Jake Burger — OGILVIE

Jake Burger1B Texas Rangers

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 230 lbs MLB HR +15%BB +5% Svc 3.738 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION566 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 113108vR 95

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP289

ISO207

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

649.5%

xAVG

410.244

POWER60

Barrel%

8012.7

Avg EV

7290.6

Bat Spd

7774.2

EYE30

Chase%

7726.4%

SPEED55

Sprint

4727.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%27%▼▼28% over 102 PA (30d) · proj 25%

BB%9%▲▲12% over 148 PA (45d) · proj 6%

ISO.211·.215 over 172 AB (60d) · proj .207xISO .191 vs .231 prior

HR/BB7.9%▲8.5% over 118 BBE (60d) · proj 7.2%barrel% 12.3% vs 12.9% prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

BABIP.283·.269 over 108 BIP (60d) · proj .285xBABIP .276 vs .327 prior

SLASH.239/.317/.450▲proj .247/.297/.454

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1064 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

309

755

—

wRC+

100

▶R

wOBA

312

316

—

ISO

207

193

◀L

BABIP

266

291

▶R

23.3%

26.8%

◀L

BB%

4.9%

3.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.738 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.3M		$3M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	200	181	49	9	2	4	13	28	5	0	1	271	337	409	746	138	300	14	6	333	112	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2017	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	17	13	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	154	353	462	814	308	100	12	6	369	136	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2021	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	42	38	10	3	1	1	4	15	0	0	0	263	333	474	807	211	409	36	10	354	126	+1	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.5
2021	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	340	310	85	16	2	18	24	91	4	0	0	274	334	513	847	239	330	27	7	368	135	+14	+0	—	—	+7	2.2
2022	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	183	168	42	9	1	8	10	56	3	0	0	250	304	458	762	208	324	31	5	332	111	+2	+0	-4	+1	+4	0.3
2022	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	168	146	37	0	2	5	18	34	4	0	1	253	351	384	735	130	299	20	11	335	113	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	540	492	123	28	1	34	32	149	12	1	1	250	312	518	830	268	284	28	6	359	129	+19	-0	-6	+2	+12	2.7
2023	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	22	20	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	238	250	488	50	222	14	5	213	31	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	579	535	134	23	1	29	31	150	9	1	1	250	303	460	762	209	292	26	5	333	112	+8	-0	-7	+2	+13	1.6
2025	29	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	376	356	84	15	1	16	12	93	5	1	1	236	271	419	689	183	272	25	3	301	90	-4	-0	-4	-7	+8	-0.8
2025	29	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	40	36	16	4	0	3	4	2	0	0	0	444	500	806	1.306	361	419	5	10	558	264	+8	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1720	1589	393	78	5	88	89	463	29	3	3	247	299	469	768	222	290	27	5	335	113	+26	-1	-20	-1	+37	4.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	200	185	45	7	2	4	9	38	5	0	1	243	296	368	664	124	275	19	4	280	76	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2017	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	17	13	2	1	0	1	1	3	3	0	0	154	353	462	814	308	70	18	6	266	66	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2021	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	42	38	10	3	1	1	4	15	0	0	0	263	333	474	807	211	409	36	10	348	122	+1	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.4
