	227/280/401	174	280	23	3	28%	6%	89	+0.9	239/304/436	197	286	27	3	26%	7%	108	+2.3	235/306/451	216	271	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
✕James Darnell 2012 · MLB	25	49→53	55	46→40	50	253/318/440	188	288	23	4	21%	8%	115	+2.7	231/290/390	159	279	19	6	24%	7%	90	+1.0	208/285/376	168	235	23	3	23%	8%	83	+0.1
●Abraham Toro 2022 · MLB	25	49→57	50	45	51	246/321/399	153	274	17	9	18%	8%	105	+2.1	236/299/385	149	272	15	9	19%	7%	92	+1.2	243/303/383	140	289	14	7	20%	7%	90	+0.8
●C.J. Cron 2015 · MLB	25	48→53	53→60	44→40	39	251/287/424	173	288	21	5	22%	4%	98	+1.6	256/300/437	181	295	22	5	21%	5%	106	+2.2	246/324/466	219	279	29	1	23%	8%	120	+2.8
●Elijah Dukes 2008 · MLB	24	47→52	53→55	47→50	54	241/323/415	174	271	20	12	20%	10%	110	+2.4	244/342/414	170	292	17	14	21%	12%	118	+3.0	247/350/417	170	297	16	14	21%	12%	117	+2.2
✕Jorge Bonifacio 2018 · MLB	25	47→51	52→55	46→45	44	241/297/409	168	302	21	4	27%	7%	98	+1.6	219/279/365	146	293	15	5	29%	7%	78	+0.2	199/270/370	171	249	22	7	29%	8%	75	+0.0
●Delmon Young 2011 · MLB	25	57→61	51→55	42→55	44	287/325/451	164	318	18	7	16%	5%	120	+3.1	273/310/428	155	310	18	3	18%	4%	108	+2.3	267/304/412	145	307	18	0	19%	4%	98	+1.4
●Edward Olivares 2023 · MLB	27	50→55	50→55	45→55	45	254/309/410	156	293	19	13	20%	6%	102	+1.9	255/313/415	160	291	18	16	19%	6%	105	+2.1	255/316/420	165	287	19	18	18%	6%	106	+1.3
✕DJ Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	43→47	53→60	46→50	48	228/300/402	174	266	21	11	23%	8%	97	+1.5	223/320/403	180	277	23	6	27%	11%	106	+2.2	212/319/414	202	253	29	2	28%	11%	105	+1.0
●Jesus Montero 2015 · MLB	25	47→57	50→55	43→30	43	242/286/394	152	288	18	3	23%	6%	89	+0.9	265/298/398	133	326	14	3	22%	4%	94	+1.3	277/307/396	119	344	12	2	22%	4%	93	+0.9
●Luis Rengifo 2022 · MLB	25	46→55	49→55	49→55	47	233/290/378	144	269	17	14	21%	7%	86	+0.8	263/312/427	164	296	19	14	18%	6%	108	+2.3	273/324/436	163	306	19	16	17%	6%	113	+2.0
●Brandon Allen 2011 · MLB	25	42→47	53→55	50	47	221/297/391	170	279	21	11	28%	9%	93	+1.3	221/294/399	178	291	21	8	30%	9%	94	+1.3	216/286/400	184	279	21	6	30%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Matt LaPorta 2011 · MLB	26	47→49	53→55	41→30	52	242/315/416	174	267	21	3	19%	9%	107	+2.2	229/291/384	155	270	18	3	22%	7%	89	+0.9	219/278/372	153	259	18	1	23%	6%	79	+0.2
●Tyler Nevin 2023 · MLB	26	44→54	47→50	48→45	47	224/294/352	128	275	15	5	24%	8%	82	+0.5	244/315/401	157	292	19	5	22%	8%	103	+1.9	247/321/413	166	290	20	3	22%	8%	106	+1.5
●Michael Cuddyer 2004 · MLB	25	49→58	52→60	51→50	51	248/316/419	171	285	19	9	21%	9%	108	+2.3	263/336/441	178	307	19	7	20%	9%	121	+3.2	275/341/462	187	301	21	8	16%	8%	123	+3.5