Brandon Marsh — OGILVIE

Brandon MarshCF Philadelphia Phillies

Age 28 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 4.453 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION363 act + 242 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 60114vR 136

AVG/OBP/SLG.271 / .329 / .462

PA242

HR9

SB6

K%28

BB%7

BABIP349

ISO190

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

867.3%

xwOBA

660.327

POWER50

Barrel%

579.3

Avg EV

7690.9

Bat Spd

4871.1

EYE55

Chase%

9021.0%

SPEED55

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 972 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

178

794

—

wRC+

133

▶▶R

wOBA

258

359

▶▶R

ISO

091

190

▶▶R

BABIP

303

363

▶▶R

36.5%

26.5%

▶▶R

BB%

9.5%

9.2%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2021

Service 4.453 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	+1.2	$10M	+$8M
2027	Arb-3	$14M	+3.2	$24M	+$11M
Totals		$16M		$34M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	192	181	47	9	3	3	5	50	5	10	2	260	298	392	691	133	341	26	3	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	192	177	62	13	5	4	9	35	5	10	2	350	398	548	946	198	417	18	5	413	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	2 teams	—	580	527	113	17	6	9	50	203	1	14	4	214	284	321	604	106	328	35	9	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	2 teams	—	580	503	134	27	7	10	73	158	1	14	4	266	360	408	767	141	368	27	13	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	3 teams	—	507	467	96	18	2	6	34	165	3	23	7	206	264	291	555	86	301	33	7	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	3 teams	—	507	447	131	26	3	9	54	114	3	23	7	293	373	425	798	132	373	22	11	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	MLB	3 teams	—	388	353	87	17	6	6	31	131	2	8	1	246	311	380	690	133	373	34	8	306	92	-3	+1	+1	+1	+11	1.1
2021	23	MLB	3 teams	—	388	344	91	18	7	6	40	123	2	8	1	265	345	410	754	145	394	32	10	337	116	+7	+1	+1	+1	+11	2.1
2022	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	461	424	102	17	4	11	28	158	3	10	4	241	292	377	670	137	353	34	6	291	81	-10	+0	+3	-5	+13	0.2
2022	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	461	424	104	18	4	11	28	158	3	10	4	245	297	384	681	139	360	34	6	300	88	-6	+0	+3	-5	+13	0.6
2023	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	472	404	110	24	6	12	59	144	4	10	2	272	370	450	821	178	389	31	12	356	130	+16	+1	+4	+2	+13	3.7
2023	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	472	404	112	25	6	12	59	144	4	10	2	277	375	458	833	181	397	31	12	367	139	+21	+1	+4	+2	+13	4.1
2024	26	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	476	418	102	17	3	15	50	154	2	19	3	244	328	407	734	163	343	32	11	323	106	+3	+3	-1	-5	+13	1.4
2024	26	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	476	418	104	17	3	16	50	154	2	19	3	249	332	419	751	170	348	32	11	332	112	+6	+3	-1	-5	+13	1.7
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	450	402	110	24	2	12	40	120	0	9	1	274	339	433	772	159	356	27	9	334	114	+7	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.2
