Brandon Marsh — OGILVIE

Brandon MarshCF Philadelphia Phillies

Age 28 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB HR +11%H +4% Svc 4.453 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 2.4 · 2026

wRC+†vL 60120vR 136

AVG/OBP/SLG.253 / .331 / .418

PA463

HR14

SB12

K%29

BB%10

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

50→50

SPD

55→55

EYE

54↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2021

Service 4.453 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$5M	+2.4	$19M	+$14M
2027	Arb-3	$12M	+2.4	$20M	+$7M
Totals		$18M		$39M	+$21M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	Orem Owlz	192	181	47	9	3	3	5	50	5	10	2	.260	.298	.392	.691	.133	.341	26	3	.295	84	-3	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2018	20	A+	2 teams	580	527	112	19	5	9	50	205	1	14	4	.213	.282	.319	.601	.106	.327	35	9	.268	63	-24	+1	+0	+2	+16	-0.4
2019	21	AA	3 teams	507	467	103	20	2	7	34	159	3	23	7	.221	.278	.317	.595	.096	.316	31	7	.265	61	-23	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.5
2021	23	MLB	3 teams	388	351	83	17	5	5	33	133	2	8	1	.236	.306	.356	.662	.120	.364	34	9	.295	84	-7	+1	+1	+1	+11	0.7
2022	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	461	424	102	16	4	11	28	158	3	10	4	.241	.292	.375	.667	.134	.353	34	6	.287	78	-12	+0	+3	-5	+13	0.0
2023	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	472	404	111	25	6	11	59	144	4	10	2	.275	.373	.448	.821	.173	.395	31	12	.358	132	+17	+1	+3	+2	+13	3.7
2024	26	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	476	418	105	17	4	15	50	154	2	19	3	.251	.334	.419	.753	.167	.354	32	11	.320	103	+2	+3	-1	-5	+13	1.2
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	450	401	109	26	2	11	41	120	0	9	1	.272	.339	.429	.768	.157	.356	27	9	.329	110	+5	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	85	80	24	4	0	4	4	18	0	2	0	.300	.333	.500	.833	.200	.339	21	5	.358	132	+3	+0	-2	-1	+2	0.3
ROS	28	MLB	PHI	378	340	89	17	2	12	34	105	1	10	2	.262	.331	.429	.760	.168	.342	28	9	.339	118	+8	+1	-0	+1	+11	2.1
TOT	28	MLB	PHI	463	420	113	21	2	16	38	123	1	12	2	.269	.331	.443	.774	.174	.342	27	8	.342	120	+11	+2	-2	+0	+13	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	PHI	451	406	106	20	3	14	41	109	1	11	2	.261	.330	.429	.759	.167	.321	24	9	.337	116	+8	+1	-2	+2	+13	2.3
2028	30	MLB	PHI	440	396	103	19	3	14	40	108	1	10	2	.260	.330	.429	.759	.169	.320	25	9	.334	114	+7	+1	-2	+2	+12	2.0
2029	31	MLB	PHI	425	382	98	18	3	13	39	106	1	8	1	.257	.327	.421	.748	.165	.319	25	9	.330	111	+5	+1	-3	+2	+12	1.7
2030	32	MLB	PHI	406	365	92	17	2	12	37	104	1	6	0	.252	.323	.408	.731	.156	.317	26	9	.325	107	+3	+1	-4	+1	+12	1.4
2031	33	MLB	PHI	376	338	84	16	2	10	34	98	1	4	0	.249	.319	.396	.715	.148	.316	26	9	.320	103	+1	+1	-4	+1	+11	1.0
2032	34	MLB	PHI	331	297	72	13	2	9	30	89	1	3	0	.242	.314	.391	.705	.148	.314	27	9	.313	98	-1	+1	-5	+1	+9	0.5
2033	35	MLB	PHI	278	250	60	11	2	7	25	78	1	2	0	.240	.312	.384	.696	.144	.312	28	9	.305	91	-3	+0	-6	+1	+8	0.1
2034	36	MLB	PHI	221	200	45	8	1	5	19	64	0	1	0	.225	.292	.350	.642	.125	.310	29	9	.296	84	-4	+0	-6	+1	+6	-0.3
2035	37	MLB	PHI	159	144	32	6	1	3	14	48	0	0	0	.222	.291	.340	.631	.118	.306	30	9	.285	77	-4	+0	-7	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6991	6291	1553	294	52	171	613	2032	28	158	31	.247	.317	.392	.708	.145	.335	29	9	.312	97	-25	+19	-34	+12	+198	17.3
/ 162G	—			650	585	144	27	5	16	57	189	3	15	3	.246	.317	.391	.708	.145	.333	29	9	.312	97	-2	+2	-3	+1	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	Orem Owlz	192	177	62	13	5	4	9	35	5	10	2	.350	.398	.548	.946	.198	.417	18	5	.413	174	+16	+1	—	—	+5	2.3
2018	20	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	426	371	95	15	6	7	52	118	1	10	4	.256	.348	.385	.734	.129	.356	28	12	.331	112	+6	+0	—	—	+12	1.8
2018	20	A	Burlington Bees	154	132	39	12	1	3	21	40	0	4	0	.295	.392	.470	.862	.174	.400	26	14	.381	150	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2019	21	AA	Mobile BayBears	412	360	108	21	2	7	47	92	3	18	5	.300	.385	.428	.813	.128	.384	22	11	.365	137	+17	+2	—	—	+12	3.1
2019	21	ROK	AZL Angels	20	20	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	.050	.050	.050	.100	.000	.077	35	0	.045	-107	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2019	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	75	67	22	5	1	2	7	15	0	4	2	.328	.392	.522	.914	.194	.392	20	9	.397	162	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	23	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	260	236	60	12	3	2	20	91	2	6	1	.254	.318	.356	.674	.102	.403	35	8	.303	90	-3	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.7
2021	23	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	110	94	24	5	3	3	16	29	0	2	0	.255	.364	.468	.832	.213	.339	26	15	.368	139	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	23	ROK	ACL Angels	18	14	7	1	1	1	4	3	0	0	0	.500	.611	.929	1.540	.429	.600	17	22	.633	342	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	461	424	104	18	4	11	28	158	3	10	4	.245	.297	.384	.681	.139	.360	34	6	.300	88	-6	+0	+3	-5	+13	0.6
2023	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	472	404	112	25	6	12	59	144	4	10	2	.277	.375	.458	.833	.181	.397	31	12	.367	139	+21	+1	+3	+2	+13	4.1
2024	26	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	476	418	104	17	3	16	50	154	2	19	3	.249	.332	.419	.751	.170	.348	32	11	.332	112	+6	+3	-1	-5	+13	1.7
2025	27	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	425	379	106	25	2	11	38	110	0	7	1	.280	.344	.443	.788	.164	.363	26	9	.344	122	+10	+1	-1	+2	+12	2.5
2025	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	25	20	6	0	0	1	4	8	0	2	0	.300	.417	.450	.867	.150	.417	32	16	.376	146	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2094	1861	486	97	18	52	195	657	11	52	11	.261	.335	.416	.751	.155	.371	31	9	.332	112	+28	+6	+6	-5	+59	9.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Marsh (OGILVIE)	28	50	50	55	55	.261/.331/.431	.170	.322	15	13	24%	9%	118	+2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Michael Saunders 2015 · MLB	28	50→52	52→55	51→55	52	.252/.327/.427	.175	.309	18	15	24%	10%	115	+2.7	.239/.316/.405	.166	.305	18	6	26%	10%	105	+2.1	.215/.287/.378	.162	.268	19	2	26%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Jake Fraley 2023 · MLB	28	47→46	53→55	51→55	56	.241/.340/.412	.171	.300	22	16	26%	12%	117	+2.9	.252/.329/.404	.152	.299	17	23	21%	10%	109	+2.4	.253/.327/.391	.138	.299	15	27	19%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Gregory Polanco 2020 · MLB	28	48→55	55→60	53→55	52	.246/.319/.438	.192	.285	22	12	22%	9%	114	+2.7	.221/.292/.402	.181	.278	23	16	28%	9%	94	+1.3	.201/.272/.373	.171	.249	24	19	29%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Josh Rojas 2022 · MLB	28	51→55	47→50	50→55	52	.249/.323/.394	.145	.309	14	16	23%	10%	104	+2.0	.250/.323/.369	.119	.314	11	18	22%	10%	97	+1.5	.242/.317/.350	.108	.301	10	20	22%	9%	86	+0.6
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2022 · MLB	28	45→54	53→55	48→45	53	.232/.318/.404	.172	.266	20	9	22%	10%	105	+2.1	.241/.339/.409	.168	.280	20	5	21%	12%	115	+2.8	.244/.359/.388	.144	.287	17	2	20%	14%	115	+1.9
✕Rob Mackowiak 2004 · MLB	28	51→57	51→55	52→50	48	.254/.327/.423	.169	.321	19	13	26%	8%	113	+2.6	.257/.329/.409	.152	.311	16	12	22%	9%	111	+2.5	.262/.335/.399	.137	.315	14	11	20%	9%	105	+1.5
●David Murphy 2011 · MLB	29	54→60	50→55	51→50	53	.270/.335/.433	.163	.305	17	13	18%	9%	119	+3.1	.270/.335/.414	.144	.300	15	12	15%	9%	114	+2.7	.260/.328/.412	.152	.282	15	5	13%	9%	104	+1.6
●Mike Tauchman 2020 · MLB	29	51→59	51→55	51→55	50	.254/.321/.426	.172	.302	17	14	22%	9%	111	+2.5	.231/.315/.375	.144	.300	14	14	26%	10%	96	+1.5	.248/.354/.375	.127	.310	13	6	22%	13%	110	+1.7
●Todd Hollandsworth 2001 · MLB	28	51→56	55	50	51	.264/.329/.444	.180	.303	23	19	21%	9%	120	+3.1	.280/.339/.471	.191	.328	21	15	20%	8%	131	+3.9	.284/.343/.475	.191	.337	18	11	20%	8%	125	+1.6
✕Nate McLouth 2010 · MLB	28	51→55	55→60	55→60	57	.262/.349/.458	.196	.283	21	21	16%	10%	131	+3.9	.229/.319/.380	.151	.256	17	16	17%	11%	100	+1.7	.237/.317/.373	.136	.267	13	21	16%	10%	90	+0.8
●Brian Goodwin 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	51→60	50	44	.235/.293/.400	.165	.301	19	13	28%	7%	93	+1.3	.238/.309/.418	.180	.311	21	11	29%	9%	105	+2.1	.230/.307/.402	.172	.298	19	9	28%	10%	95	+0.8
●Matt Joyce 2013 · MLB	28	51→56	54→60	48→50	56	.259/.347/.452	.193	.304	21	9	22%	11%	129	+3.7	.244/.335/.410	.166	.289	18	7	21%	12%	114	+2.7	.231/.347/.434	.202	.261	25	3	21%	15%	118	+1.9
✕Brad Miller 2018 · MLB	28	46→56	53→60	48→50	53	.236/.320/.415	.179	.286	20	9	24%	11%	108	+2.3	.236/.317/.423	.187	.305	22	6	28%	10%	109	+2.4	.231/.323/.461	.230	.278	31	5	28%	11%	117	+1.4
●Eric Hinske 2005 · MLB	27	51→55	50→60	49→50	55	.253/.330/.419	.166	.292	16	12	19%	10%	114	+2.7	.253/.329/.423	.170	.305	18	9	22%	10%	115	+2.7	.247/.338/.452	.205	.285	24	7	22%	11%	119	+1.7
●Randy Arozarena 2023 · MLB	28	54→56	54→55	52→55	47	.269/.341/.461	.192	.339	21	24	26%	8%	130	+3.8	.248/.343/.423	.175	.311	20	21	25%	10%	121	+3.2	.235/.343/.407	.173	.295	20	22	26%	11%	114	+3.0
●Kelly Johnson 2010 · MLB	28	53→58	49→55	51→50	55	.261/.335/.429	.168	.300	15	11	18%	10%	118	+3.0	.247/.327/.421	.174	.301	18	13	23%	10%	112	+2.6	.237/.324/.405	.168	.298	19	14	25%	11%	102	+1.9
✕Austin Slater 2021 · MLB	28	54→61	48→50	54→55	51	.257/.346/.410	.153	.344	15	16	28%	10%	118	+3.0	.252/.340/.417	.165	.332	19	20	27%	10%	118	+3.0	.257/.345/.411	.154	.344	18	21	28%	10%	113	+1.3
●Kole Calhoun 2015 · MLB	27	53→56	52→60	49→50	49	.268/.325/.443	.174	.310	18	10	20%	8%	118	+3.0	.262/.326/.427	.165	.309	19	5	21%	8%	114	+2.7	.253/.328/.408	.155	.299	18	3	21%	9%	106	+2.4
✕Gabe Gross 2008 · MLB	28	51→55	49→55	52→50	55	.254/.334/.415	.160	.305	15	10	21%	10%	114	+2.7	.239/.327/.395	.156	.286	16	9	21%	11%	106	+2.2	.230/.318/.361	.131	.278	12	9	21%	11%	90	+0.6
✕Tyler Neslony 2023 · AAA	29	52→48	51→55	50→55	44	.259/.313/.435	.176	.331	17	16	26%	7%	111	+2.5	.225/.282/.358	.133	.303	14	19	29%	7%	78	+0.2	.198/.258/.304	.106	.270	12	22	30%	7%	51	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)