Brayan Rodriguez

SS DSL Tampa Bay

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	238	.311/.411/.378	1	33	57	—	.220/.307/.268
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	348	.248/.312/.325	3	11	82	0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLB—	123	.251/.317/.337	1	4	87	0.3
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLB—	246	.253/.321/.347	3	8	91	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%99

Whiff%98

Z-Con%95

Speed60

wRC+59

wOBA57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsNelson Rada (age 18) · Justin Crawford (age 20) · Xavier Edwards (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 208 proj PA

wRC+82

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .310 / .322

PA208

HR2

SB7

K%18

BB%7

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$80M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 80 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT80

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED72

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$8M	+1.3	$5M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$4M	+$0.6M
Totals		$27M		$37M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	238	196	61	10	0	1	26	11	8	33	9	311	411	378	789	66	314	5	11	354	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	238	205	45	7	0	1	18	13	8	33	9	220	307	268	576	49	209	5	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	238	205	45	7	0	1	18	13	8	33	9	220	307	268	576	49	222	5	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	238	196	61	10	0	1	26	11	8	33	9	311	411	378	789	66	314	5	11	354	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	238	210	45	7	0	1	18	13	8	33	9	214	307	262	569	48	209	5	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	238	210	45	7	0	1	18	13	8	33	9	214	307	262	569	48	209	5	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	348	316	78	12	2	3	24	64	5	11	1	248	312	325	637	77	301	18	7	290	82	-7	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	43%	286	259	65	10	2	3	20	53	5	9	2	251	317	337	654	86	303	19	7	297	87	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	61%	405	366	93	15	2	5	29	75	7	13	3	253	321	347	668	94	304	19	7	302	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	68%	493	445	113	18	3	7	36	91	9	16	3	255	323	355	679	100	304	18	7	307	94	-4	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.5
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	71%	555	500	128	21	3	9	41	103	9	18	4	256	325	362	687	106	304	19	7	310	96	-3	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	72%	598	538	138	23	3	10	45	112	10	19	4	257	326	368	694	111	304	19	8	312	98	-2	+2	+0	+6	+13	2.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	72%	618	556	144	23	4	11	47	115	10	20	4	258	327	370	698	112	305	19	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+7	+13	2.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	71%	628	566	147	24	4	11	47	117	10	20	4	258	327	372	699	113	305	19	7	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	71%	635	571	148	24	4	11	48	118	11	20	4	258	327	372	699	114	305	19	8	315	99	-1	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	70%	635	572	148	24	4	11	48	119	10	20	4	258	327	370	696	112	305	19	8	313	98	-1	+2	+0	+7	+14	2.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	69%	630	567	145	23	3	11	48	119	10	18	4	256	325	365	690	109	304	19	8	311	96	-3	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	67%	620	558	142	23	3	10	47	119	10	17	4	254	322	359	682	106	304	19	8	307	94	-4	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.7
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	66%	609	550	138	22	3	9	45	119	9	16	4	251	319	352	671	101	303	20	7	303	91	-6	+2	-2	+7	+13	1.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	65%	595	537	133	21	3	8	44	119	9	14	4	248	315	343	657	95	301	20	7	298	88	-9	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.9
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	65%	576	521	127	20	3	7	42	118	8	13	5	243	309	331	640	89	298	20	7	290	83	-12	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.4
2042	33	MLB MLE	—	70%	546	494	118	18	2	6	39	115	8	11	6	237	302	317	619	81	294	21	7	282	77	-15	-0	-4	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	43%	123	111	28	4	1	1	9	23	2	4	1	251	317	337	654	86	303	19	7	297	87	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.3
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	61%	246	222	56	9	1	3	18	45	4	8	2	253	321	347	668	94	304	18	7	302	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	68%	336	302	77	12	2	5	25	62	6	11	2	255	323	355	679	100	304	18	7	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	71%	395	356	91	15	2	6	29	73	7	13	3	256	325	362	687	106	304	18	7	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	72%	432	389	99	16	2	7	33	81	7	14	3	257	326	368	694	111	304	19	8	312	98	-1	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	72%	442	399	104	17	3	8	33	82	7	14	3	258	327	370	698	112	305	19	7	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	71%	447	403	105	17	3	8	34	83	7	14	3	258	327	372	699	113	305	19	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	71%	451	407	105	17	3	8	34	84	7	14	3	258	327	372	699	114	305	19	8	315	99	-1	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	70%	442	398	103	17	2	8	34	83	7	14	3	258	327	370	696	112	305	19	8	313	98	-1	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	69%	433	390	99	16	2	7	33	82	7	13	3	256	325	365	690	109	304	19	8	311	96	-2	+1	-0	+5	+9	1.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	67%	415	374	95	15	2	7	31	80	7	11	3	254	322	359	682	106	304	19	7	307	94	-3	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	66%	401	362	91	15	2	6	30	78	6	11	3	251	319	352	671	101	303	19	7	303	91	-4	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	65%	388	351	87	14	2	5	28	77	6	9	3	248	315	343	657	95	301	20	7	298	88	-6	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.6
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	65%	373	338	83	13	2	5	27	76	5	8	3	243	309	331	640	89	298	20	7	290	83	-8	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.3
2042	33	MLB CTX	—	70%	383	348	82	12	2	4	27	80	5	8	4	237	302	317	619	81	294	21	7	282	77	-10	+0	-3	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5707	5150	1305	209	31	88	425	1089	90	166	42	253	321	357	679	104	304	19	7	306	92	-46	+16	-10	+61	+124	14.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	149	24	4	10	48	124	10	19	5	254	321	359	680	106	305	19	7	306	92	-5	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8875	7993	2019	323	47	132	659	1663	146	284	69	253	321	354	675	102	302	19	7	304	92	-74	+26	-15	+93	+187	22.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	148	24	3	10	48	122	11	21	5	253	321	356	677	103	302	19	7	304	92	-6	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tim Andersonlast yr '25 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,139 PA	6.2	4,139	98	122	276	307	407	+44	+48	21.6	22.0
/162	664	16	20	+7.0	+7.7	3.5	pk7: 22
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Orlando Cabrera'97-'11 * career totals — 14 seasons, 8,255 PA	12.4	8,255	123	216	262*	308*	381*	+84	+5	19.8	19.1
/162	664	10	17	+6.8	+0.4	1.6	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	8.9	5,916	89	171	254	318	357	+63	+33	19.4	15.9
/162	664	10	19	+7.1	+3.7	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Ryan Theriotlast yr '12 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	5.4	3,601	17	121	281	341	350	+30	+25	15.0	15.0
/162	664	3	22	+5.6	+4.7	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#6Horace Clarke'65-'74 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,242 PA	7.9	5,242	27	151	264*	314*	351*	+20	+26	13.3	13.4
/162	664	3	19	+2.6	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	18	80	29→34	67→72	53	246/310/322	76	301	2	7	18%	7%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
●Justin Crawford 2024 · A	20	59→69	39→45	63→60	43	273/321/373	100	362	4	32	25%	6%	97	+1.1	283/327/387	104	364	7	33	23%	6%	102	+1.5	289/335/390	101	364	7	35	21%	6%	103	+1.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
✕José Peraza 2014 · A	20	53→63	36→45	61→65	44	248/288/316	68	295	2	33	17%	4%	71	-0.8	275/301/357	82	318	4	36	14%	3%	85	+0.2	275/311/366	91	307	8	25	13%	4%	91	+0.7
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	57→59	42→45	52→50	47	268/318/394	126	285	6	14	9%	4%	101	+1.4	271/315/368	97	293	5	11	9%	4%	94	+0.9	271/315/361	90	292	4	9	8%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Gorkys Hernández 2008 · A	20	54→60	39→45	58→55	43	258/294/347	89	308	6	27	18%	4%	81	-0.1	254/299/337	83	336	4	18	24%	6%	80	-0.1	252/308/366	115	311	11	16	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
●Alcides Escobar 2006 · A	19	52→62	37→45	53→55	38	244/272/326	82	309	3	16	22%	3%	68	-1.0	262/289/332	70	325	3	20	20%	3%	75	-0.5	292/321/371	79	349	4	27	17%	3%	93	+0.8
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	54→62	41→45	51→55	44	257/313/356	99	323	8	16	22%	6%	91	+0.6	271/321/361	90	336	7	14	20%	5%	95	+0.9	284/341/385	101	328	6	26	14%	7%	107	+1.5
●Ozzie Albies 2015 · A	18	58→62	36→60	55	51	271/332/343	72	321	3	18	16%	7%	94	+0.9	270/316/368	98	332	4	20	19%	6%	94	+0.9	273/321/453	180	310	18	16	18%	6%	116	+2.9
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	58→63	39→40	55→50	47	267/340/359	92	346	4	16	22%	7%	101	+1.4	261/325/348	87	335	5	14	22%	6%	93	+0.8	273/339/361	88	334	7	11	19%	6%	99	+0.7
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2010 · A	20	50→60	36→45	60	48	231/280/301	69	273	2	31	16%	6%	65	-1.2	252/300/346	94	295	7	24	16%	6%	83	+0.1	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Dylan O'Rae 2024 · A	20	58	34→30	59→65	57	262/357/316	53	339	2	32	21%	12%	99	+1.2	229/325/288	59	315	2	41	25%	11%	81	-0.1	228/328/288	59	314	2	53	24%	11%	78	-0.2
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	47→55	35→40	53→50	61	215/316/281	66	255	2	19	15%	12%	76	-0.4	225/306/299	74	281	5	14	20%	10%	76	-0.4	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Orlando Arcia 2015 · A	20	53→59	38→50	52→55	46	251/295/341	89	294	5	18	16%	6%	80	-0.2	254/292/370	116	306	8	18	19%	5%	85	+0.2	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7

Brayan Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps