Brayan Holguin

SS DSL LAD Mega

Age 20 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ROKDSL LAD Mega	64	.244/.460/.333	0	5	67	—	.160/.333/.220
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLB—	174	.210/.307/.288	1	4	73	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLB—	52	.213/.310/.299	0	1	77	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLB—	140	.217/.312/.308	1	3	80	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%92

BB%91

Speed86

wOBA76

wRC+65

K%63

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAidan Miller (age 20) · Luke Williams (age 20) · Jakson Reetz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+73

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .305 / .285

PA64

HR0

K%26

BB%10

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	64	45	11	2	1	0	15	12	3	5	2	244	460	333	794	89	324	19	23	376	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	64	50	8	1	1	0	10	15	3	5	2	160	333	220	553	60	214	23	16	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	64	50	8	1	1	0	10	15	3	5	2	160	333	220	553	60	222	23	16	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	64	45	11	2	1	0	15	12	3	5	2	244	460	333	794	89	324	19	23	376	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	64	51	8	1	1	0	10	15	3	5	2	157	333	216	549	59	214	23	16	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	64	51	8	1	1	0	10	15	3	5	2	157	333	216	549	59	214	23	16	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	174	151	32	5	2	1	18	46	3	4	1	210	307	288	595	78	290	26	10	276	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	152	132	29	5	2	1	16	39	3	3	1	213	310	299	608	85	291	26	11	282	77	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	48%	288	251	55	9	3	3	30	74	5	6	1	217	312	308	620	92	292	26	10	286	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	—	54%	384	335	73	12	4	4	39	98	7	9	1	219	314	317	630	97	293	26	10	290	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	—	55%	449	393	87	15	4	6	45	113	8	10	2	222	315	324	639	103	294	25	10	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	56%	487	427	96	16	5	7	49	122	8	11	2	223	316	330	646	107	294	25	10	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	509	444	100	17	5	7	51	128	9	11	2	224	316	331	647	108	294	25	10	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	518	452	101	17	5	7	52	131	9	11	2	222	315	329	643	106	293	25	10	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	519	453	101	17	5	7	52	132	9	9	2	221	313	324	637	103	292	25	10	291	83	-10	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	513	449	99	17	5	6	51	132	8	7	1	218	310	318	628	100	291	26	10	288	81	-12	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	505	442	95	16	4	6	50	132	8	5	1	215	307	311	617	95	290	26	10	284	78	-13	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	493	433	91	15	4	5	49	130	8	1	1	211	302	301	603	90	287	26	10	278	74	-15	-0	-3	+5	+11	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	52	46	10	2	1	0	5	13	1	1	0	213	310	299	608	85	291	25	10	282	77	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	48%	140	122	25	4	1	1	14	36	3	3	1	217	312	308	620	92	292	26	10	286	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	—	54%	208	181	40	7	2	2	21	53	4	5	1	219	314	317	630	97	293	25	10	290	82	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	—	55%	249	218	48	8	2	3	25	63	4	6	1	222	315	324	639	103	294	25	10	293	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	56%	273	239	54	9	3	4	27	68	5	6	1	223	316	330	646	107	294	25	10	295	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	286	250	56	9	3	4	29	72	5	6	1	224	316	331	647	108	294	25	10	295	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	287	251	56	9	3	4	29	72	5	6	1	222	315	329	643	106	293	25	10	294	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	285	249	55	9	3	4	29	73	5	5	1	221	313	324	637	103	292	26	10	291	83	-6	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	241	52	9	2	3	27	70	4	4	1	218	310	318	628	100	291	26	10	288	81	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	266	234	49	8	2	3	26	69	4	2	1	215	307	311	617	95	290	26	10	284	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	257	226	48	8	2	3	25	68	4	1	0	211	302	301	603	90	287	26	10	278	74	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2577	2257	493	82	24	31	257	657	44	45	9	218	310	317	628	99	293	25	10	290	82	-55	+5	-4	+28	+56	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	125	21	6	8	65	166	11	11	2	220	312	320	631	100	294	26	10	290	82	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4945	4317	947	159	48	59	501	1263	86	89	18	219	313	319	632	100	294	26	10	289	82	-106	+10	-7	+52	+106	5.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	125	21	6	8	66	166	11	12	2	220	313	321	634	101	295	26	10	289	82	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Joe Koppe'58-'65 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,857 PA	2.8	1,857	19	16	232*	319*	333*	+18	+18	4.6	5.3
/162	664	7	6	+6.3	+6.6	1.6	pk7: 6
#6George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,640	32	45	220	309	321	+28	+21	5.0	4.6
/162	664	8	11	+7.1	+5.3	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Holguin (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	208/305/285	77	290	0	1	26%	10%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Luke Williams 2017 · A	20	46→44	36→45	50→65	47	216/284/281	65	293	3	11	26%	8%	63	-1.4	196/247/266	70	262	5	17	26%	6%	45	-2.7	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Jakson Reetz 2016 · A	20	47→33	38→55	48→45	47	216/306/297	80	310	4	9	29%	9%	76	-0.4	202/282/291	89	302	6	5	32%	7%	65	-1.2	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	44→47	37→45	49→50	57	202/312/288	86	246	2	15	17%	11%	77	-0.3	201/291/315	114	248	8	9	21%	9%	75	-0.5	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Jason Taylor 2008 · A	20	46→40	36→50	49→55	48	212/284/280	68	287	2	9	26%	8%	63	-1.4	214/289/333	119	270	12	19	24%	8%	77	-0.3	205/280/327	122	253	13	22	23%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	44	36→45	53→45	48	207/271/275	68	270	3	10	23%	8%	57	-1.8	225/279/332	107	302	11	8	28%	6%	73	-0.6	213/267/311	98	282	10	9	27%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40	39→45	50→40	53	189/279/278	88	244	6	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	198/297/302	104	263	10	4	26%	12%	74	-0.5	187/288/292	105	240	12	2	26%	12%	67	-0.7
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Zack Short 2017 · A	22	49→39	37→50	51→45	52	225/313/302	77	306	3	12	25%	10%	79	-0.2	202/294/336	134	274	13	9	29%	10%	80	-0.1	190/287/330	140	259	14	8	30%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	45	38→45	50	46	212/286/299	87	263	3	13	20%	6%	69	-0.9	206/258/299	93	276	6	9	26%	5%	57	-1.8	193/236/284	91	271	8	8	31%	4%	43	-0.9
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	45→46	40→45	55→50	53	211/302/310	100	290	7	16	27%	11%	77	-0.3	227/287/348	121	312	12	11	29%	8%	80	-0.2	232/274/365	133	311	17	8	30%	5%	76	-0.3

Brayan Holguin

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps