Jack Barker — OGILVIE

Jack BarkerOF FCL Phillies

Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION261 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .244 / .245

PA174

HR2

SB6

K%40

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	30	3	0	0	0	6	14	1	1	1	100	270	100	370		188	38	16	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	29	4	0	0	0	7	11	1	1	1	138	324	138	462		222	30	19	250	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	ROK	PHI	—	261	228	31	7	1	3	23	136	2	14	2	136	221	215	436	79	295	52	9	201	12	-26	+2	+0	-2	+7	-1.8
YTD	21	ROK	PHI	—	261	213	47	12	2	4	38	95	2	14	2	221	344	352	696	131	358	36	15	311	96	-1	+2	+0	-2	+7	0.7
ROS	21	ROK	PHI	0%	174	155	25	5	1	2	15	70	2	6	1	161	244	245	489	84	273	40	9	227	32	-13	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
ROS	21	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	222	28	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	ROK	PHI	—	261	229	31	7	1	3	23	136	2	14	2	135	221	214	435	79	292	52	9	201	12	-26	+2	+0	-2	+7	-1.8
TOT	21	ROK	PHI	—	435	383	56	12	2	5	38	206	4	20	3	146	231	227	458	81	285	47	9	212	20	-39	+3	+0	-3	+12	-2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PHI	34%	348	311	54	11	2	5	31	134	3	7	1	174	255	270	525	96	277	39	9	241	42	-23	+1	+0	-2	+10	-1.4
2027	22	MLB	PHI	34%	120	107	19	4	1	2	11	46	1	2	0	178	261	290	550	112	279	38	9	236	39	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	120	108	19	4	1	2	11	46	1	2	0	176	261	287	548	111	279	38	9	236	39	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	103	22	5	11	60	249	5	11	0	176	260	287	548	111	279	38	9	236	39	-45	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.9
Career	—			—	559	496	82	16	3	7	52	218	6	14	3	165	253	252	505	87	274	39	9	234	37	-40	+2	+0	-3	+16	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	95	19	3	8	60	253	7	16	3	165	251	250	501	85	273	39	9	234	37	-46	+2	+0	-4	+18	-3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	29	4	0	0	0	7	11	1	1	1	138	324	138	462		222	30	19	250	49	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	247	3	5	178	254	271	-1	+0	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	9	13	178	254	271	-4.0	+0.0	-2.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Barker (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	36→41	52→57	59	146/231/227	81	285	5	20	47%	9%	20	-2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	48	-1.9	189/254/288	99	297	8	6	37%	7%	48	-1.9	161/231/261	100	250	9	3	37%	7%	29	-1.0
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	37	38→45	47→45	44	180/249/266	85	257	5	8	30%	8%	40	-2.4	199/253/304	105	256	8	7	24%	6%	50	-1.7	205/253/337	132	255	14	9	25%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	50	49	191/283/285	94	262	7	12	28%	10%	60	-1.0	181/291/247	66	292	3	14	35%	10%	56	-1.3	157/284/207	50	266	2	16	36%	11%	41	-1.2
✕Jordan Viars 2023 · A	20	39	39→40	52→45	41	191/262/272	80	279	8	7	32%	7%	47	-1.9	179/257/278	99	298	9	5	40%	7%	48	-1.9	155/238/255	100	269	11	4	43%	7%	31	-1.3
✕Héctor Gómez 2009 · A	21	36	41→45	49→50	44	183/251/274	91	264	9	10	33%	8%	43	-2.2	186/242/272	86	278	6	7	33%	7%	38	-2.6	139/175/225	86	207	3	2	33%	4%	-8	-1.5
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	38	38→40	56→55	40	180/254/263	84	299	6	15	39%	8%	42	-2.3	194/253/277	83	300	5	8	35%	6%	43	-2.2	182/234/254	72	263	5	2	31%	5%	28	-1.1
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	42	41→40	52→50	43	202/267/301	98	279	8	12	29%	7%	56	-1.3	198/259/271	73	261	4	10	24%	7%	45	-2.1	191/258/253	62	251	2	10	23%	8%	37	-1.2
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	38→33	42→45	51→55	35	182/239/283	101	310	10	13	43%	7%	40	-2.4	189/256/299	110	324	12	18	42%	8%	51	-1.7	177/246/305	129	273	16	23	39%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Dan Arcila 2011 · A	21	35	38→40	53→50	39	171/232/247	76	265	5	12	36%	7%	27	-3.3	197/253/328	131	268	13	6	30%	6%	57	-1.2	176/236/342	166	218	19	3	29%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	40	40	48→45	40	192/263/284	91	288	8	7	34%	7%	51	-1.7	209/269/302	93	304	9	6	32%	6%	58	-1.2	199/260/285	86	285	10	4	32%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Sammy Siani 2022 · A	21	40→46	41→45	52→55	47	192/277/288	96	289	8	11	34%	10%	58	-1.2	188/258/275	87	318	8	18	40%	8%	46	-2.0	196/252/301	105	259	11	21	28%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Jacob Pearson 2019 · A	21	38→39	39→40	45→50	40	188/239/268	81	267	6	8	31%	6%	36	-2.7	192/246/285	93	267	8	11	29%	7%	43	-2.2	173/239/278	105	242	10	19	32%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	37	36→40	48→55	37	175/244/240	65	289	3	14	38%	6%	31	-3.0	173/255/277	104	332	9	19	46%	9%	46	-2.0	140/234/249	109	282	11	25	49%	10%	28	-1.4
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1