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	450	399	112	25	2	12	42	118	0	9	1	281	348	444	792	163	365	26	9	346	123	+12	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	PHI	—	363	339	102	15	2	15	19	96	2	8	3	301	342	490	831	189	377	26	5	355	130	+12	+0	-2	-4	+10	1.7
YTD	28	MLB	PHI	—	363	339	102	15	2	15	19	96	2	8	3	301	342	490	831	189	377	26	5	363	136	+15	+0	-2	-4	+10	2.0
ROS	28	MLB	PHI	100%	242	221	60	11	2	9	18	67	1	6	2	271	329	462	791	190	345	28	7	343	121	+6	+0	-1	+1	+7	1.3
ROS	28	MLB	PHI	100%	242	221	60	11	2	9	18	67	1	6	2	271	329	462	791	190	348	28	7	343	120	+6	+0	-1	+1	+7	1.3
FULL	28	MLB	PHI	—	605	560	162	26	4	24	37	163	3	14	5	289	337	479	815	189	366	27	6	350	126	+18	+1	-3	-3	+17	3.0
TOT	28	MLB	PHI	—	605	560	162	26	4	24	37	163	3	14	5	289	337	479	815	189	366	27	6	350	126	+18	+1	-3	-3	+17	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	PHI	100%	593	541	146	27	5	21	44	165	3	14	4	270	328	455	783	185	344	28	7	341	119	+13	+1	-4	+2	+17	3.0
2028	30	MLB	PHI	100%	581	530	141	26	4	20	43	163	3	12	3	266	325	443	768	177	343	28	7	339	117	+11	+1	-4	+2	+16	2.7
2029	31	MLB	PHI	100%	569	520	136	25	4	19	42	161	2	10	3	262	319	435	754	173	341	28	7	334	114	+9	+1	-5	+2	+16	2.4
2030	32	MLB	PHI	100%	558	510	132	24	4	18	41	160	2	8	2	259	316	427	744	169	337	29	7	329	110	+6	+1	-6	+2	+16	1.9
2031	33	MLB	PHI	100%	481	441	110	19	3	15	35	141	2	6	2	249	308	408	716	159	332	29	7	321	104	+2	+0	-6	+2	+14	1.2
2032	34	MLB	PHI	100%	407	373	91	15	3	12	30	121	1	3	1	244	302	397	699	153	325	30	7	311	96	-2	+0	-6	+1	+12	0.5
2027	29	MLB	PHI	100%	593	541	146	27	5	21	44	165	3	14	4	270	328	455	783	185	347	28	7	341	119	+13	+1	-4	+2	+17	3.0
2028	30	MLB	PHI	100%	581	530	142	26	4	21	43	163	3	12	3	268	326	451	777	183	346	28	7	338	117	+11	+1	-4	+2	+16	2.7
2029	31	MLB	PHI	100%	569	520	138	25	4	20	42	161	2	10	3	265	323	444	767	179	344	28	7	334	114	+9	+1	-5	+2	+16	2.3
2030	32	MLB	PHI	100%	558	510	133	24	4	19	41	160	2	8	2	261	318	435	754	175	340	29	7	328	109	+6	+1	-6	+2	+16	1.9
2031	33	MLB	PHI	100%	481	441	112	20	3	16	35	141	2	6	2	254	312	422	733	168	335	29	7	321	104	+2	+0	-6	+2	+14	1.2
2032	34	MLB	PHI	100%	407	373	92	15	3	13	30	121	1	3	1	247	304	408	712	161	328	30	7	311	96	-2	+0	-6	+1	+12	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5525	4997	1309	245	43	171	448	1635	25	111	28	262	326	431	757	169	353	30	8	331	112	+73	+11	-26	+7	+157	22.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	154	29	5	20	53	192	3	13	3	262	326	430	756	168	353	30	8	331	112	+9	+1	-3	+1	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	6957	6312	1583	290	57	188	550	2103	34	162	41	251	314	404	718	153	343	30	8	317	100	+4	+16	-26	+11	+197	20.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	148	27	5	18	51	196	3	15	4	251	314	405	719	154	342	30	8	317	100	+0	+1	-2	+1	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	192	177	62	13	5	4	9	35	5	10	2	350	398	548	946	198	417	18	5	413	174	+16	+1	—	—	+5	2.3
2018	20	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	426	371	95	15	6	7	52	118	1	10	4	256	348	385	734	129	356	28	12	331	112	+6	+0	—	—	+12	1.8
2018	20	A	Burlington Bees	—	154	132	39	12	1	3	21	40	0	4	0	295	392	470	862	174	400	26	14	381	150	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2019	21	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	412	360	108	21	2	7	47	92	3	18	5	300	385	428	813	128	384	22	11	365	137	+17	+2	—	—	+12	3.1
2019	21	ROK	AZL Angels	—	20	20	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	50	50	50	100		77	35	0	45	-107	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2019	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	75	67	22	5	1	2	7	15	0	4	2	328	392	522	914	194	392	20	9	397	162	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	23	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	260	236	60	12	3	2	20	91	2	6	1	254	318	356	674	102	403	35	8	303	90	-3	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.7
2021	23	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	110	94	24	5	3	3	16	29	0	2	0	255	364	468	832	213	339	26	15	368	139	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	23	ROK	ACL Angels	—	18	14	7	1	1	1	4	3	0	0	0	500	611	929	1.540	429	600	17	22	633	342	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	461	424	104	18	4	11	28	158	3	10	4	245	297	384	681	139	360	34	6	300	88	-6	+0	+3	-5	+13	0.6
2023	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	472	404	112	25	6	12	59	144	4	10	2	277	375	458	833	181	397	31	12	367	139	+21	+1	+4	+2	+13	4.1
2024	26	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	476	418	104	17	3	16	50	154	2	19	3	249	332	419	751	170	348	32	11	332	112	+6	+3	-1	-5	+13	1.7
2025	27	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	425	379	106	25	2	11	38	110	0	7	1	280	344	443	788	164	363	26	9	344	122	+10	+1	-1	+2	+12	2.5
2025	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	25	20	6	0	0	1	4	8	0	2	0	300	417	450	867	150	417	32	16	376	146	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2094	1861	486	97	18	52	195	657	11	52	11	261	335	416	751	155	371	31	9	332	112	+28	+6	+6	-5	+59	9.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Vernon Wellslast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,118 PA	13	7,118	269	108	270	319	461	+0	-19	32.9	31.8
	/162	664	25	10	270	319	461	+0.0	-1.8	3.1	pk7: 31
#2Aaron Hilllast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,217 PA	13	6,217	162	74	266	323	417	+22	+25	27.7	26.1
	/162	664	17	8	266	323	417	+2.4	+2.6	3.0	pk7: 25
#3Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	6,237	193	130	263	323	432	+10	-0	29.0	24.7
	/162	664	21	14	263	323	432	+1.0	-0.0	3.1	pk7: 21
#4AJ Pollocklast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,106 PA	11	4,106	143	118	273	328	464	-4	+9	23.1	22.8
	/162	664	23	19	273	328	464	-0.6	+1.4	3.7	pk7: 23
#5Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#6Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Marsh (OGILVIE)	28	50	50	55	55	289/337/479	189	366	24	14	27%	6%	126	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Luke Raley 2023 · MLB	28	50→48	54→60	49→50	40	247/325/419	172	333	22	11	31%	6%	113	+2.6	244/325/449	205	319	26	14	31%	7%	121	+3.2	237/324/448	211	310	26	15	31%	7%	118	+1.9
✕Brian Goodwin 2020 · MLB	29	49→53	55→60	48→50	46	252/317/448	197	322	22	10	28%	8%	116	+2.8	232/308/400	168	302	19	10	28%	10%	100	+1.7	208/294/357	149	269	17	9	28%	10%	80	+0.2
●Michael Saunders 2015 · MLB	28	51→52	51→55	50→55	53	254/331/427	173	313	17	14	24%	10%	115	+2.8	243/318/415	172	311	18	6	26%	10%	108	+2.3	218/289/383	165	274	18	2	27%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Mark Mathias 2023 · MLB	28	52→47	54→50	54→50	46	259/331/436	177	346	22	21	30%	8%	118	+3.0	248/329/373	125	332	13	16	27%	10%	101	+1.8	251/346/325	75	342	6	14	25%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Niko Goodrum 2020 · MLB	28	50→54	52→55	51→55	46	248/312/424	176	325	18	14	28%	8%	107	+2.2	226/303/379	153	326	16	18	33%	10%	92	+1.2	235/336/360	125	330	13	14	29%	13%	98	+0.6
✕Rob Mackowiak 2004 · MLB	28	51→57	52→55	53→50	48	254/328/425	171	323	19	14	26%	8%	115	+2.7	259/330/408	149	313	15	12	21%	9%	110	+2.4	262/335/399	137	315	14	11	20%	9%	105	+1.5
✕Jake Fraley 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	54→60	51→55	56	242/340/415	172	300	23	15	26%	12%	117	+2.9	252/328/403	151	297	17	23	20%	9%	108	+2.3	253/326/393	140	296	15	27	19%	9%	102	+1.0
●Chris Taylor 2019 · MLB	28	55→62	53→60	52→55	48	268/337/459	191	348	18	13	27%	9%	127	+3.6	267/344/465	198	351	20	11	28%	10%	131	+3.9	266/351/466	200	350	21	12	28%	10%	130	+2.6
✕Gregory Polanco 2020 · MLB	28	48→55	55→60	53→55	51	248/321/440	193	293	21	12	23%	10%	115	+2.8	220/290/396	176	280	22	16	29%	9%	92	+1.2	201/272/370	169	252	22	19	29%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jake Cave 2021 · MLB	28	51→57	52→55	47→50	40	253/312/428	175	343	20	6	31%	6%	109	+2.4	232/294/398	166	314	18	8	31%	7%	94	+1.3	228/293/406	178	297	20	8	29%	7%	92	+0.8
●Dansby Swanson 2022 · MLB	28	49→55	55	48→55	48	252/319/443	191	305	23	10	25%	8%	115	+2.8	256/322/427	171	319	21	13	25%	8%	112	+2.6	252/322/413	161	314	19	14	25%	9%	106	+2.3
✕Jarrett Parker 2017 · MLB	28	48→51	55	48→50	44	238/312/425	187	337	24	11	35%	9%	108	+2.3	225/302/389	164	321	19	7	33%	9%	95	+1.4	200/290/358	158	289	19	4	35%	11%	79	+0.2
●Todd Hollandsworth 2001 · MLB	28	51→56	55	50	51	265/329/445	180	304	23	20	21%	9%	120	+3.1	280/339/470	190	328	21	14	20%	8%	131	+3.9	284/343/475	191	337	18	11	20%	8%	125	+1.6
●Ian Desmond 2014 · MLB	28	55→61	52→60	52→55	45	276/324/450	174	327	19	20	22%	6%	119	+3.1	259/313/426	167	329	20	18	26%	7%	108	+2.3	255/311/415	160	326	20	18	27%	7%	102	+2.1
●Randy Arozarena 2023 · MLB	28	53→57	54→55	52→55	47	264/336/457	193	330	21	24	26%	8%	126	+3.5	246/343/429	183	306	21	21	25%	10%	122	+3.3	238/346/421	183	296	22	22	26%	11%	119	+3.4
✕Juan Camilo 2006 · AAA	30	50	53→55	52→55	49	249/322/419	170	324	21	17	29%	10%	111	+2.5	255/307/387	132	308	13	15	21%	7%	95	+1.4	291/330/395	104	333	7	16	14%	6%	109	+0.9
●Ryan Church 2007 · MLB	28	48→55	53→55	50→45	49	245/319/419	175	301	20	11	25%	9%	109	+2.4	263/336/431	168	316	17	7	21%	9%	119	+3.1	271/344/428	157	322	14	5	19%	9%	114	+1.9
✕Carlos González 2014 · MLB	28	50→56	55→60	57→55	51	257/328/448	191	302	22	23	23%	9%	120	+3.1	238/299/426	188	277	24	9	23%	8%	102	+1.9	235/301/402	167	272	20	2	21%	8%	91	+1.1
✕Jackie Bradley Jr. 2018 · MLB	28	49→54	53→55	50	51	250/328/432	182	296	20	9	23%	9%	116	+2.8	232/315/405	173	289	19	13	25%	9%	105	+2.1	226/314/400	173	284	18	14	26%	9%	98	+1.2
✕Cory Spangenberg 2019 · MLB	28	52→57	48→50	53→55	43	251/307/391	141	341	15	13	30%	7%	97	+1.5	232/287/368	136	351	14	20	35%	6%	82	+0.5	202/250/320	117	323	12	23	39%	5%	50	-1.4