Jose Nelo

C DSL Braves

Age 18 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKATL	189	.296/.398/.428	3	1	49	—	.181/.269/.241
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBATL	299	.216/.283/.298	3	2	65	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBATL	84	.220/.289/.312	1	1	71	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBATL	180	.224/.294/.324	2	1	76	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wRC+63

wOBA61

K%59

Chase%58

ISO57

Whiff%48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMeibrys Viloria (age 18) · Yasmil Bucce (age 18) · Hector Osorio (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 159 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .280 / .295

PA159

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	189	159	47	12	0	3	25	37	2	1	0	296	398	428	826	132	361	20	13	368	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	189	166	30	7	0	1	18	45	2	1	0	181	269	241	510	60	235	24	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	189	166	30	7	0	1	18	45	2	1	0	181	269	241	510	60	236	24	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	189	159	47	12	0	3	25	37	2	1	0	296	398	428	826	132	361	20	13	368	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	189	167	30	7	0	1	18	45	2	1	0	180	269	240	508	60	235	24	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	189	167	30	7	0	1	18	45	2	1	0	180	269	240	508	60	235	24	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	299	272	59	11	2	3	23	77	2	2	1	216	283	298	581	82	288	26	8	265	65	-12	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	244	221	48	9	1	3	19	62	2	2	1	220	289	312	601	92	290	25	8	273	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	372	336	75	14	2	5	29	93	4	2	2	224	294	324	618	100	291	25	8	280	76	-11	-0	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	468	422	95	18	2	7	37	116	6	3	2	227	298	335	633	108	292	25	8	286	80	-11	-0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	520	468	107	20	3	9	41	128	6	3	2	230	301	344	645	114	293	25	8	291	83	-10	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	520	467	108	20	3	10	42	127	6	3	2	232	304	352	656	120	294	24	8	295	86	-9	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	520	467	109	20	3	10	42	127	6	3	2	234	305	356	661	122	295	24	8	297	87	-8	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	520	467	110	20	3	11	42	126	6	3	2	234	305	359	664	124	295	24	8	298	88	-7	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	520	467	110	20	3	11	42	126	6	3	2	234	306	360	666	126	295	24	8	299	89	-7	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	520	467	109	20	3	11	42	127	6	3	3	233	305	358	662	124	294	24	8	298	88	-8	-1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	520	467	109	20	3	11	42	128	6	3	4	231	302	353	655	121	293	25	8	295	86	-9	-1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	520	467	107	20	2	10	42	130	6	3	7	229	300	346	646	118	292	25	8	291	83	-10	-2	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2039	30	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	520	469	106	20	2	10	41	132	5	2	17	226	296	338	634	113	290	25	8	286	80	-12	-6	-2	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	84	77	16	3	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	220	289	312	601	92	290	25	7	273	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	180	162	36	7	1	2	14	45	2	1	1	224	294	324	618	100	291	25	8	280	76	-5	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	254	229	52	10	1	4	20	63	3	2	1	227	298	335	633	108	292	25	8	286	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	294	265	61	11	2	5	23	72	4	2	1	230	301	344	645	114	293	24	8	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	299	269	63	12	2	6	24	73	4	2	1	232	304	352	656	120	294	24	8	295	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	296	267	63	12	2	6	24	72	3	2	1	234	305	356	661	122	295	24	8	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	295	266	63	12	2	6	24	72	3	2	1	234	305	359	664	124	295	24	8	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	294	265	63	12	2	6	24	72	3	2	1	234	306	360	666	126	295	24	8	299	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	289	261	60	11	1	6	23	71	3	2	1	233	305	358	662	124	294	25	8	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	286	258	59	11	1	6	23	71	3	1	2	231	302	353	655	121	293	25	8	295	86	-5	-1	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	278	251	57	11	1	5	22	69	3	1	4	229	300	346	646	118	292	25	8	291	83	-6	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	274	247	55	10	1	5	22	69	3	1	9	226	296	338	634	113	290	25	8	286	80	-7	-3	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3123	2817	648	122	16	58	249	770	35	19	23	230	301	346	647	116	295	25	8	293	82	-59	-5	-2	+56	+68	5.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	134	25	3	12	52	160	7	4	5	229	299	343	642	114	293	25	8	293	82	-12	-1	-0	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6112	5496	1254	234	31	110	491	1508	68	35	46	228	299	342	641	114	292	25	8	290	82	-117	-12	-4	+106	+128	10.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	133	25	3	12	52	160	7	4	5	228	298	342	641	115	291	25	8	290	82	-13	-1	-0	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.9	3,282	60	20	231	298	347	+59	+28	8.0	7.1
/162	664	12	4	+11.9	+5.7	1.6	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Nelo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	214/280/295	82	288	1	1	26%	8%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	43→48	38→45	46→40	50	204/277/287	83	255	5	5	21%	9%	62	-1.4	233/285/320	87	295	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	39	37→55	49→40	48	186/260/257	71	244	4	5	25%	8%	49	-2.4	197/286/284	87	296	6	4	32%	10%	65	-1.2	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	45→50	38→50	46→50	42	213/268/289	76	296	6	6	29%	6%	58	-1.7	211/263/305	94	290	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Ronny Hernandez 2023 · A	18	40→50	42→40	48→30	49	196/272/301	105	246	10	5	24%	8%	64	-1.3	220/294/293	73	298	4	3	25%	9%	70	-0.9	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Samuel Basallo 2022 · A	17	37→47	40→55	49→45	46	186/253/278	91	245	8	5	27%	8%	51	-2.2	230/287/364	134	301	15	6	27%	7%	83	+0.1	240/301/413	173	300	21	6	27%	7%	98	+0.9
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/266	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	48	-2.5	199/258/259	60	256	3	6	22%	6%	48	-2.5	279/317/335	56	337	1	3	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Leo Bernal 2022 · A	18	36→46	40→45	48→50	47	177/240/266	89	212	7	6	20%	7%	43	-2.8	216/280/326	110	279	11	5	25%	8%	72	-0.7	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Omar Alfonzo 2022 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	55	191/300/261	69	279	4	4	30%	13%	66	-1.1	194/282/281	87	288	8	4	32%	10%	63	-1.3	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	37→41	41→55	44→45	47	183/257/274	91	240	9	9	26%	8%	52	-2.2	199/262/315	116	251	12	9	25%	7%	63	-1.3	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	37	38→45	48→45	45	176/263/256	80	259	5	6	32%	8%	51	-2.3	191/259/271	80	288	6	4	33%	8%	52	-2.2	190/257/269	80	283	7	3	33%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Enrique Jimenez 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	48→45	48	198/271/282	84	258	3	6	23%	8%	59	-1.7	199/279/318	119	281	12	6	31%	10%	70	-0.8	186/279/321	135	256	16	4	32%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	46→45	38→55	48→30	44	218/266/297	79	275	4	4	22%	6%	59	-1.6	211/252/305	94	288	8	2	28%	5%	56	-1.9	236/277/397	161	310	22	0	31%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→53	38→50	52→40	42	205/261/298	93	294	4	6	30%	7%	58	-1.7	232/297/350	118	303	9	5	24%	9%	83	+0.1	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4

Jose Nelo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps