Jake Burger1B Texas Rangers
Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 230 lbs MLB K +3% Svc 3.738 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.3 · 2026
wRC+†vL 86107vR 94
AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .300 / .471
PA491
HR26
K%25
BB%5
xwOBA.299
Barrel%10.6%
MLB%100%
BAT: +3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -6.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-7FLDPOS: -8.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-9POSREP: +13.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
5050
PWR
6060
SPD
5555
EYE
3730
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2026

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2021
Service   3.738 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-1$3M+0.3$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.8M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Arb-3$2M
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201721 A2 teams 217199 45825 9408 01 .226.287.362.649 .136.258 184 .270 65 -9 -0 +0 -4 +6 -0.7
202125 AAA2 teams 382357 8215214 191234 00 .230.276.401.677 .171.306 325 .292 81 -8 +0 +1 +1 +11 0.5
202226 MLB2 teams 351320 759311 22987 01 .234.298.384.682 .150.302 286 .301 88 -5 -0 -4 +1 +10 0.2
202327 MLB2 teams 562512 12228134 3315312 11 .238.300.496.796 .258.267 276 .341 119 +12 -0 -6 +2 +16 2.5
202428 MLBMiami Marlins 579535 13624128 311509 11 .254.306.460.766 .206.299 265 .330 111 +7 -0 -7 +2 +16 1.9
202529 MLB2 teams 416393 9819119 15955 11 .249.286.448.734 .198.280 234 .315 99 -0 -0 -5 -7 +12 -0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202630 MLBTexas Rangers 105100 24405 3311 00 .240.269.430.699 .190.292 303 .301 88 -1 +0 -2 -2 +3 -0.3
ROS30 MLBTEX 386361 9116120 171005 10 .252.295.468.763 .216.290 264 .332 112 +5 +0 -4 -7 +11 0.5
TOT30 MLBTEX 491461 11520125 201316 10 .249.290.460.749 .210.292 274 .325 107 +4 +0 -7 -9 +14 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202731 MLBTEX 476446 11120124 21966 00 .249.292.460.751 .211.263 204 .328 109 +5 +0 -8 -8 +13 0.2
202832 MLBTEX 457428 10519123 20946 00 .245.289.456.744 .210.261 214 .323 105 +3 +0 -9 -8 +13 -0.1
202933 MLBTEX 427399 9717121 19916 00 .243.288.449.736 .206.259 214 .317 101 +0 +0 -9 -8 +12 -0.4
203034 MLBTEX 381356 8515118 17845 00 .239.283.438.721 .199.257 224 .310 95 -2 +0 -9 -7 +11 -0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 46344306 104719015217 223112473 45 .243.292.445.737 .202.277 245 .318 102 +9 -1 -59 -43 +131 3.8
/ 162G 650604 14727230 3115810 11 .243.291.444.735 .200.279 245 .318 102 +1 -0 -8 -6 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201721 AKannapolis Intimidators 200181 49924 13285 01 .271.337.409.746 .138.300 146 .333 113 +3 -0 +6 0.8
201721 ROKACL White Sox 1713 2101 123 00 .154.353.462.814 .308.100 126 .369 140 +1 +0 +0 0.1
202125 MLBChicago White Sox 4238 10311 4150 00 .263.333.474.807 .211.409 3610 .354 129 +1 +0 +1 +1 +1 0.5
202125 AAACharlotte Knights 340310 8516218 24914 00 .274.334.513.847 .239.330 277 .368 140 +15 +0 +10 2.6
202226 MLBChicago White Sox 183168 42918 10563 00 .250.304.458.762 .208.324 315 .332 112 +2 +0 -4 +1 +5 0.5
202226 AAACharlotte Knights 168146 37025 18344 01 .253.351.384.735 .130.299 2011 .335 115 +3 -0 +5 0.7
202327 MLBMiami Marlins 540492 12328134 3214912 11 .250.312.518.830 .268.284 286 .359 133 +20 -0 -6 +2 +15 3.2
202327 AAACharlotte Knights 2220 4100 130 00 .200.238.250.488 .050.222 145 .213 22 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202428 MLBMiami Marlins 579535 13423129 311509 11 .250.303.460.762 .209.292 265 .333 113 +9 -0 -7 +2 +16 2.1
202529 MLBTexas Rangers 376356 8415116 12935 11 .236.271.419.689 .183.272 253 .301 89 -5 -0 -5 -7 +11 -0.7
202529 AAARound Rock Express 4036 16403 420 00 .444.500.8061.306 .361.419 510 .558 285 +8 +0 +1 1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 17201589 39378588 8946329 33 .247.299.469.768 .222.290 275 .335 114 +28 -1 -20 -1 +49 5.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jake Burger (OGILVIE) 30 50 60 55 30 .249/.293/.463 .213.264 252 20% 5% 112 +2.1
Frank Schwindel
2022 · MLB
30 48→52 58→60 44→30 44 .259/.298/.461 .202.278 274 19% 5% 112 +2.6 .242/.287/.414 .172.275 215 20% 6% 95 +1.4 .216/.261/.349.134.24717021%6%63-0.5
Evan Gattis
2017 · MLB
30 45→47 62→70 45→30 45 .248/.302/.474 .225.273 312 23% 6% 118 +3.0 .247/.303/.461 .214.270 293 21% 7% 115 +2.7 .240/.297/.446.207.25728119%7%104+1.3
Randal Grichuk
2021 · MLB
29 45→51 60→70 44→45 43 .245/.294/.464 .219.281 294 25% 6% 111 +2.5 .244/.289/.415 .171.284 223 22% 5% 95 +1.4 .251/.306/.434.183.28520120%6%103+1.2
Andy Phillips
2006 · MLB
29 45→55 59→55 49→40 45 .247/.298/.450 .203.277 286 23% 6% 109 +2.4 .252/.301/.410 .158.289 196 19% 6% 99 +1.7 .267/.318/.395.127.29815315%6%100+1.0
Jake Fox
2011 · MLB
29 47→54 59→65 47→45 44 .253/.312/.469 .216.285 275 22% 6% 120 +3.1 .224/.281/.382 .158.262 183 22% 5% 84 +0.6 .230/.287/.412.182.25423020%5%93+0.8
Adam Duvall
2018 · MLB
29 43→46 60→70 45 42 .237/.290/.457 .220.279 286 26% 6% 108 +2.3 .228/.293/.461 .233.263 314 27% 7% 110 +2.4 .225/.286/.502.277.24143329%6%116+2.1
Mark Trumbo
2017 · MLB
31 46→51 63→65 44→45 46 .256/.311/.486 .230.290 333 25% 7% 124 +3.4 .247/.302/.441 .194.291 273 25% 7% 108 +2.3 .242/.296/.407.165.28823125%7%94+1.0
C.J. Cron
2020 · MLB
30 46→53 61→65 41→40 44 .252/.315/.474 .221.285 303 24% 6% 123 +3.3 .252/.328/.467 .215.291 283 23% 8% 126 +3.5 .245/.319/.429.184.29123024%8%108+1.8
Shelley Duncan
2010 · MLB
30 41→43 59→60 47→45 49 .229/.298/.435 .206.255 285 24% 8% 105 +2.1 .226/.299/.408 .182.264 234 24% 9% 98 +1.6 .218/.298/.394.177.25223224%9%90+0.6
Hunter Renfroe
2022 · MLB
30 41→46 65→70 45 48 .237/.303/.481 .244.263 345 26% 8% 120 +3.1 .240/.303/.441 .201.273 263 23% 8% 108 +2.3 .232/.298/.415.183.26424122%8%94+1.1
Micah Hoffpauir
2010 · MLB
30 48→46 57→60 50→40 45 .255/.298/.456 .201.274 256 18% 6% 111 +2.5 .232/.289/.419 .187.258 225 20% 7% 97 +1.5 .221/.283/.411.191.24123120%7%91+1.0
Joey Meneses
2023 · MLB
31 51→56 56→60 47→40 42 .263/.304/.452 .189.311 243 24% 5% 112 +2.6 .252/.299/.394 .142.301 153 21% 6% 94 +1.3 .239/.290/.363.124.28412120%6%79+0.3
Eddie Rosario
2022 · MLB
30 48→55 59→60 49→50 48 .255/.298/.456 .201.257 289 15% 6% 111 +2.5 .228/.278/.388 .160.265 199 22% 6% 84 +0.6 .221/.269/.388.167.261211124%6%79+0.2
Aderlin Rodríguez
2022 · AAA
30 45→49 58→60 45→30 39 .241/.289/.446 .205.297 274 29% 5% 105 +2.1 .229/.286/.409 .180.297 236 30% 6% 94 +1.3 .195/.263/.368.173.23925030%5%75-0.0
Seth Brown
2022 · MLB
30 41→49 62→65 51→50 42 .228/.284/.457 .229.279 309 30% 7% 105 +2.1 .236/.300/.445 .209.283 2810 27% 8% 108 +2.3 .238/.300/.429.191.28826827%8%101+1.4
Stephen Piscotty
2021 · MLB
30 49→54 55→60 51→45 46 .255/.314/.440 .185.294 246 22% 7% 113 +2.6 .229/.288/.375 .146.290 187 27% 7% 85 +0.7 .210/.273/.343.133.26417327%7%67-0.2
Jesús Aguilar
2019 · MLB
29 46→50 60 46→40 48 .248/.316/.462 .214.290 292 26% 8% 120 +3.1 .255/.334/.452 .197.295 262 22% 10% 124 +3.4 .249/.330/.435.185.27725020%10%115+1.7
Scott Hairston
2009 · MLB
29 47→51 58→60 50 49 .249/.314/.455 .206.282 256 22% 8% 117 +2.9 .244/.305/.429 .185.276 2211 20% 7% 106 +2.2 .238/.299/.443.205.264261021%7%103+0.9
Jose Leon
2007 · MLB
30 47 55 49→30 41 .249/.291/.431 .182.296 255 26% 5% 101 +1.8 .258/.308/.424 .166.304 215 22% 6% 106 +2.2 .262/.314/.418.156.31220122%6%102+0.7
Christian Walker
2020 · MLB
29 45→52 58→65 50→45 47 .240/.310/.442 .202.292 266 27% 8% 112 +2.6 .250/.323/.439 .189.300 235 24% 9% 116 +2.8 .244/.329/.472.228.26331521%10%122+3.4