2021	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	340	319	70	12	2	10	15	108	4	0	0	219	263	364	627	144	289	32	4	271	70	-12	+0	—	—	+7	-0.5
2022	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	183	168	42	9	1	8	10	56	3	0	0	250	304	458	762	208	324	31	5	322	104	+1	+0	-4	+1	+4	0.2
2022	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	168	152	31	0	2	2	12	42	4	0	1	204	280	270	549	66	273	25	7	257	60	-8	-0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2023	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	540	492	128	30	1	36	32	149	12	1	1	260	321	545	866	285	284	28	6	368	135	+23	-0	-6	+2	+12	3.1
2023	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	22	20	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	200	238	250	488	50	208	18	5	199	21	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	579	535	139	25	1	31	31	150	9	1	1	260	311	484	795	224	292	26	5	338	115	+10	-0	-7	+2	+13	1.9
2025	29	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	376	356	83	15	1	15	12	93	5	1	1	233	268	407	675	174	272	25	3	290	83	-8	-0	-4	-7	+8	-1.2
2025	29	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	40	37	15	4	0	3	3	2	0	0	0	405	450	757	1.207	351	362	5	8	471	205	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2017	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	217	199	47	8	2	5	9	41	8	0	1	236	296	372	668	136	273	19	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	217	194	51	10	2	5	14	30	8	0	1	263	338	412	750	149	287	14	6	336	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	382	357	80	15	3	11	19	123	4	0	0	224	271	375	646	151	307	32	5	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	382	348	95	19	3	19	28	106	4	0	0	273	334	509	843	236	338	28	7	367	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	351	320	73	9	3	10	22	98	7	0	1	228	292	369	661	141	296	28	6	291	83	-7	-0	-4	+1	+8	-0.3
2022	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	351	314	79	9	3	13	28	90	7	0	1	252	327	424	750	172	311	26	8	333	83	-7	-0	-4	+1	+8	-0.3
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	562	512	132	31	1	36	33	153	12	1	1	258	318	533	851	275	293	27	6	362	131	+21	-0	-6	+2	+12	3.0
2023	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	562	512	127	29	1	34	33	152	12	1	1	248	309	508	817	260	281	27	6	353	131	+21	-0	-6	+2	+12	3.0
2024	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	579	535	139	25	1	31	31	150	9	1	1	260	311	484	795	224	302	26	5	338	115	+10	-0	-7	+2	+13	1.9
2024	28	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	579	535	134	23	1	29	31	150	9	1	1	250	303	460	762	209	292	26	5	333	115	+10	-0	-7	+2	+13	1.9
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	416	393	97	19	1	17	15	95	5	1	1	247	283	430	713	183	282	23	4	308	94	-3	-0	-4	-7	+9	-0.6
2025	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	416	392	100	19	1	19	16	95	5	1	1	255	293	454	747	199	288	23	4	326	94	-3	-0	-4	-7	+9	-0.6
2017	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	217	198	47	8	2	5	9	41	8	0	1	237	296	374	670	136	259	19	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	382	356	80	15	3	11	19	123	4	0	0	225	271	376	647	152	302	32	5	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	351	319	73	9	3	10	22	98	7	0	1	229	292	370	662	141	299	28	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	562	512	132	31	1	36	33	153	12	1	1	258	318	533	851	275	281	27	6	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	579	534	139	25	1	31	31	150	9	1	1	260	311	485	796	225	292	26	5	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	416	393	97	19	1	17	15	95	5	1	1	247	283	430	713	183	281	23	4	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	562	512	