Dominic Kibler — OGILVIE

Dominic KiblerC Augusta GreenJackets

Age 22 L/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .305 / .319

PA61

HR1

K%32

BB%9

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	36	24	4	1	0	1	7	10	4	1	0	167	429	333	762	167	214	28	19	361	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	36	26	4	1	0	1	5	14	4	1	0	154	371	308	679	154	191	39	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	36	26	4	1	0	1	5	14	4	1	0	154	371	308	679	154	250	39	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	36	24	4	1	0	1	7	10	4	1	0	167	429	333	762	167	214	28	19	361	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	36	27	4	1	0	1	5	14	4	1	0	148	371	296	668	148	191	39	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	36	27	4	1	0	1	5	14	4	1	0	148	371	296	668	148	191	39	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	146	125	26	5	1	3	14	47	6	2	1	202	307	322	629	120	291	32	10	290	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	159	137	28	5	1	3	15	50	6	3	1	205	309	328	637	123	292	31	9	293	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	46%	276	239	49	9	1	6	25	85	10	5	1	208	310	334	645	126	292	31	9	295	86	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	350	303	64	12	2	8	32	107	12	6	1	210	311	339	650	129	292	31	9	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.9
2031	26	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	398	345	73	14	2	9	37	120	13	6	2	212	311	343	654	131	292	30	9	298	88	-6	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	421	366	78	15	2	10	39	125	13	6	2	213	311	343	654	131	291	30	9	298	88	-6	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	433	376	80	15	2	10	40	130	14	5	1	211	308	338	647	128	290	30	9	295	86	-7	+1	-1	+8	+9	1.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	432	377	78	15	2	9	39	131	13	3	1	208	306	332	637	124	288	30	9	292	83	-8	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.8
2035	30	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	428	373	76	14	2	9	39	131	13	2	1	205	302	324	626	119	286	31	9	287	80	-10	+0	-2	+8	+9	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	405	354	71	13	2	8	36	126	12	2	1	201	297	314	611	113	283	31	9	281	76	-11	+0	-3	+7	+9	0.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	378	331	64	12	1	7	33	119	11	1	0	195	291	301	592	106	278	31	9	273	71	-13	+0	-4	+7	+8	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	55	48	9	2	0	1	5	17	2	1	0	205	309	328	637	123	292	31	9	293	84	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	46%	127	109	23	4	1	3	12	39	5	2	1	208	310	334	645	126	292	31	9	295	86	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	181	156	33	6	1	4	17	55	6	3	1	210	311	339	650	129	292	30	9	297	87	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	216	187	40	8	1	5	20	65	7	3	1	212	311	343	654	131	292	30	9	298	88	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	228	198	42	8	1	5	21	68	7	3	1	213	311	343	654	131	291	30	9	298	88	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	235	204	43	8	1	5	22	71	7	3	1	211	308	338	647	128	290	30	9	295	86	-4	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	229	199	42	8	1	5	21	69	7	2	1	208	306	332	637	124	288	30	9	292	83	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	224	195	41	8	1	5	20	69	7	1	0	205	302	324	626	119	286	31	9	287	80	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	211	184	37	7	1	4	19	65	6	1	0	201	297	314	611	113	283	31	9	281	76	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	212	185	37	7	1	4	19	67	6	1	0	195	291	301	592	106	278	32	9	273	71	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1918	1665	347	66	9	41	176	585	60	20	6	208	307	333	639	124	292	31	9	291	83	-39	+2	-6	+34	+42	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	117	22	3	14	60	198	20	7	2	207	306	332	637	124	290	30	9	291	83	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3777	3280	675	127	17	81	346	1158	123	41	11	206	305	329	634	123	288	31	9	291	83	-76	+4	-10	+67	+81	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	116	22	3	14	60	199	21	7	2	206	305	330	635	124	288	31	9	291	83	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#5Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	1,979	42	21	208	303	331	+35	+24	5.2	4.7
/162	664	14	7	+11.9	+8.1	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dominic Kibler (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	200/305/319	119	291	1	1	32%	9%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	40→42	47→45	50→45	49	202/313/334	132	268	16	7	29%	10%	88	+0.5	192/300/291	99	262	9	5	28%	10%	74	-0.5	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jimmy Crooks 2023 · A	22	48→47	47→50	51→40	43	229/308/368	139	326	14	6	32%	8%	93	+0.8	238/300/361	123	328	12	4	29%	7%	88	+0.4	240/311/381	141	337	17	2	32%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	44→43	43→55	49→50	46	211/294/330	119	311	10	8	33%	9%	78	-0.3	196/273/340	144	288	15	11	35%	9%	73	-0.6	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	44→45	50	53→55	46	221/292/385	164	297	17	9	31%	9%	90	+0.6	211/284/353	142	277	15	19	28%	8%	80	-0.1	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	50→51	44→45	50→55	47	239/306/363	124	325	11	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	237/310/354	117	348	9	17	31%	10%	89	+0.5	237/311/358	121	351	9	21	32%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Zack Collins 2017 · A	22	46→42	47→50	47→40	49	217/309/351	135	339	14	6	37%	12%	89	+0.5	194/292/340	146	302	16	3	37%	12%	81	-0.1	199/306/353	154	293	17	2	34%	13%	89	+0.4
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43→44	48→55	56→50	47	212/302/359	147	307	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.5	219/297/382	163	280	19	10	28%	9%	92	+0.7	215/296/383	167	260	20	8	25%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	48→50	47→50	50	43	237/295/379	142	319	15	10	30%	7%	90	+0.6	234/295/375	141	317	14	12	29%	7%	89	+0.5	230/294/371	141	309	14	12	29%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43	43→50	44→45	47	212/287/326	114	278	11	8	27%	8%	75	-0.5	230/291/359	129	287	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→52	46→45	50→40	42	231/293/362	131	322	13	8	31%	7%	85	+0.2	230/295/359	129	310	12	3	28%	8%	85	+0.2	226/292/357	131	305	12	1	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Ricardo Olivar 2024 · A	22	49→50	44→45	51→50	45	233/311/357	125	326	10	9	30%	8%	91	+0.7	224/296/352	128	290	14	9	26%	9%	84	+0.2	215/289/349	134	265	17	10	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2017 · A	21	43	47→55	45	43	212/278/355	143	302	14	8	33%	8%	78	-0.3	207/279/349	142	299	15	8	34%	8%	78	-0.3	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Mike Boeve 2024 · A	22	50→53	48→40	49→45	45	245/306/384	139	326	15	7	29%	8%	95	+1.0	258/322/359	101	337	8	8	24%	8%	95	+0.9	257/324/350	93	335	8	9	24%	8%	91	+0.4
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	45→55	48→50	52	224/302/352	128	270	12	12	21%	9%	86	+0.3	233/300/393	160	281	18	11	23%	8%	95	+1.0	226/297/390	163	268	19	11	23%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Ryan Costello 2018 · A	22	46→39	49→50	50→30	44	226/291/384	158	313	16	6	32%	8%	89	+0.5	203/278/345	142	279	16	3	31%	9%	76	-0.4	188/270/329	141	253	17	1	31%	10%	68	-0.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→47	48→50	45→50	42	226/295/372	146	296	15	5	28%	6%	89	+0.5	222/280/363	141	284	16	8	27%	6%	81	-0.1	215/271/359	144	269	17	9	26%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Charles Mack 2022 · A	22	42	44→45	51→40	49	201/293/315	114	311	12	5	36%	12%	75	-0.5	181/246/286	105	307	10	6	41%	8%	50	-2.3	128/185/228	100	213	10	0	44%	6%	12	-1.8
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2024 · A	22	46→41	43→55	51→50	45	223/285/341	118	292	9	12	26%	7%	77	-0.3	212/261/361	149	283	14	14	29%	6%	73	-0.6	199/246/361	161	266	17	15	31%	5%	65	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps