Ynmanol MariñezSS Beloit Sky Carp
Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .275 / .313
PA136
HR2
K%28
BB%8
ISO109
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.30.30.1+$8M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $1M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201817 ROKGCL Marlins 280269 52710 9630 95 193219227446 33252 223 197 9
201817 ROKGCL Marlins 280263 651010 15440 95 247288293581 46297 165 264 60
201918 ROKGCL Marlins 2423 4100 0120 00 174174217391 43333 500 195 7
201918 ROKGCL Marlins 2423 7200 080 00 304304391696 87438 330 296 84
202120 A+Beloit Snappers 310295 541143 71166 22 183218278495 95287 372 213 21
202120 A+Beloit Snappers 310290 681354 12906 22 234279355634 121323 294 282 74
202221 A+Beloit Sky Carp 460432 9312210 201526 31 215260322582 106305 334 252 51
202221 A+Beloit Sky Carp 460425 11014310 271156 31 259312376689 118331 256 309 94
202322 A+2 teams 302282 431015 181281 00 152206248454 96253 426 200 11
202322 A+2 teams 302274 541614 26961 00 197269307576 109286 329 262 59
202423 A+Beloit Sky Carp 3023 1000 7130 10 4326743310 100 4323 188 2
202423 A+Beloit Sky Carp 3020 1000 10100 10 5036750417 100 3333 263 59
▸ 2026 Season
202625 MLBMIA 136123 25512 11381 21 203274309583 106277 288 269 64 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBMIA 30% 231208 45915 19632 41 216288341630 125279 278 278 71 -8 +0 +0 +2 +7 0.2
202827 MLBMIA 42% 291262 561116 24793 51 214287332619 118280 278 281 73 -9 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.3
202928 MLBMIA 48% 332298 641227 28903 51 215289339628 124280 278 282 74 -10 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.3
203029 MLBMIA 49% 350315 681327 29953 51 216288337625 121280 278 282 74 -10 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.3
203130 MLBMIA 50% 362326 691327 30993 51 212284328612 117279 278 279 72 -12 +1 -2 +4 +10 0.1
202726 MLBMIA 30% 7063 13301 6191 10 206286302587 95274 279 267 62 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202827 MLBMIA 42% 121109 23412 10331 21 211283321604 110275 278 270 65 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
202928 MLBMIA 48% 158143 30613 13431 31 210280329609 119276 278 272 66 -6 +0 -0 +2 +4 -0.0
203029 MLBMIA 49% 172154 32613 14472 31 208282318601 110275 278 271 66 -7 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.0
203130 MLBMIA 50% 182163 35714 15502 21 215289344632 129274 278 269 64 -7 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 703632 13326413 581927 114 210284326610 116278 278 270 65 -28 +1 -2 +8 +20 -0.2
/ 162G 650584 12324412 541786 104 211284327611 116279 278 270 65 -26 +0 -2 +7 +18 -0.2
Career 31082856 5741041752 20294828 4114 201261304564 103279 316 252 51 -171 +3 -4 +33 +88 -5.3
/ 162G 650597 12122411 421986 93 203262308570 106281 306 252 51 -36 +1 -1 +7 +18 -1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201817 ROKGCL Marlins 280263 651010 15440 95 247288293581 46297 165 264 60 -13 -0 +8 -0.5
201918 ROKGCL Marlins 2423 7200 080 00 304304391696 87438 330 296 84 -0 +0 +1 0.0
202120 A+Beloit Snappers 310290 681354 12906 22 234279355634 121323 294 282 74 -9 -0 +9 -0.1
202221 A+Beloit Sky Carp 460425 11014310 271156 31 259312376689 118331 256 309 94 -3 +0 +13 1.1
202322 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos 1918 3200 160 00 167211278488 111250 325 220 26 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202322 A+Beloit Sky Carp 283256 511414 25901 00 199273309582 109288 329 265 61 -12 +0 +8 -0.4
202423 A+Beloit Sky Carp 3020 1000 10100 10 5036750417 100 3333 263 59 -1 +0 +1 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27041411215285337+8+60.60.6
/1626641410+7.1+5.70.6pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ynmanol Mariñez (OGILVIE) 25 205/275/313 108277 22 28% 8% 64 -0.2
Maverick Handley
2023 · AA
25 38 44→40 50 44 193/277/309 116270 1212 32% 8% 65 -0.7 203/293/294 91284 811 29% 9% 67 -0.5 196/291/2717527751028%10%57-0.6
Kyle Datres
2021 · A
25 39→40 45→50 51→55 41 198/264/325 127271 1215 31% 6% 62 -0.9 206/284/345 139284 1622 32% 8% 76 +0.1 198/283/340141269182732%8%73-0.1
Shayne Fontana
2022 · AA
25 40 41→45 48→55 46 193/273/296 103282 88 32% 9% 58 -1.2 214/297/319 105298 1014 29% 9% 75 -0.0 219/304/31898295101927%8%75-0.0
Quincy McAfee
2023 · AA
25 38 43→45 42→45 46 189/279/295 106260 116 30% 9% 62 -0.9 198/275/331 133251 1510 27% 7% 69 -0.4 185/264/327142224171225%7%61-0.5
Sean Jamieson
2014 · A
25 42→43 43→45 50 42 207/270/323 116273 1012 27% 6% 63 -0.8 226/283/329 103310 89 28% 6% 70 -0.3 228/286/321933177729%6%66-0.3
Coco Montes
2023 · AAA
26 39→43 47→50 51→50 41 200/265/338 138281 1410 33% 7% 66 -0.6 219/284/347 128316 1310 33% 8% 76 +0.0 220/284/33711731711932%7%71-0.2
Chase Strumpf
2022 · AA
24 42→36 43→50 48→45 44 203/282/318 115297 117 33% 8% 68 -0.5 193/294/347 154320 185 41% 11% 82 +0.5 177/286/33615829620343%11%72-0.1
Chase Pinder
2022 · AA
26 39 43→45 44→45 46 197/280/304 107271 125 30% 8% 64 -0.8 229/320/373 144297 1510 26% 11% 98 +1.6 224/323/376152290161126%12%98+0.8
JJ Schwarz
2021 · A
25 38 40→50 48→30 43 190/254/280 90264 96 30% 7% 46 -2.0 212/278/349 137295 173 32% 8% 74 -0.1 203/274/34213927918132%9%67-0.3
Bryan Holaday
2012 · AA
24 41 41→45 48→40 40 201/257/296 95274 97 29% 6% 51 -1.7 214/263/302 88270 75 23% 5% 55 -1.4 223/289/35313025614219%7%76+0.0
Wendell Rijo
2021 · AAA
25 42→41 46→55 44→50 41 211/263/337 126275 147 28% 6% 64 -0.8 218/273/382 164281 2015 29% 6% 81 +0.4 213/270/389176264231928%6%78+0.1
Julio E. Rodriguez
2022 · AA
25 41 43→50 48→30 40 207/256/310 103267 126 27% 5% 54 -1.4 205/274/339 134286 184 33% 8% 69 -0.4 185/255/31713225419134%8%54-0.5
Drake Osborn
2023 · A
25 39 44→45 49→40 42 198/262/310 112269 116 30% 7% 57 -1.2 190/247/298 108260 124 31% 6% 47 -1.9 181/237/28510424412230%6%37-1.2
Cam Devanney
2022 · AA
25 35→41 41→55 44→45 38 176/242/264 87260 97 34% 6% 37 -2.7 214/276/370 156280 187 29% 7% 79 +0.3 218/281/38316528118729%6%81+0.3
J.E. Cruz
2006 · A
25 38→48 42→45 52→45 43 192/260/290 98265 1012 30% 7% 51 -1.7 209/280/310 101283 78 27% 8% 64 -0.8 206/280/3081022776626%8%62-0.6
Wade Gaynor
2013 · AA
25 37→42 43→50 47→50 41 185/255/295 109265 106 32% 7% 50 -1.7 186/237/311 125273 1211 35% 5% 46 -2.0 172/214/296124249131236%4%29-2.4
Nick Vickerson
2014 · A
25 36 42→40 49→50 47 183/268/285 102256 1013 31% 9% 54 -1.4 203/302/300 97289 811 29% 11% 72 -0.2 190/312/2718127271129%13%66-0.4
Gerardo Bustamante
2011 · AAA
25 41 40→45 50 44 201/272/294 93265 89 26% 7% 57 -1.2 222/267/338 116273 1413 24% 5% 66 -0.6 226/262/32599269141222%4%56-0.4
Dusty Brown
2007 · AA
25 41 43→45 44→30 43 205/258/311 106264 115 26% 6% 55 -1.4 224/282/344 120300 123 28% 7% 74 -0.1 228/291/34111330712028%7%74-0.1
Ryan Ortiz
2013 · AA
25 40 43→45 47→40 49 200/288/306 105271 115 29% 10% 68 -0.5 201/291/297 96282 84 29% 10% 67 -0.5 190/289/275852696029%11%57-0.6