Matt Kroon — OGILVIE

Matt Kroon3B Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .295 / .376

PA170

HR4

SB7

K%27

BB%7

ISO144

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	GCL Phillies West	—	19	17	7	1	0	0	2	6	0	4	1	412	474	471	944	59	636	32	11	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	GCL Phillies West	—	19	16	9	1	0	0	3	4	0	4	1	562	632	625	1.257	62	750	21	16	559	286	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	403	367	60	8	5	4	23	168	9	18	8	163	231	245	476	82	283	42	6	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	403	360	87	14	7	5	30	114	9	18	8	242	316	361	677	119	336	28	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	215	198	47	7	2	3	11	70	4	7	5	237	291	338	629	101	349	33	5	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	215	193	55	9	3	5	16	52	4	7	5	285	352	440	793	155	365	24	7	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	3 teams	—	493	436	122	30	4	11	37	121	8	31	8	280	347	443	790	163	352	25	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	3 teams	—	493	422	135	33	4	12	51	102	8	31	8	320	403	502	906	182	386	21	10	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	280	255	59	13	0	10	15	80	6	15	1	231	290	400	690	169	293	29	5	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	280	247	62	14	0	11	22	70	6	15	1	251	326	441	767	190	304	25	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	98	88	17	3	0	2	7	33	2	9	2	193	268	295	563	102	278	34	7	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	98	83	18	4	0	2	12	26	2	9	2	217	330	337	667	120	286	27	12	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	PHI	—	170	154	37	8	1	4	11	46	3	7	1	240	304	383	687	143	303	27	6	301	89	-2	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	PHI	33%	243	221	52	11	1	6	16	66	4	9	2	235	299	376	674	140	301	27	7	301	88	-3	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.4
2028	31	MLB	PHI	46%	245	222	52	11	1	6	17	66	4	8	2	234	300	374	674	140	298	27	7	298	86	-4	+1	-3	+1	+7	0.2
2027	30	MLB	PHI	33%	79	73	17	4	0	2	5	21	1	3	1	233	291	370	661	137	303	27	6	292	82	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.0
2028	31	MLB	PHI	46%	112	101	23	5	0	3	8	30	2	4	1	228	297	366	664	139	300	27	7	290	80	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	191	174	40	9	0	5	13	51	3	7	2	230	295	368	663	138	294	27	7	291	81	-4	+1	-2	+1	+5	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	136	31	0	17	44	174	10	24	7	230	294	368	662	139	295	27	7	291	81	-14	+2	-7	+2	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	2166	1958	453	92	14	46	139	656	40	108	30	231	296	363	659	132	319	30	6	287	77	-55	+10	-5	+8	+61	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	136	28	4	14	42	197	12	32	9	231	296	364	660	133	319	30	6	287	77	-17	+3	-1	+2	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	GCL Phillies West	—	19	16	9	1	0	0	3	4	0	4	1	562	632	625	1.257	62	750	21	16	559	286	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2019	22	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	251	222	50	8	6	4	18	68	8	10	4	225	306	369	676	144	303	27	7	302	89	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.4
2019	22	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	152	138	37	6	1	1	12	46	1	8	4	268	331	348	679	80	391	30	8	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2021	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	181	163	49	6	3	5	13	45	3	6	4	301	363	466	829	166	386	25	7	364	137	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.3
2021	24	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	18	17	4	2	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	235	278	353	631	118	333	28	6	282	74	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2021	24	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	16	13	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	1	154	312	231	543	77	182	12	12	270	65	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2023	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	76	63	24	7	2	3	11	15	0	4	2	381	473	698	1.171	317	457	20	14	487	231	+11	+0	—	—	+2	1.4
2023	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	344	298	95	24	2	8	33	66	5	22	6	319	396	493	889	174	375	19	10	385	153	+21	+2	—	—	+10	3.3
2023	26	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	73	61	16	2	0	1	7	21	3	5	0	262	366	344	710	82	366	29	10	322	105	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	280	247	62	14	0	11	22	70	6	15	1	251	326	441	767	190	304	25	8	336	115	+5	+3	—	—	+8	1.6
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	69	56	13	2	0	1	11	15	1	7	1	232	368	321	689	89	293	22	16	320	103	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	28	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	29	27	5	2	0	1	1	11	1	2	1	185	241	370	612	185	267	38	3	272	66	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	6	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	16	25	252	281	387	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	209	5	8	234	295	376	+1	+0	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	17	24	234	295	376	+2.4	+1.6	1.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Kroon (OGILVIE)	29	38	48	64	43	233/295/376	142	303	4	7	27%	7%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9
●Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	45→49	46→50	58→70	40	224/279/355	131	294	14	32	28%	6%	76	+0.0	255/314/393	138	332	15	63	26%	6%	100	+1.7	267/329/405	137	352	15	90	26%	6%	106	+1.1
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	44→54	48→50	55→60	41	225/287/363	138	301	17	29	31%	6%	82	+0.5	215/265/340	125	292	15	22	30%	5%	66	-0.6	205/251/321	116	277	14	23	31%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→49	48→50	55→60	46	219/294/353	134	297	16	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	236/305/381	145	323	17	28	30%	8%	94	+1.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2013 · AA	29	46→49	50→55	54→55	44	230/296/392	162	298	17	19	28%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/387	155	289	19	11	26%	6%	92	+1.2	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2021 · AAA	29	47→48	50→60	58→55	43	236/289/396	160	304	17	19	28%	7%	90	+1.0	239/288/445	206	329	25	10	34%	6%	103	+1.9	233/280/496	263	313	33	4	36%	6%	110	+1.0
✕Drew Stubbs 2014 · MLB	29	46→51	46→50	56→60	46	226/296/350	124	308	14	26	30%	9%	82	+0.5	229/299/368	139	326	15	24	32%	9%	87	+0.8	223/297/362	139	322	15	29	33%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	48→50	61→60	40	231/282/370	139	319	16	34	32%	6%	81	+0.4	198/264/334	136	314	15	23	39%	7%	64	-0.8	161/237/290	129	263	15	20	42%	8%	39	-1.2
✕Michael A. Taylor 2020 · MLB	29	46→53	48→55	55→60	41	226/279/375	149	319	14	25	33%	7%	80	+0.4	235/290/372	137	314	15	15	29%	7%	85	+0.7	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Tim Locastro 2021 · MLB	29	50→53	44→45	61→60	47	240/335/368	128	288	10	27	19%	6%	105	+2.1	210/291/332	122	257	12	24	23%	5%	76	+0.1	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43	45	57→55	47	207/296/332	126	302	13	28	33%	10%	78	+0.2	215/291/329	114	357	12	21	39%	9%	74	-0.1	187/265/256	69	364	8	20	46%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Hernán Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	51→55	50→55	55	43	260/295/410	150	298	18	21	20%	5%	96	+1.5	243/287/397	154	298	19	16	24%	6%	90	+1.0	239/283/364	126	302	16	24	26%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→48	47→50	57→50	46	230/294/372	142	295	13	11	26%	8%	86	+0.8	221/302/378	157	287	19	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	209/296/361	152	272	19	4	29%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Jonathan Davis 2021 · MLB	29	46→52	46→45	54→55	45	227/308/358	131	295	12	19	26%	7%	89	+1.0	216/308/331	115	293	11	23	28%	9%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Chris Rahl 2013 · AAA	29	52→56	46→50	58→55	36	252/290/386	135	339	13	24	29%	4%	88	+0.9	239/261/354	115	322	11	17	29%	3%	66	-0.6	236/249/340	104	317	10	15	29%	1%	55	-0.9
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	46→53	45	61→65	44	223/300/352	129	313	12	31	31%	8%	84	+0.6	206/300/330	124	345	11	25	39%	10%	79	+0.3	167/275/272	105	312	9	34	44%	11%	53	-0.4
✕John Andreoli 2018 · AAA	28	44→54	47→45	58→60	48	218/296/357	139	298	14	29	30%	9%	83	+0.6	218/297/340	122	317	11	19	32%	10%	79	+0.3	201/291/312	111	310	9	17	35%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Jason Repko 2010 · MLB	29	45→48	46→50	55	42	225/281/358	133	282	14	22	25%	6%	77	+0.1	224/283/344	120	285	13	19	25%	6%	74	-0.1	216/280/326	110	277	12	18	25%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Tyler Saladino 2017 · MLB	28	51→47	44→45	56→55	44	252/296/368	116	298	12	23	20%	5%	85	+0.7	219/282/335	116	282	12	16	26%	7%	72	-0.2	198/271/322	124	259	14	15	28%	8%	62	-0.5