Carlos Rubecindo

OF DSL Orioles Black

Age 18 L/L ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Orioles B…	183	.283/.401/.421	1	17	50	—	.176/.280/.245
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBBAL	293	.219/.290/.309	2	10	71	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBBAL	82	.227/.299/.329	1	3	76	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBBAL	178	.231/.304/.341	2	7	81	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed95

K%78

wOBA66

wRC+64

Whiff%64

ISO60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJuan Villavicencio (age 18) · Estevan Florial (age 18) · Telmito Agustin (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 154 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .288 / .306

PA154

HR1

SB5

K%24

BB%8

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	183	152	43	8	5	1	24	29	6	17	4	283	401	421	822	138	344	16	13	371	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	183	159	28	5	3	0	17	35	6	17	4	176	280	245	526	69	223	19	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	183	159	28	5	3	0	17	35	6	17	4	176	280	245	526	69	226	19	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	183	152	43	8	5	1	24	29	6	17	4	283	401	421	822	138	344	16	13	371	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	183	158	28	5	3	0	17	35	6	17	4	177	280	247	527	70	223	19	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	183	158	28	5	3	0	17	35	6	17	4	177	280	247	527	70	223	19	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	293	265	58	10	4	2	22	70	4	10	1	219	290	309	599	90	287	24	8	272	71	-10	+2	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	239	215	48	8	3	2	18	56	4	9	2	224	296	323	619	99	289	23	8	281	76	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	368	330	76	13	5	5	29	86	6	14	3	227	301	335	636	107	291	23	8	288	81	-8	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	465	418	96	16	6	7	36	108	8	18	4	230	304	345	650	115	292	23	8	293	85	-9	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	533	477	111	19	6	9	42	123	9	21	5	233	307	354	662	121	293	23	8	298	88	-8	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	579	518	123	21	7	11	46	133	10	23	5	235	309	362	671	127	294	23	8	302	90	-7	+3	+0	-3	+13	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	609	545	130	22	7	12	49	140	10	24	5	237	311	366	677	129	295	23	8	304	92	-6	+3	+0	-4	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	625	560	132	22	7	12	50	143	10	24	5	237	311	369	680	131	295	23	8	305	93	-6	+3	+0	-4	+14	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	633	567	135	23	7	13	51	145	10	24	6	238	312	371	682	133	295	23	8	306	93	-5	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	633	567	134	22	7	13	51	146	10	24	6	237	311	368	679	131	294	23	8	304	92	-6	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	629	564	132	22	7	12	50	147	10	23	6	235	308	363	672	129	293	23	8	302	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	619	555	128	21	7	11	49	146	10	23	6	232	306	357	662	125	292	24	8	298	88	-9	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	608	546	126	21	7	11	48	145	9	22	6	229	302	349	651	120	290	24	8	293	85	-11	+2	-2	-4	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	82	75	17	3	1	1	6	19	1	3	1	227	299	329	627	102	293	23	7	284	76	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	178	159	36	6	2	2	14	42	3	7	1	231	304	341	645	111	295	24	8	291	81	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	252	226	53	9	3	4	20	59	4	10	2	234	308	352	660	118	296	23	8	297	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	302	270	64	11	4	5	24	70	5	12	3	237	311	362	672	125	297	23	8	302	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	333	298	71	12	4	6	27	77	5	13	3	239	313	370	682	130	298	23	8	306	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	347	310	75	13	4	7	28	80	6	13	3	241	314	374	688	133	299	23	8	308	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	354	317	76	13	4	7	28	81	6	14	3	241	315	377	692	136	299	23	8	310	93	-3	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	358	320	78	13	4	8	29	82	6	14	3	241	315	379	694	137	299	23	8	310	93	-3	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	351	314	75	13	4	7	28	81	6	13	3	240	314	376	690	136	298	23	8	309	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	345	309	73	12	4	7	28	80	5	13	3	238	312	371	683	133	297	23	8	306	90	-4	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	331	297	70	12	4	6	26	78	5	12	3	236	309	364	673	129	296	24	8	302	88	-5	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	347	312	72	12	4	6	27	83	5	12	3	232	305	356	661	124	294	24	8	297	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3580	3207	760	129	42	66	285	832	57	136	31	237	311	365	676	128	298	23	8	304	87	-47	+15	-2	-21	+78	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	138	23	8	12	52	151	10	25	6	237	311	366	677	129	298	23	8	304	87	-9	+3	-0	-4	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6877	6160	1429	240	81	119	548	1590	114	271	64	232	307	355	662	123	292	23	8	297	87	-94	+27	-4	-40	+145	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	135	23	8	11	52	150	11	26	6	232	307	356	663	124	292	23	8	297	87	-9	+3	-0	-4	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jim Rivera'52-'61 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,008 PA	6.0	4,008	83	160	251*	315*	426*	-23	-0	9.1	9.5
/162	664	14	27	-3.8	-0.0	1.5	pk7: 10
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.6	3,736	65	142	234	304	358	-22	+0	4.5	4.2
/162	664	12	25	-4.0	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
#5Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Rubecindo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	217/288/306	89	287	1	5	24%	8%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Telmito Agustin 2015 · A	18	43→42	39→45	58→50	51	204/287/303	99	262	4	18	22%	9%	70	-0.9	223/268/319	96	306	6	15	27%	5%	65	-1.2	228/261/337	108	324	10	12	32%	4%	64	-0.7
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Franchy Cordero 2014 · A	19	44→54	38→55	58→50	41	207/265/293	86	304	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	208/250/287	79	323	5	13	35%	5%	51	-2.3	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2011 · A	18	44→49	37→50	59→55	52	205/277/291	86	252	3	23	19%	9%	63	-1.4	224/277/314	90	328	6	17	31%	7%	67	-1.1	226/267/359	133	345	15	15	38%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Taylor Trammell 2017 · A	19	47→48	37→55	55	39	218/270/298	80	323	4	18	32%	6%	61	-1.5	216/285/315	99	312	8	20	31%	8%	72	-0.7	213/300/386	173	283	21	17	31%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	39→49	35→45	51→50	49	181/267/242	60	233	1	15	21%	8%	49	-2.4	230/301/328	98	278	6	10	19%	7%	80	-0.1	252/334/373	121	281	11	9	14%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	44→52	36→40	52→50	49	201/280/270	69	241	3	17	17%	7%	60	-1.6	235/288/308	73	291	3	12	19%	5%	70	-0.8	236/286/309	73	301	3	13	21%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Leody Taveras 2017 · A	18	47→55	37→50	52→55	44	224/269/304	81	286	3	15	22%	6%	61	-1.5	223/267/303	80	289	5	13	23%	6%	61	-1.5	251/301/382	131	311	12	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7

Carlos Rubecindo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps