Jairo Solis — OGILVIE

Jairo Solis P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 112

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%17.5%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	15	10	61	257	69	21	3	67%	4.1	18.3%	10.2%	8.0%	1.6%	2.64	3.75	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	15	10	61	257	69	21	3	67%	4.1	26.8%	8.2%	18.7%	1.2%	2.64	2.51	—
2018	18	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	13	11	51	225	51	32	1	85%	3.9	16.8%	16.8%	-0.0%	0.6%	3.55	4.14	—
2018	18	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	13	11	51	225	51	32	1	85%	3.9	22.7%	14.2%	8.4%	0.4%	3.55	3.24	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	18	14	62	308	50	37	13	78%	3.4	13.5%	10.8%	2.7%	5.2%	8.46	6.18	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	18	14	62	308	50	37	13	78%	3.4	13.5%	10.8%	2.7%	5.2%	8.46	6.18	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	18	14	62	308	50	37	13	78%	3.4	16.2%	12.0%	4.2%	4.2%	8.46	6.02	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	HOU	1	1	3	13	2	1	0	100%	3.0	17.5%	10.0%	7.5%	3.2%	5.03	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	7	7	43	180	33	18	6	100%	6.1	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	3.2%	4.98	4.99	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	3	3	18	76	14	8	2	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	3.2%	4.98	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	18	76	14	8	2	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	3.2%	4.98	4.61	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	155	88	22	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	3.2%	4.98	4.61	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		46	35	174	790	126	97	21	76%	3.8	16.0%	12.3%	3.7%	2.7%	4.98	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	40	200	910	145	112	25	76%	3.8	16.0%	12.3%	3.7%	2.7%	4.98	4.80	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jairo Solis (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	17.5%	10.0%	3.2%	—	4.99	18.1%	8.1%	43	-0.04	—	—	—
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.89	14.8%	0.9%	72	+1.86	3.51	261	84
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	81
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	79
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	79
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	78
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.85	13.9%	4.7%	81	+1.14	4.43	239	77
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	77
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	77
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	77
Bradley Brehmer R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SP	4.43	14.6%	9.5%	2.5%	.349	3.27	20.0%	11.5%	94	-1.16	2.83	165	77
Burch Smith R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	27	SP	3.93	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.43	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.50	3.50	382	77
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	77
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	76
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	76
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	76
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	76
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.84	17.7%	6.3%	200	+0.58	4.26	292	75
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	75
Chance Kirby R 2021 · 5.83 FIP	26	SP-	5.83	15.1%	10.0%	5.0%	.242	4.59	18.5%	11.2%	138	-1.24	4.14	325	75
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	43	17.8%	10.0%	1.25	5.01
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50