132	31	1	36	33	153	12	1	1	258	318	533	851	275	281	27	6	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	579	534	139	25	1	31	31	150	9	1	1	260	311	485	796	225	292	26	5	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	416	393	97	19	1	17	15	95	5	1	1	247	283	430	713	183	281	23	4	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	TEX	—	566	510	118	21	0	24	49	153	4	4	1	231	304	414	717	182	280	27	9	313	98	-1	+0	-2	-10	+12	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	TEX	—	566	510	120	21	0	26	49	153	4	4	1	235	307	429	737	194	281	27	9	326	98	-1	+0	-2	-10	+12	-0.1
YTD	30	MLB RAW	TEX	—	566	510	120	21	0	26	49	153	4	4	1	235	307	429	737	194	281	27	9	326	106	+4	+0	-2	-10	+12	0.5
ROS	30	MLB MLE	TEX	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		286	22	11	327	108	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	TEX	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		289	22	11	329	108	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	TEX	—	575	518	121	21	0	26	50	155	4	4	1	234	306	425	731	191	279	27	9	326	98	-1	+0	-2	-10	+12	-0.1
TOT	30	MLB MLE	TEX	—	575	518	119	21	0	24	50	155	4	4	1	230	302	409	712	180	278	27	9	313	98	-1	+0	-2	-10	+12	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	TEX	100%	604	549	132	26	1	27	45	160	5	4	1	240	304	439	743	199	287	26	7	327	107	+5	+0	-1	-11	+13	0.7
2028	32	MLB MLE	TEX	100%	591	537	126	24	1	26	44	159	5	3	1	235	299	428	727	194	282	27	7	320	103	+2	+0	-2	-11	+13	0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	TEX	100%	510	464	107	20	1	22	37	140	4	2	0	231	293	420	713	190	275	27	7	311	97	-2	+0	-3	-9	+11	-0.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	TEX	100%	604	549	134	26	1	29	45	160	5	4	1	244	307	454	761	209	290	26	7	328	107	+5	+0	-1	-11	+13	0.7
2028	32	MLB CTX	TEX	100%	591	537	130	25	1	28	44	159	5	3	1	242	305	449	754	207	285	27	7	321	103	+2	+0	-2	-11	+13	0.2
2029	33	MLB CTX	TEX	100%	510	464	108	20	1	23	37	140	4	2	0	233	295	429	724	196	278	27	7	313	97	-2	+0	-3	-9	+11	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3434	3147	766	149	8	168	216	924	43	12	5	243	301	456	757	213	288	27	6	328	102	+31	+0	-26	-31	+74	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	145	28	2	32	41	175	8	2	1	243	301	458	759	215	288	27	6	328	102	+6	+0	-5	-6	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4221	3874	934	177	14	185	256	1121	59	12	7	241	298	437	735	196	289	27	6	319	102	+31	+0	-26	-31	+74	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	143	27	2	28	39	173	9	2	1	240	296	432	728	193	287	27	6	319	102	+6	+0	-5	-6	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	9.9	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
/162	664	32	7	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
#2Chris Davislast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,630 PA	8.5	5,630	295	19	233	315	459	-96	-102	6.3	9.8
/162	664	35	2	-11.3	-12.0	0.7	pk7: 13
#3C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	6.1	4,043	187	10	260	320	471	-72	-46	8.9	8.9
/162	664	31	2	-11.9	-7.6	1.5	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.9	4,551	217	19	242	298	449	-81	-38	7.8	7.9
/162	664	32	3	-11.9	-5.5	1.1	pk7: 8
#4Mark Trumbolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA	6.6	4,372	218	23	250	303	462	-58	-63	6.2	6.6
/162	664	33	3	-8.9	-9.6	0.9	pk7: 7
#5Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#6Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Burger (OGILVIE)	30	50	60	55	30	240/303/437	197	286	27	4	26%	7%	108	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Trumbo 2017 · MLB	31	46→53	62→65	46→45	46	252/308/475	223	287	31	3	25%	7%	118	+2.6	240/295/421	181	285	25	3	25%	7%	100	+1.3	236/291/394	158	281	23	1	25%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Kyle Garlick 2022 · MLB	30	44→50	57→60	49→40	40	233/290/438	204	304	25	7	32%	6%	102	+1.5	210/275/378	168	290	22	4	34%	7%	83	+0.1	179/251/324	145	253	20	1	36%	7%	61	-1.0
●Seth Brown 2022 · MLB	30	40→48	64→65	51→50	43	231/288/475	244	275	33	9	30%	7%	111	+2.1	238/302/453	215	285	28	9	27%	8%	110	+2.1	239/301/440	201	288	27	8	27%	8%	104	+1.3
●Christian Walker 2020 · MLB	29	45→53	58→65	50→45	48	241/314/447	206	292	27	7	27%	9%	113	+2.3	247/322/438	191	293	24	4	24%	9%	114	+2.3	245/330/479	234	262	32	5	21%	10%	122	+3.1
✕Jared Walsh 2023 · MLB	30	47→54	56→60	45→30	44	247/304/441	195	306	24	4	28%	7%	108	+1.9	195/273/344	149	291	19	4	37%	9%	75	-0.5	147/241/271	125	231	18	1	42%	10%	45	-1.2
✕Bobby Dalbec 2023 · MLB	28	43→44	59→60	53→50	41	229/294/437	208	303	28	6	34%	7%	103	+1.6	206/279/374	168	318	22	12	40%	8%	84	+0.1	192/267/353	160	306	21	13	42%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Frank Schwindel 2022 · MLB	30	50→53	58→55	44→30	44	263/304/464	201	284	26	4	19%	5%	114	+2.3	243/290/406	163	279	20	5	21%	6%	95	+0.9	222/267/352	130	256	16	0	21%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Matt Davidson 2022 · MLB	31	41→44	59→60	46→30	40	228/287/436	208	290	29	3	32%	6%	101	+1.4	236/311/445	209	310	30	5	33%	8%	112	+2.2	218/307/434	216	279	34	0	34%	8%	105	+1.2
✕Jake Fox 2011 · MLB	29	47→54	57→60	47→45	44	251/309/455	205	283	25	4	22%	6%	114	+2.3	218/275/363	145	257	15	3	22%	5%	80	-0.2	223/280/385	162	250	20	0	20%	5%	84	+0.1
●Scott Hairston 2009 · MLB	29	47→51	58→60	50	49	248/313/457	209	281	25	6	22%	8%	115	+2.4	244/305/426	182	276	22	11	20%	7%	105	+1.7	241/302/443	201	270	25	10	21%	7%	105	+0.8
✕Adam Duvall 2018 · MLB	29	43→45	59→70	44→45	42	234/289/449	215	276	27	6	26%	6%	105	+1.7	224/290/447	223	259	30	4	27%	7%	105	+1.7	225/286/491	266	245	40	3	28%	7%	112	+1.6
●John Lindsey 2008 · AAA	31	50→53	56→60	46→30	41	259/313/451	192	306	24	3	24%	5%	114	+2.3	250/312/424	174	299	21	2	23%	6%	107	+1.9	247/311/437	190	306	23	0	26%	5%	108	+1.4
✕Stephen Piscotty 2021 · MLB	30	49→54	54→60	51→45	46	253/310/434	181	295	23	7	23%	7%	108	+1.9	226/285/369	143	288	18	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	208/270/334	127	264	16	3	27%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Randal Grichuk 2021 · MLB	29	45→50	61→70	44→45	43	247/295/468	221	281	29	4	25%	6%	112	+2.2	246/291/422	176	285	22	3	22%	5%	99	+1.2	264/311/490	226	295	26	0	20%	6%	119	+1.2
●Hunter Renfroe 2022 · MLB	30	42→47	64→65	44→45	48	239/303/479	240	264	33	4	25%	8%	117	+2.6	243/306/447	204	276	27	2	23%	8%	110	+2.1	237/303/428	191	269	25	1	22%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Tyrone Taylor 2023 · MLB	29	46→52	57→60	49→55	45	246/306/450	204	285	24	8	24%	6%	111	+2.1	239/292/413	174	289	18	16	23%	5%	97	+1.1	247/299/398	152	299	13	17	21%	5%	93	+0.4
✕Micah Hoffpauir 2010 · MLB	30	48→47	57→60	50→40	46	253/297/454	201	273	25	6	18%	6%	109	+2.0	231/291/411	180	259	21	5	20%	7%	96	+1.0	219/283/403	184	241	22	1	20%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Evan Gattis 2017 · MLB	30	45→48	64→70	45→30	45	253/307/491	238	274	34	2	23%	7%	121	+2.9	245/303/464	219	264	30	3	21%	7%	113	+2.3	238/295/450	212	251	29	1	19%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Mitch Jones 2009 · AAA	31	39	58→65	50→45	42	216/281/422	206	280	27	8	33%	7%	96	+1.0	216/265/414	198	269	26	9	30%	5%	88	+0.4	203/249/398	195	247	26	8	30%	5%	77	-0.3
●Ryan O'Hearn 2022 · MLB	29	42→52	56→60	48→45	46	230/295/417	187	274	26	5	27%	8%	99	+1.3	256/308/424	168	306	20	6	23%	6%	105	+1.7	270/346/440	169	306	21	3	18%	9%	119	+2.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps