Nelson Lopez

2B DSL Giants Black

Age 19 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	93	.217/.379/.333	1	4	38	—	.151/.287/.233
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	203	.201/.280/.282	2	4	62	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	59	.205/.285/.294	1	1	66	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%81

ISO50

BB%47

wOBA37

wRC+37

Speed36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRonny Brito (age 19) · Andres Regnault (age 19) · Miguel Palma (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA

wRC+62

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .278 / .279

PA82

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	93	69	15	5	0	1	14	26	4	4	2	217	379	333	713	116	311	28	15	316	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	93	73	11	3	0	1	10	32	4	4	2	151	287	233	520	82	203	34	11	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	93	73	11	3	0	1	10	32	4	4	2	151	287	233	520	82	233	34	11	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	93	69	15	5	0	1	14	26	4	4	2	217	379	333	713	116	311	28	15	316	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	93	79	11	3	0	1	10	32	4	4	2	139	287	215	503	76	203	34	11	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	93	79	11	3	0	1	10	32	4	4	2	139	287	215	503	76	203	34	11	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	203	181	37	8	1	2	17	61	3	4	1	201	280	282	562	81	290	30	8	259	62	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	173	154	32	7	1	2	14	51	3	3	1	205	285	294	579	89	291	29	8	266	66	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	205	285	294	579	89	291	31	8	266	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	208	288	302	590	94	294	31	8	266	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	121	22	0	11	55	198	11	11	0	207	288	301	589	94	293	30	8	266	58	-26	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	348	301	57	13	1	4	31	108	8	9	3	189	282	279	561	90	275	31	9	254	58	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	106	24	2	7	58	202	15	17	6	189	281	276	557	87	275	31	9	254	58	-27	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Lopez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	199/278/279	80	290	1	2	30%	8%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Freili Encarnacion 2024 · A	19	39→33	37→50	52→50	37	185/252/253	68	288	4	11	35%	6%	45	-2.7	195/246/296	101	295	10	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	184/237/297	113	271	13	10	36%	4%	47	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	37	42→45	49→40	41	187/250/292	105	255	9	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/260/303	100	308	8	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2008 · A	19	37	37→40	49→50	48	174/269/241	67	275	5	11	35%	11%	50	-2.3	180/267/247	67	267	3	11	30%	10%	50	-2.3	151/247/208	57	219	2	12	29%	11%	35	-0.9
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	33	39→45	46→50	43	168/240/251	83	236	7	10	31%	7%	41	-3.0	191/266/296	105	275	9	11	32%	7%	61	-1.5	185/266/298	114	262	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	47→50	45	194/259/280	86	254	7	8	26%	7%	54	-2.0	210/288/337	127	293	13	8	31%	9%	78	-0.3	174/246/297	123	248	13	14	34%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Alfredo González 2011 · A	19	40	36→40	48→45	45	189/256/257	68	261	3	9	27%	8%	47	-2.5	183/228/250	67	245	3	9	25%	4%	34	-3.5	223/284/281	57	303	4	8	26%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	38	38→40	45→55	40	184/244/257	73	246	5	8	27%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/290	92	276	7	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9