Marcos Hernandez

C DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	120	.278/.407/.340	1	3	45	—	.184/.288/.204
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	230	.220/.293/.288	2	2	67	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	66	.224/.299/.300	1	1	72	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	160	.228/.303/.312	2	1	77	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%95

K%78

Whiff%68

wOBA56

BB%53

wRC+52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsThayron Liranzo (age 19) · Enrique Jimenez (age 18) · Jose Perez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+67

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .291 / .285

PA101

HR1

K%24

BB%8

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	120	97	27	3	0	1	19	19	2	3	2	278	407	340	747	62	338	16	16	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	120	103	19	2	0	0	13	23	2	3	2	184	288	204	492	19	226	19	11	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	120	103	19	2	0	0	13	23	2	3	2	184	288	204	492	19	237	19	11	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	120	97	27	3	0	1	19	19	2	3	2	278	407	340	747	62	338	16	16	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	120	104	19	2	0	0	13	23	2	3	2	183	288	202	490	19	226	19	11	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	120	104	19	2	0	0	13	23	2	3	2	183	288	202	490	19	226	19	11	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	230	207	45	6	1	2	19	55	2	2	1	220	293	288	581	67	289	24	8	267	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	193	173	38	5	1	2	16	46	2	2	1	224	299	300	599	76	291	24	8	275	72	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	331	296	68	10	2	4	28	77	4	3	1	228	303	312	615	84	292	23	8	281	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	437	391	90	13	2	6	37	101	6	3	2	230	306	322	629	92	293	23	8	287	80	-10	-0	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	511	456	107	16	3	8	43	118	7	4	2	233	309	331	640	98	294	23	8	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	464	109	16	3	9	44	119	7	4	2	235	311	339	650	104	295	23	8	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	109	16	3	9	44	119	7	4	2	236	312	342	654	106	296	23	8	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	109	16	3	9	44	119	7	4	2	237	312	345	657	108	296	23	8	298	88	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	110	16	3	10	44	119	7	4	2	237	313	346	658	109	295	23	8	298	88	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	464	109	16	3	9	44	120	7	3	2	236	312	343	655	107	295	23	8	297	87	-8	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	464	109	16	3	9	44	121	7	3	3	234	309	338	648	104	294	23	8	294	85	-9	-1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	465	108	16	2	9	44	123	6	3	5	231	307	332	638	101	292	24	8	290	82	-11	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	465	105	15	2	8	44	124	6	3	10	228	303	324	627	96	291	24	8	285	79	-13	-3	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	504	451	100	14	2	7	42	122	6	3	11	224	298	314	611	90	287	24	8	279	75	-15	-4	-3	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	66	59	13	2	0	1	6	16	1	1	0	224	299	300	599	76	291	24	9	275	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	160	144	33	5	1	2	13	37	2	1	1	228	303	312	615	84	292	23	8	281	77	-4	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	237	212	48	7	1	3	20	55	3	2	1	230	306	322	629	92	293	23	8	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	289	258	60	9	2	4	25	67	4	2	1	233	309	331	640	98	294	23	9	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	268	63	9	2	5	25	69	4	2	1	235	311	339	650	104	295	23	8	295	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	265	62	9	2	5	25	68	4	2	1	236	312	342	654	106	296	23	8	297	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	264	62	9	2	5	25	68	4	2	1	237	312	345	657	108	296	23	8	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	263	62	9	2	5	25	67	4	2	1	237	313	346	658	109	295	23	9	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	258	61	9	2	5	25	67	4	2	1	236	312	343	655	107	295	23	9	297	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	256	60	9	1	5	24	67	4	2	2	234	309	338	648	104	294	23	8	294	85	-5	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	249	57	8	1	5	24	66	3	2	3	231	307	332	638	101	292	24	9	290	82	-6	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	246	55	8	1	4	23	66	3	2	5	228	303	324	627	96	291	24	8	285	79	-7	-2	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	263	236	53	8	1	4	22	64	3	2	6	224	298	314	611	90	287	24	8	279	75	-8	-2	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3326	2978	689	101	18	53	282	777	43	24	24	231	307	331	638	99	294	23	8	291	82	-66	-5	-4	+59	+72	5.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	135	20	4	10	55	152	8	5	5	232	307	332	638	100	296	23	8	291	82	-13	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6357	5675	1311	190	33	100	539	1475	82	47	47	231	307	329	636	98	293	23	8	289	82	-129	-9	-7	+111	+135	10.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	133	19	3	10	55	151	8	5	5	229	305	324	629	95	291	23	8	289	82	-13	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,428	55	23	233	305	333	+61	+32	8.2	7.2
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marcos Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	219/291/285	66	289	1	1	24%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Enrique Jimenez 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	48→45	48	198/271/282	84	258	3	6	23%	8%	59	-1.7	199/279/318	119	281	12	6	31%	10%	70	-0.8	186/279/321	135	256	16	4	32%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	39	37→40	42→45	48	187/265/263	76	258	4	6	27%	9%	53	-2.1	190/298/267	77	248	4	7	22%	12%	67	-1.1	180/313/262	82	232	4	7	21%	15%	70	-0.2
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	43→48	38→45	46→40	50	204/277/287	83	255	5	5	21%	9%	62	-1.4	233/285/320	87	295	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	43→47	37→45	51→55	47	198/278/272	73	293	3	9	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/262/264	65	278	4	9	28%	7%	51	-2.3	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Enderson Delgado 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	45→30	44	187/258/242	55	249	2	6	24%	6%	45	-2.7	176/259/260	84	258	7	4	32%	7%	51	-2.3	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Brandon Valenzuela 2019 · A	18	39→49	35→45	47→40	49	183/271/240	57	269	2	4	30%	10%	50	-2.3	203/287/269	66	295	4	4	29%	10%	62	-1.4	205/287/310	105	292	10	2	31%	10%	68	-0.6
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2010 · A	18	43→53	36→50	50	46	200/279/270	70	293	4	8	30%	9%	59	-1.6	232/306/293	61	296	2	10	20%	8%	74	-0.6	247/308/360	113	308	7	9	21%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	47	206/270/283	77	273	6	5	26%	8%	58	-1.7	206/258/288	82	299	4	5	30%	6%	54	-2.0	272/305/377	105	345	10	18	23%	3%	93	+0.5
✕Jonathan Mejía 2023 · A	18	40	40→45	47→50	50	192/295/293	101	272	6	6	29%	10%	72	-0.7	178/265/265	87	292	6	13	37%	9%	53	-2.1	169/262/280	111	278	11	16	40%	10%	54	-0.9
✕Jose Herrera 2015 · A	18	43	34→40	49→40	45	199/271/255	55	289	2	4	30%	8%	53	-2.1	211/272/289	78	275	6	3	24%	7%	60	-1.6	214/297/304	90	284	9	3	26%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Chace Numata 2011 · A	18	44	37→40	47→40	43	206/272/276	70	309	4	7	32%	8%	57	-1.8	210/271/284	74	276	5	7	24%	7%	59	-1.7	248/299/320	71	292	3	2	15%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Héctor Sánchez 2008 · A	18	44→50	40→50	44→30	52	208/284/305	97	239	7	6	16%	8%	70	-0.9	224/294/314	90	268	6	4	17%	8%	75	-0.5	251/289/371	119	308	13	0	22%	4%	85	+0.1
✕Ronald Hernandez 2022 · A	18	38→48	37→40	50	51	181/269/259	78	240	4	6	25%	10%	53	-2.1	197/282/278	81	287	6	6	30%	9%	63	-1.4	202/287/277	75	306	7	5	33%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Sergio Alcántara 2014 · A	18	45→55	35→45	48→50	55	207/299/274	66	283	2	5	25%	11%	68	-1.0	200/269/254	54	275	2	6	25%	8%	51	-2.3	215/291/325	109	290	12	4	28%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1

Marcos Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps