Matt Kroon
3B Lehigh Valley IronPigs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 493 | .320/.403/.502 | 12 | 31 | 113 | — | .284/.346/.436 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAAPHI | 280 | .251/.326/.441 | 11 | 15 | 71 | — | .216/.275/.357 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA/A+PHI | 98 | .217/.330/.337 | 2 | 9 | 43 | — | .185/.268/.288 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBPHI | 10 | .233/.302/.377 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 31 | MLBPHI | 27 | .229/.298/.368 | 1 | 1 | 86 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | — | 19 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 562 | 632 | 625 | 1.257 | 62 | 750 | 21 | 16 | 559 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 251 | 222 | 50 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 68 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 225 | 306 | 369 | 676 | 144 | 303 | 27 | 7 | 302 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 152 | 138 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 268 | 331 | 348 | 679 | 80 | 391 | 30 | 8 | 308 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 181 | 163 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 301 | 363 | 466 | 829 | 166 | 386 | 25 | 7 | 364 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 353 | 631 | 118 | 333 | 28 | 6 | 282 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 312 | 231 | 543 | 77 | 182 | 12 | 12 | 270 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 76 | 63 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 381 | 473 | 698 | 1.171 | 317 | 457 | 20 | 14 | 487 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 344 | 298 | 95 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 66 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 319 | 396 | 493 | 889 | 174 | 375 | 19 | 10 | 385 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 73 | 61 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 262 | 366 | 344 | 710 | 82 | 366 | 29 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 280 | 247 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 70 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 251 | 326 | 441 | 767 | 190 | 304 | 25 | 8 | 336 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 69 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 232 | 368 | 321 | 689 | 89 | 293 | 22 | 16 | 320 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 29 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 241 | 370 | 612 | 185 | 267 | 38 | 3 | 272 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | — | 19 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 412 | 474 | 471 | 944 | 59 | 591 | 32 | 11 | 392 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 251 | 226 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 101 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 155 | 230 | 252 | 482 | 97 | 250 | 40 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 152 | 142 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 62 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 197 | 245 | 261 | 506 | 63 | 328 | 41 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 181 | 167 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 56 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 257 | 307 | 365 | 673 | 108 | 366 | 31 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 267 | 39 | 6 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 250 | 214 | 464 | 71 | 132 | 19 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 76 | 66 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 318 | 392 | 545 | 937 | 227 | 384 | 24 | 11 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 344 | 308 | 85 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 80 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 276 | 336 | 412 | 749 | 136 | 333 | 23 | 7 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 280 | 255 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 82 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 216 | 275 | 357 | 632 | 141 | 277 | 29 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 69 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 217 | 309 | 300 | 609 | 83 | 264 | 26 | 10 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 29 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 111 | 172 | 259 | 432 | 148 | 201 | 48 | 3 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | — | 19 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 412 | 474 | 471 | 944 | 59 | 636 | 32 | 11 | 392 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies West | — | 19 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 562 | 632 | 625 | 1.257 | 62 | 750 | 21 | 16 | 559 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 368 | 63 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 163 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 171 | 236 | 255 | 491 | 84 | 289 | 40 | 5 | 218 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 403 | 360 | 87 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 114 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 242 | 316 | 361 | 677 | 119 | 336 | 28 | 7 | 304 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 215 | 198 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 65 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 242 | 296 | 343 | 639 | 101 | 344 | 30 | 5 | 278 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 215 | 193 | 55 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 52 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 285 | 352 | 440 | 793 | 155 | 365 | 24 | 7 | 350 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 493 | 437 | 124 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 116 | 8 | 31 | 8 | 284 | 349 | 432 | 782 | 149 | 356 | 24 | 7 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 493 | 422 | 135 | 33 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 102 | 8 | 31 | 8 | 320 | 403 | 502 | 906 | 182 | 386 | 21 | 10 | 392 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 280 | 255 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 82 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 216 | 275 | 357 | 632 | 141 | 281 | 29 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 280 | 247 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 70 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 251 | 326 | 441 | 767 | 190 | 304 | 25 | 8 | 336 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 170 | 247 | 239 | 486 | 68 | 250 | 33 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 98 | 83 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 217 | 330 | 337 | 667 | 120 | 286 | 27 | 12 | 306 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | — | 19 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 412 | 474 | 471 | 944 | 59 | 591 | 32 | 11 | 392 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 369 | 63 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 163 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 171 | 236 | 255 | 490 | 84 | 279 | 40 | 5 | 218 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 215 | 198 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 65 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 242 | 296 | 343 | 639 | 101 | 340 | 30 | 5 | 278 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 493 | 446 | 124 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 116 | 8 | 31 | 8 | 278 | 349 | 424 | 773 | 146 | 342 | 24 | 7 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 280 | 257 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 82 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 214 | 275 | 354 | 629 | 140 | 277 | 29 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 169 | 247 | 236 | 483 | 67 | 245 | 33 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 280 | 257 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 82 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 214 | 275 | 354 | 629 | 140 | 277 | 29 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 169 | 247 | 236 | 483 | 67 | 245 | 33 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 10% | 200 | 180 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 231 | 301 | 370 | 671 | 139 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 10% | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 302 | 377 | 679 | 144 | 295 | 30 | 10 | 303 | 89 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | PHI | 27% | 97 | 89 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 228 | 297 | 362 | 658 | 134 | 292 | 27 | 7 | 295 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -3 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | PHI | 27% | 27 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 298 | 368 | 666 | 139 | 292 | 26 | 7 | 298 | 86 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 27 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 296 | 400 | 696 | 160 | 294 | 26 | 7 | 298 | 76 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 144 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 48 | 169 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 239 | 295 | 399 | 694 | 159 | 293 | 26 | 7 | 298 | 76 | -11 | +5 | -19 | +2 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1710 | 1547 | 353 | 70 | 11 | 30 | 108 | 518 | 31 | 89 | 26 | 228 | 292 | 346 | 638 | 118 | 317 | 30 | 6 | 281 | 76 | -3 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 134 | 27 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 197 | 12 | 34 | 10 | 228 | 292 | 344 | 635 | 116 | 318 | 30 | 6 | 281 | 76 | -10 | +2 | -9 | +2 | +14 | -0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 69 PAwOBA .318 → .259 (−58)K% 21.7% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.94% | ÷1.075 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 10.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 3.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 99, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .259; ISO .089 → .071; BABIP .293 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 29 PAwOBA .264 → .168 (−96)K% 37.9% → 49.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.93% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 49.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.45% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.940 | 1.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.940 | 2.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 10.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 8.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.940 | 4.95% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .264 → .168; ISO .185 → .116; BABIP .267 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 280 PAwOBA .329 → .273 (−56)K% 25.0% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.86% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.90% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 19.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.91% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 6.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.36% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .329 → .273; ISO .190 → .144; BABIP .304 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAReading Fightin Phils · 344 PAwOBA .384 → .326 (−59)K% 19.2% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.19% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.59% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.29% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 24.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 8.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.005 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 101, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .384 → .326; ISO .174 → .140; BABIP .375 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 76 PAwOBA .480 → .393 (−88)K% 19.7% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.74% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.47% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 22.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.58% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 10.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.105 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 3.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.27% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 123, 3B 121, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .480 → .393; ISO .317 → .247; BABIP .457 → .384. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAReading Fightin Phils · 181 PAwOBA .356 → .296 (−60)K% 24.9% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.86% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.18% | ÷0.989 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.66% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 29.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.993 | ×0.870 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×0.998 | 2.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.24% | ÷1.344 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.45% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 169, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .356 → .296; ISO .166 → .113; BABIP .386 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 18 PAwOBA .274 → .189 (−86)K% 27.8% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 37.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 3.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 15.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.182 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 11.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 95, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .189; ISO .118 → .071; BABIP .333 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Phillies · 16 PAwOBA .264 → .179 (−85)K% 12.5% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 4.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 7.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .264 → .179; ISO .077 → .054; BABIP .182 → .132. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .