Jairo Solis
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
K%21.6%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 15 | 10 | 61 | 257 | 69 | 21 | 3 | 67% | 4.1 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 2.64 | 3.75 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 15 | 10 | 61 | 257 | 69 | 21 | 3 | 67% | 4.1 | 26.8% | 8.2% | 18.7% | 1.2% | 2.64 | 2.51 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 13 | 11 | 51 | 225 | 51 | 32 | 1 | 85% | 3.9 | 16.8% | 16.8% | -0.0% | 0.6% | 3.55 | 4.14 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 13 | 11 | 51 | 225 | 51 | 32 | 1 | 85% | 3.9 | 22.7% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 0.4% | 3.55 | 3.24 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 18 | 14 | 62 | 308 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 78% | 3.4 | 14.3% | 12.6% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 8.46 | 6.71 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 18 | 14 | 62 | 308 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 78% | 3.4 | 16.2% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 8.46 | 6.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 7 | 7 | 43 | 180 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 7 | 7 | 41 | 174 | 38 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 7 | 7 | 39 | 166 | 36 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 4.79 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 4.79 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 12 | 73 | 307 | 67 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.40 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 85 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 46 | 35 | 174 | 790 | 129 | 103 | 24 | 76% | 3.8 | 16.3% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 5.02 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 40 | 200 | 910 | 148 | 118 | 27 | 76% | 3.8 | 16.3% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jairo Solis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.3% | — | 4.77 | 21.7% | 11.7% | 123 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 80 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 79 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 76 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 76 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 76 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 75 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 75 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 74 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 74 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 74 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.56 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .362 | 5.50 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 113 | +1.94 | 2.78 | 181 | 73 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 73 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 73 |
| Justin Topa R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 73 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 72 |
| Markus Solbach R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 72 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 72 |
| Griffin Canning R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 72 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 72 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 17.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 4.92 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 116 | +0.26 | 2.20 | 286 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 42 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 1.30 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |