Alexander Martinez

P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ROKCWS	15	4	30	4.55	2.83	35.4%	11.5%	—	K 24.1% · BB 14.4% · FIP 4.50
2026	23	ACWS	21	14	67	4.84	4.86	24.2%	11.8%	—	K 17.9% · BB 13.9% · FIP 6.31
2027PROJ	24	MLBCWS	7	7	38	5.33	5.33	19.9%	13.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCWS	4	4	26	5.12	5.06	20.8%	12.0%	-0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCWS	7	7	40	5.01	4.98	21.2%	11.8%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Zach Linginfelter (age 24) · Alfredo Figaro (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.33

FIP5.33

K%19.9%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%6.5%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	4	30	130	46	15	3	27%	2.0	24.1%	14.4%	9.6%	2.9%	4.55	4.50	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	4	30	130	46	15	3	27%	2.0	24.1%	14.4%	9.6%	2.9%	4.55	4.50	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	15	4	30	130	46	15	3	27%	2.0	35.4%	11.5%	23.8%	2.3%	4.55	2.83	—
2026	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	14	67	289	70	34	12	67%	3.2	17.9%	13.9%	4.0%	5.4%	4.84	6.31	—
2026	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	14	67	289	70	34	12	67%	3.2	17.9%	13.9%	4.0%	5.4%	4.84	6.31	—
2026	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	14	67	289	70	34	12	67%	3.2	24.2%	11.8%	12.5%	4.2%	4.84	4.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CWS	7	7	38	160	32	22	5	100%	5.4	19.9%	13.4%	6.5%	3.3%	5.33	5.33	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	61	258	54	31	8	100%	6.1	20.8%	12.0%	8.7%	3.3%	5.12	5.06	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	61	258	55	30	8	100%	6.1	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	3.3%	5.01	4.98	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	60	254	54	30	8	100%	6.0	21.3%	11.7%	9.5%	3.3%	4.98	4.98	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	4	4	26	110	23	13	4	100%	6.5	20.8%	12.0%	8.7%	3.3%	5.12	5.06	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CWS	7	7	40	169	36	20	6	100%	5.7	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	3.3%	5.01	4.98	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	CWS	8	8	47	198	42	23	7	100%	5.9	21.3%	11.7%	9.5%	3.3%	4.98	4.98	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	19	113	478	101	57	16	100%	6.0	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	3.3%	5.02	4.62	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	179	101	28	100%	6.0	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	3.3%	5.02	4.62	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		36	18	97	419	83	59	19	50%	2.7	19.8%	14.1%	5.8%	4.6%	4.75	5.75	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	37	200	867	172	122	40	50%	2.7	19.8%	14.1%	5.8%	4.6%	4.75	5.75	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	19.9%	13.4%	3.3%	—	5.01	21.1%	9.2%	182	-0.32	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	90
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	86
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	81
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	81
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	81
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	80
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	80
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	79
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	79
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	79
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	78
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	78
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	78
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	78
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	77
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	77
Danny Cody R 2021 · 6.32 FIP	24	SW	6.32	20.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.369	6.32	11.4%	-6.9%	37	+0.00	6.32	106	76
Jackson Finley R 2024 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	18.0%	12.8%	1.7%	.361	3.97	20.9%	9.8%	67	-0.19	3.97	150	76
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	76
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	55	20.9%	12.1%	1.27	5.09
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*