Yoel Zambrano

P DSL Phillies

Age 18 LHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKPHI	14	28	4.18	3.31	31.6%	15.4%	—	K 21.5% · BB 19.2% · FIP 5.03
2027PROJ	18	MLBPHI	16	17	5.26	5.26	22.8%	16.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLBPHI	12	13	5.01	4.91	23.3%	14.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDaniel Juarez (age 18) · Yenfri Sosa (age 18) · Peter Bonilla (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%22.8%

BB%16.3%

K-BB%6.5%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	14	0	28	117	37	18	2	0%	2.0	21.5%	19.2%	2.3%	2.4%	4.18	5.03	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	14	0	28	117	37	18	2	0%	2.0	21.5%	19.2%	2.3%	2.4%	4.18	5.03	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	14	0	28	117	37	18	2	0%	2.0	31.6%	15.4%	16.2%	1.7%	4.18	3.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	PHI	16	0	17	72	16	12	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	16.3%	6.5%	3.0%	5.26	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PHI	25	0	26	112	26	16	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.1%	9.1%	2.9%	5.01	4.91	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	PHI	12	0	13	55	13	8	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.1%	9.1%	2.9%	5.01	4.91	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	13	8	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.1%	9.1%	2.9%	5.01	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	123	31	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.1%	9.1%	2.9%	5.01	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		14	0	28	117	25	22	3	0%	2.0	21.5%	19.2%	2.3%	2.4%	4.18	5.03	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	0	200	836	180	161	20	0%	2.0	21.5%	19.2%	2.3%	2.4%	4.18	5.03	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yoel Zambrano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	22.8%	16.3%	3.0%	—	4.91	23.3%	9.1%	26	-0.35	—	—	—
Daniel Juarez L 2019 · 4.45 FIP	18	SU	4.45	24.9%	14.7%	2.9%	.389	4.24	26.5%	9.0%	68	-0.21	3.68	221	82
Yenfri Sosa L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	18	SU	4.27	17.5%	14.3%	1.5%	.354	4.38	22.5%	6.3%	91	+0.11	2.49	128	78
Peter Bonilla L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	18	SU	4.27	19.3%	18.7%	0.8%	.267	5.81	19.9%	-3.2%	70	+1.54	4.27	134	77
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	77
Yordy Herrera L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	18	SU	4.98	20.6%	23.1%	1.3%	.283	4.88	21.2%	1.8%	117	-0.10	3.87	163	77
Gregori Louis L 2022 · 5.03 FIP	19	SU	5.03	25.4%	13.1%	4.4%	.364	4.96	19.1%	2.9%	89	-0.07	3.58	149	75
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	21	SU	4.55	25.7%	21.3%	1.7%	.389	5.41	22.7%	0.2%	76	+0.86	2.58	155	75
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	74
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.28 FIP	21	SU	4.28	19.2%	13.5%	2.0%	.354	5.03	22.4%	7.1%	98	+0.75	4.28	166	73
Angel Padron L 2016 · 4.56 FIP	18	SU	4.56	16.4%	17.9%	1.1%	.247	4.14	17.0%	7.0%	222	-0.42	3.05	293	72
Alexander Beltre L 2021 · 6.42 FIP	18	SU	6.42	15.6%	18.2%	4.2%	.351	3.82	17.4%	6.1%	67	-2.60	2.75	106	72
Develson Aria L 2019 · 5.19 FIP	18	SU	5.19	15.5%	19.7%	1.6%	.311	4.33	21.7%	3.1%	54	-0.86	4.32	137	71
Tim Collins L 2011 · 4.36 FIP	21	SU	4.36	20.3%	15.6%	1.8%	.255	3.47	25.9%	15.6%	144	-0.89	3.16	297	71
Boone Logan L 2006 · 4.69 FIP	21	SU	4.69	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	.302	4.14	17.2%	10.5%	110	-0.55	2.58	442	71
Sandro Bargallo L 2019 · 4.16 FIP	17	SU	4.16	24.9%	25.0%	0.0%	.333	5.36	18.3%	-5.0%	110	+1.20	4.16	129	70
Miguel Jerez L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	18	SU	4.53	15.0%	9.6%	2.7%	.268	3.46	14.8%	8.9%	129	-1.07	3.39	151	70
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	69
Zach Matson L 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	14.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.319	4.72	25.2%	10.0%	68	+0.33	4.39	187	69
Justin Bruihl L 2018 · 4.38 FIP	21	SU	4.38	18.8%	18.9%	0.9%	.356	2.58	23.9%	17.4%	91	-1.80	2.03	407	68
Manuel Chavez L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	19.0%	18.0%	0.8%	.383	3.86	18.5%	7.4%	62	-0.34	3.64	113	68