Jack Barker — OGILVIE

Jack BarkerOF FCL Phillies

Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION287 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP273

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	29	4	0	0	0	7	11	1	1	1	138	324	138	462		222	30	19	250	55	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	31	3	0	0	0	5	15	1	1	1	97	243	97	340		198	41	14	194	17	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	31	3	0	0	0	5	15	1	1	1	97	243	97	340		188	41	14	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	29	4	0	0	0	7	11	1	1	1	138	324	138	462		222	30	19	250	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	31	3	0	0	0	5	15	1	1	1	97	243	97	340		198	41	14	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	37	31	3	0	0	0	5	15	1	1	1	97	243	97	340		198	41	14	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	PHI	—	287	250	34	8	2	3	27	145	2	18	2	136	226	220	446	84	287	51	9	207	26	-25	+3	+0	-2	+6	-1.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	PHI	—	241	192	48	12	2	5	40	81	2	15	2	250	385	411	796	161	384	34	17	351	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A RAW	PHI	—	46	41	3	1	1	0	4	20	0	3	0	73	156	146	302	73	143	43	9	143	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	ROK MLE	PHI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		271	44	11	231	43	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	ROK MLE	PHI	—	296	258	35	8	2	3	28	149	2	18	2	136	226	217	443	81	286	50	9	207	27	-26	+3	+0	-2	+6	-1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	293	262	46	9	2	5	27	111	2	7	1	176	258	282	540	107	274	38	9	244	51	-17	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	101	90	16	3	1	2	9	38	1	2	0	178	260	300	560	122	276	38	9	242	51	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	101	90	16	3	1	2	9	38	1	2	0	178	260	300	560	122	275	38	9	242	47	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	102	19	6	13	58	245	6	13	0	176	258	297	555	121	272	38	9	242	47	-38	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	339	301	50	9	2	5	33	130	3	8	2	166	255	259	514	93	269	38	10	238	47	-18	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	96	17	4	10	63	249	6	15	4	166	255	262	517	95	269	38	10	238	47	-38	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	208	3	4	179	258	278	-1	+0	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	10	14	-4.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Barker (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	38→43	54→59	61	161/244/250	89	271	1	4	40%	9%	43	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	54	-2.0	190/255/290	100	295	9	6	36%	7%	55	-2.0	163/231/263	100	247	9	3	36%	7%	38	-1.0
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→39	41→45	53→50	43	184/261/289	104	283	8	7	35%	8%	57	-1.8	183/271/281	98	311	8	10	39%	10%	59	-1.6	169/250/290	121	279	12	10	41%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	47	-2.6	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	55	-2.0	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	32	-0.9
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	39	41→45	56→50	41	189/251/288	99	284	8	15	35%	7%	53	-2.1	182/253/293	111	267	12	13	34%	8%	55	-1.9	182/240/283	101	235	12	16	28%	7%	44	-1.3
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	38→33	42→45	51→55	36	184/242/283	99	305	10	13	41%	7%	48	-2.5	190/256/299	109	320	12	18	41%	8%	57	-1.8	178/248/306	128	270	16	23	38%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	200/264/298	98	277	8	12	29%	7%	59	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	197/268/260	62	262	2	10	23%	9%	50	-1.1
✕D.J. Wilson 2018 · A	21	38	45→50	53→50	39	192/248/324	132	272	12	13	33%	6%	59	-1.6	177/240/272	95	289	8	14	39%	7%	45	-2.7	141/211/206	65	240	6	17	41%	8%	17	-1.7
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	38	38→40	56→55	40	180/254/263	84	299	6	15	39%	8%	49	-2.4	194/254/275	81	302	5	8	35%	6%	50	-2.3	181/235/249	68	265	5	2	32%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Stephen Chapman 2007 · A	21	42→37	42→50	52→50	40	208/261/318	110	283	9	13	29%	6%	63	-1.4	190/241/330	140	284	15	11	37%	5%	59	-1.7	172/222/314	142	258	17	12	40%	5%	46	-1.7
✕Justin Ellison 2016 · A	21	40→42	43→45	53→50	42	200/250/310	110	262	10	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	197/233/302	105	281	8	10	31%	5%	48	-2.5	191/224/299	109	272	7	11	32%	4%	42	-1.9
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	188/279/278	90	259	6	12	28%	10%	62	-1.4	179/292/246	67	290	3	14	35%	11%	61	-1.5	155/286/207	52	265	2	16	36%	11%	49	-1.2
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	37	38→45	47→45	44	180/249/266	85	257	5	8	30%	8%	47	-2.6	199/253/304	105	256	8	7	24%	6%	56	-1.9	205/253/337	132	255	14	9	25%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Tyler Frost 2018 · A	22	42→33	43→50	54→50	40	206/259/322	115	285	9	6	30%	6%	63	-1.4	186/244/308	122	299	13	7	40%	6%	55	-2.0	170/229/290	120	276	14	7	42%	6%	43	-2.2
✕Jordan Viars 2023 · A	20	39	39→40	52→45	41	191/261/271	80	280	7	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	179/256/279	100	298	10	5	40%	7%	53	-2.1	154/236/257	103	267	11	4	43%	7%	39	-1.4
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	48	-2.5	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	47	-2.5	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Mitchell Hansen 2017 · A	21	41→36	42→45	51→50	35	205/247/306	101	298	10	9	34%	5%	54	-2.0	194/242/300	106	284	9	9	33%	6%	51	-2.2	177/228/286	109	256	9	9	33%	6%	41	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps