Martin Shelar — OGILVIE

Martin ShelarOF Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 R/R A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .263 / .309

PA76

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	A	Salem RidgeYaks	—	60	53	10	3	0	1	6	19	1	2	3	189	283	302	585	113	273	32	10	271	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	60	55	8	2	0	1	4	26	1	2	3	145	217	236	453	91	252	43	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	60	55	8	2	0	1	4	26	1	2	3	145	217	236	453	91	250	43	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	Salem RidgeYaks	—	60	53	10	3	0	1	6	19	1	2	3	189	283	302	585	113	273	32	10	271	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	60	55	8	2	0	1	4	26	1	2	3	145	217	236	453	91	252	43	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	60	55	8	2	0	1	4	26	1	2	3	145	217	236	453	91	252	43	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	170	154	31	6	1	3	12	55	2	3	1	201	266	312	577	111	285	32	7	261	63	-8	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	25%	188	171	36	7	1	4	13	59	2	4	1	206	272	322	594	117	287	31	7	268	67	-7	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	25%	47	43	9	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	212	277	331	608	119	297	32	6	274	67	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	47	43	9	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	209	277	326	602	116	296	32	6	274	58	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	125	28	0	14	41	207	14	14	0	210	277	328	605	118	297	32	6	274	58	-25	+3	-3	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	324	296	57	12	1	6	22	109	4	7	4	193	258	301	558	108	280	34	7	254	58	-11	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	114	24	2	12	44	219	8	14	8	192	257	300	557	108	279	34	7	254	58	-26	+1	-3	-4	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Martin Shelar (OGILVIE)	19	20→45	40→58	50→51	50	200/263/309	110	285	1	1	32%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Moisés Gómez 2018 · A	19	39→42	39→55	49→45	38	193/238/277	85	262	7	9	29%	5%	45	-2.7	198/247/334	136	313	14	4	39%	6%	62	-1.4	192/247/364	173	283	25	6	40%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Echedry Vargas 2024 · A	19	40→47	44→50	53→55	40	202/260/326	123	269	11	15	29%	6%	65	-1.2	215/258/351	136	288	15	14	30%	4%	70	-0.9	218/259/369	151	284	19	13	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Luis Baez 2023 · A	19	38→36	43→50	45	36	195/236/308	113	270	10	10	32%	5%	51	-2.3	203/255/335	132	286	15	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	202/254/334	131	283	15	8	33%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	39→45	46→50	51→55	41	199/261/328	129	275	14	13	32%	7%	65	-1.2	195/257/323	128	268	13	17	31%	7%	63	-1.4	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Nehomar Ochoa Jr. 2024 · A	19	43	45→55	50→60	42	213/275/336	123	276	12	8	27%	6%	73	-0.6	185/249/285	100	298	11	14	39%	6%	51	-2.2	174/237/278	104	280	12	21	40%	6%	43	-1.2
✕Jeral Perez 2024 · A	19	38→42	47→50	49→45	49	195/280/329	134	254	15	8	28%	9%	74	-0.6	206/278/344	138	276	16	6	30%	8%	76	-0.4	199/270/336	137	262	16	5	29%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Raylin Heredia 2023 · A	19	38→48	38→50	53→50	37	183/232/269	87	270	4	9	33%	5%	40	-3.0	200/252/309	109	324	9	11	39%	5%	57	-1.8	219/257/356	137	317	16	15	35%	4%	67	-0.6
✕Freddy Valdez 2021 · A	19	42	42→45	49→45	43	208/270/318	109	276	9	7	27%	7%	66	-1.1	192/262/274	82	285	5	5	32%	7%	53	-2.1	151/241/213	62	239	0	0	33%	9%	32	-0.7
✕Greg Halman 2007 · A	19	44→42	42→60	46→50	43	216/278/325	109	292	9	6	28%	7%	71	-0.8	198/243/337	139	315	17	17	41%	4%	61	-1.5	190/240/376	186	279	26	16	41%	5%	67	-1.0
✕Jhailyn Ortiz 2018 · A	19	40→37	45→50	50→45	37	199/262/320	121	305	13	9	37%	6%	65	-1.2	173/232/290	117	298	14	3	44%	6%	47	-2.6	186/255/319	133	284	18	5	39%	7%	59	-1.2
✕D.J. Stewart 2018 · A	19	43	40→50	50→55	38	204/258/292	89	313	7	7	36%	6%	55	-1.9	208/262/280	72	324	4	6	34%	6%	54	-2.0	202/248/314	113	267	13	11	29%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Carlos Caro 2024 · A	19	44	41→45	48→55	46	210/298/307	97	285	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	196/272/275	79	283	6	15	30%	8%	58	-1.7	182/259/257	76	270	7	19	33%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	37→40	44→50	50→55	43	187/261/304	117	279	12	11	36%	8%	61	-1.5	182/257/291	109	330	10	20	44%	9%	56	-1.9	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	44→45	41→50	51→50	45	211/277/319	108	290	7	12	28%	8%	70	-0.9	206/259/297	91	291	6	11	30%	6%	57	-1.8	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	42→45	47→40	43	193/270/291	98	282	10	4	33%	8%	61	-1.5	183/263/292	109	300	11	4	39%	9%	59	-1.7	149/242/259	110	247	12	2	42%	10%	42	-1.0
✕Robert Calaz 2024 · A	18	44→42	42→50	53→50	46	210/288/317	107	285	8	8	28%	8%	74	-0.6	218/284/351	133	327	13	10	35%	7%	80	-0.2	207/271/338	131	322	14	10	38%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Wilfredo Lara 2024 · A	20	39→43	42→45	50	44	193/267/300	108	271	10	12	31%	8%	62	-1.4	197/271/298	101	275	9	15	29%	8%	63	-1.4	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Gavin LaValley 2015 · A	20	42→46	42→50	51→40	40	205/262/305	100	294	9	5	32%	6%	60	-1.6	216/269/320	104	303	9	3	30%	6%	66	-1.1	218/268/333	115	298	11	1	29%	6%	67	-0.9